UC Davis vs. San Diego prediction: UC Davis favored to win in college football Week 1 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects an 83.0% win probability for UC Davis at Torero Stadium.

San Diego and UC Davis will lock horns in Week 1 college football action at Torero Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects UC Davis as the most likely winner in this UC Davis vs. San Diego prediction.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
UC Davis vs. San Diego prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model gives UC Davis an 83.0% chance of beating San Diego. Our predicted final score has UC Davis winning 34-19.
According to our model, San Diego (+16) has a 51.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 54.5 points has a 52.0% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: UC Davis -16 (-110) / San Diego +16 (-110)
- Moneyline: UC Davis -700, San Diego +509
- Total: Over/Under 54.5 (-115/-105)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: San Diego +16 @ -110 via ESPN BET
- Moneyline: San Diego @ +509 via DraftKings
- Total: Under 54.5 @ -105 via bet365
According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 54.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football action between San Diego and UC Davis at Torero Stadium is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: UC Davis vs. San Diego
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Torero Stadium
College football Week 1 promos
Make the most of Dimers' UC Davis vs. San Diego predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:
Conclusion
We predict UC Davis, with an 83.0% win probability, will likely beat San Diego in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



