Mercury vs. Aces Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mercury vs. Aces WNBA game on May 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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WNBA
Mercury
99
66
T-Mobile Arena
Aces
T-Mobile Arena
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Mercury +9.5
Spread
  • Mercury
    60.9%
    NovigNovig
  • Aces
    39.1%
    theScore BettheScore Bet
Projected Box Score
Mercury
Player PtsRebAst
K. Copper
A. Thomas
D. Bonner
N. Mack
K. Williams
Aces
Player PtsRebAst
A. Wilson
J. Young
C. Gray
J. Loyd
C. Carter

Mercury vs. Aces: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mercury vs. Aces
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Aces favored at -9.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 168.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mercury 20¢, Aces 82¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mercury: 27%
  • Aces: 73%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this WNBA matchup is Mercury 81-87 Aces.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mercury a win probability of 27%, while the Aces have a win probability of 73%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Aces are more likely to beat the Mercury in the WNBA game at T-Mobile Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mercury vs. Aces predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert WNBA predictions and the best WNBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes WNBA props, WNBA futures, WNBA odds, and the latest WNBA news.