Oregon State vs. Fresno State prediction favors Oregon State to win in college football Week 9 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Oregon State vs. Fresno State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Oregon State a 67.2% chance of defeating Fresno State. Our predicted final score has Oregon State winning 31-26. According to our model, Fresno State (+6.5) has a 52.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 56.5-point over/under has a 53.0% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Oregon State -6.5 (+102) / Fresno State +6.5 (-106)
• Moneyline: Oregon State -212, Fresno State +208
• Total: Over/Under 56.5 (-125/+117)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Fresno State +6.5 @ 51¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Fresno State @ 33¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 56.5 @ 46¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 56.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Fresno State and Oregon State at Valley Children's Stadium is scheduled to begin at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: Oregon State vs. Fresno State
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00 PM PT
• Venue: Valley Children's Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Oregon State, with a 67.2% win probability, will likely beat Fresno State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.