Cal Poly vs. San Jose State Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Cal Poly vs. San Jose State NCAAF game on September 12, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

FINAL
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
FINAL
CFB sport icon
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Cal Poly
20
30
CEFCU Stadium
San Jose State
CEFCU Stadium
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cal Poly
    0%
  • San Jose State
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Cal Poly
0 6 7 7 20
San Jose State
0 13 7 10 30
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
San Jose State
Cal Poly
1st and 10 at the CP 28
Last Play
A.Grigsby pass complete. Catch made by J.Green for 15 yards. Tackled by SJSU at CP 28.

Cal Poly vs. San Jose State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cal Poly vs. San Jose State
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: CEFCU Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: San Jose State favored at -21.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 58.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Cal Poly +1400, San Jose State -2000

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Cal Poly: 8%
  • San Jose State: 92%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Cal Poly 19-39 San Jose State.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Cal Poly a win probability of 8%, while San Jose State has a win probability of 92%.

Summary

According to our analysis, San Jose State is more likely to beat Cal Poly in CFB action at CEFCU Stadium on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cal Poly vs. San Jose State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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