South Dakota vs. South Dakota State prediction favors South Dakota State to win in college football Week 9 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of South Dakota vs. South Dakota State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives South Dakota State a 69.4% chance of beating South Dakota. Our predicted final score has South Dakota State winning 30-23. According to our model, South Dakota (+7.5) has a 55.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 53.5-point over/under has a 51.2% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: South Dakota +7.5 (-160) / South Dakota State -7.5 (+127)
• Moneyline: South Dakota +197, South Dakota State -203
• Total: Over/Under 53.5 (-110/-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: South Dakota State -7.5 @ 44¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: South Dakota State @ 67¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 53.5 @ -110 via bet365

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is South Dakota State to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between South Dakota State and South Dakota at Dana J. Dykhouse Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: South Dakota vs. South Dakota State
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00 PM PT
• Venue: Dana J. Dykhouse Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict South Dakota State, with a 69.4% win probability, will likely beat South Dakota in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.