UC Davis vs. Sacramento State Prediction, Picks & Odds

UC Davis vs. Sacramento State prediction & analysis

Game overview: Men's college basketball Saturday

• Teams: UC Davis vs. Sacramento State
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Tip-off: 8:00PM ET
• Venue: Hornet Pavilion

Current betting odds

• Spread: UC Davis (+3.5, -105), Sacramento State (-3.5, -110)
• Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points (-110/-110)
• Moneyline: UC Davis +142, Sacramento State -166

Dimers’ win probabilities

• UC Davis: 38.7%
• Sacramento State: 61.3%

Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as UC Davis 76 and Sacramento State 80.

This is a margin of 4 points against a spread of 3.5, and a projected total of 156 points against a market line of 159.5.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives UC Davis a win probability of 38.7%, while Sacramento State has a win probability of 61.3%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Sacramento State is more likely to beat UC Davis in the men's college basketball game at Hornet Pavilion on Saturday.

Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our UC Davis vs. Sacramento State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.