Alabama vs. Tennessee prediction: Why Alabama is favored to win in college football Week 7 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 73.7% win probability for Alabama at Neyland Stadium.

Tennessee and Alabama will lock horns in Week 7 college football action at Neyland Stadium on Saturday, starting at 3:30 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model projects Alabama as the most likely winner in this Alabama vs. Tennessee prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Alabama vs. Tennessee prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model currently gives Alabama a 73.7% chance of beating Tennessee. Our predicted final score has Alabama winning 29-22. According to our model, Tennessee (+7.5) has a 50.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 50.5-point over/under has a 53.0% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Alabama -7.5 (-110) / Tennessee +7.5 (-108)
- Moneyline: Alabama -315, Tennessee +270
- Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-105)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Tennessee +7.5 @ -108 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Tennessee @ +270 via DraftKings
- Total: Over 50.5 @ -110 via FanDuel
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 50.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football game between Tennessee and Alabama at Neyland Stadium is scheduled to commence at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Alabama vs. Tennessee
- Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: Neyland Stadium
College football Week 7 promos
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Conclusion
We predict Alabama, with a 73.7% win probability, will likely beat Tennessee in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



