Ball State vs. Northwestern prediction favors Northwestern to win in college football Week 6 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 99.4% win probability for Northwestern at Ryan Field.

Northwestern will face Ball State in Week 6 college football action at Ryan Field on Saturday, starting at 12:30 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Northwestern as the most likely winner in this Ball State vs. Northwestern prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Ball State vs. Northwestern prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model currently gives Northwestern a 99.4% chance of defeating Ball State. Our predicted final score has Northwestern winning 43-9. According to our model, Ball State (+36.5) has a 53.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 52.5-point over/under has a 51.3% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Ball State +36.5 (-112) / Northwestern -36.5 (-112)
- Moneyline: Ball State +3500, Northwestern -20000
- Total: Over/Under 52.5 (-118/-101)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Ball State +36.5 @ -112 via BetRivers
- Moneyline: Northwestern @ -20000 via FanDuel
- Total: Under 52.5 @ -101 via bet365
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Ball State +36.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football action between Northwestern and Ball State at Ryan Field is scheduled to commence at 12:30 PM ET.
- Who: Ball State vs. Northwestern
- Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
- Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
- Venue: Ryan Field
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Conclusion
We predict Northwestern, with a 99.4% win probability, will likely beat Ball State in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



