Wagner vs. Merrimack prediction: Why Merrimack is favored to win in college football Week 9 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects an 87.8% win probability for Merrimack at Duane Stadium.

Merrimack will face Wagner in Week 9 college football action at Duane Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 12:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Merrimack as the most likely winner in this Wagner vs. Merrimack prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Wagner vs. Merrimack prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model currently gives Merrimack an 87.8% chance of beating Wagner. Our predicted final score has Merrimack winning 32-17. According to our model, Wagner (+14.5) has a 50.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 53.5% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Wagner +14.5 (-113) / Merrimack -14.5 (+100)
- Moneyline: Wagner +545, Merrimack -567
- Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-105/-125)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Merrimack -14.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Merrimack @ 85¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 48.5 @ -105 via bet365
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Merrimack to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football matchup between Merrimack and Wagner at Duane Stadium is scheduled to start at 12:00 PM ET.
- Who: Wagner vs. Merrimack
- Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
- Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00 AM PT
- Venue: Duane Stadium
College football Week 9 promos
Make the most of Dimers' Wagner vs. Merrimack predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:
Conclusion
We predict Merrimack, with an 87.8% win probability, will likely beat Wagner in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



