Ball State vs. Ohio State prediction: Ohio State favored to win in college football Week 1 [2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Dimers' simulation model projects a 100.0% win probability for Ohio State at Ohio Stadium.

Ball State takes on Ohio State in College Football action.
Ball State vs. Ohio State college football gameday prediction for Saturday, September 5, 2026.

Ohio State will take on Ball State in Week 1 college football action at Ohio Stadium on Saturday, with kickoff at 12:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced college football model projects Ohio State as the most likely winner in this Ball State vs. Ohio State prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.

Ball State vs. Ohio State prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Ball State vs. Ohio State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Ohio State a 100.0% chance of defeating Ball State. Our predicted final score has Ohio State winning 50-1.

According to our model, Ball State (+50.5) has a 51.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 56.5-point over/under has a 61.4% chance of staying under.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Ball State +50.5 (-110) / Ohio State -50.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Ball State , Ohio State

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Moneyline: Under @ -110 via BetMGM

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is under 56.5 points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Ohio State and Ball State at Ohio Stadium is scheduled to start at 12:30 PM ET.

  • Who: Ball State vs. Ohio State
  • Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
  • Venue: Ohio Stadium

College football Week 1 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Ball State vs. Ohio State predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offfer below


Conclusion

We predict Ohio State, with a 100.0% win probability, will likely beat Ball State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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