Paraguay vs. United States Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Paraguay vs. United States in the World Cup on June 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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WORLD CUP
Paraguay
1
4
SoFi Stadium
United States
SoFi Stadium
United StatesUSA
Score Summary
ParaguayPAR
D. Bobadilla (o.g.) (7')
Soccer ball icon
F. Balogun (31')
Soccer ball icon
F. Balogun (45')
Soccer ball icon
G. Reyna (90')
Soccer ball icon
Mauricio (73')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • United States
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Paraguay
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Alonso (Paraguay) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for USA by G. Reyna, assisted by A. Freeman
    1-4
  3. 88'
    Yellow Card
    A. Arce (Paraguay) cautioned
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for USA: G. Reyna replaces M. Tillman
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Paraguay: Kaku replaces D. Gomez
  6. 79'
    Yellow Card
    D. Gomez (Paraguay) cautioned
  7. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Paraguay: R. Sosa replaces M. Almiron
  8. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Paraguay: G. Velazquez replaces J. Caceres
  9. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Paraguay by Mauricio, assisted by J. Enciso
    1-3
  10. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for USA: T. Weah replaces S. Dest
  11. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for USA: R. Pepi replaces F. Balogun
  12. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Paraguay: A. Arce replaces A. Sanabria
  13. 59'
    Yellow Card
    T. Adams (USA) cautioned
  14. 53'
    Yellow Card
    M. Almiron (Paraguay) cautioned
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Paraguay: Mauricio replaces D. Bobadilla
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for USA: S. Berhalter replaces C. Pulisic
  17. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for USA by F. Balogun, assisted by M. Tillman
    0-3
  18. 31'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for USA by F. Balogun, assisted by C. Pulisic
    0-2
  19. 10'
    Yellow Card
    J. Caceres (Paraguay) cautioned
  20. 7'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for USA by D. Bobadilla (o.g.)
    0-1

Paraguay vs. United States: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Paraguay vs. United States prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Paraguay vs. United States
  • Date: Friday, June 12, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: SoFi Stadium
  • Tournament: 2026 FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Paraguay +315, United States +105, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+150/-165)
  • Double chance: Paraguay or draw -140, United States or draw -425, Paraguay or United States -290
  • BTTS: Yes +110, No -125
  • Win to nil: Paraguay +450, United States +200

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Paraguay: 24.4%
  • United States: 49.1%
  • Draw: 26.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Paraguay 0-1 United States (13.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Double chance probabilities
  • BTTS probabilities
  • Win to nil probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities
  • Anytime goalscorer probabilities
  • First goalscorer probabilities
  • 2+ and 3+ goals probabilities
  • Shots and shots on target projections

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Why trust Dimers' World Cup predictions?

The Dimers betting model has already uncovered standout betting opportunities throughout the World Cup, including:

These are just a few examples of how the Dimers model has identified betting value throughout the tournament.

Read how the Dimers Pro model nailed five bold Round 1 bets, including full pre-match reasoning and breakdowns.

Explore all of our 2026 World Cup Predictions to see today's model projections and betting insights across every match.

Who will win Paraguay vs. United States? Prediction & correct score

United States is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.1%.

The most likely correct score is Paraguay 0-1 United States.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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