Jamaica vs. New Caledonia Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Jamaica vs. New Caledonia prediction for the World Cup qualifying play-off match on March 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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WORLD CUP
Jamaica
1
0
Estadio Akron
New Caledonia
Estadio Akron
New CaledoniaNCL
Score Summary
JamaicaJAM
B. Cadamarteri (18')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • New Caledonia
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Jamaica
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New Caledonia: G. Haewegene replaces F. Ranchain
  2. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New Caledonia: S. Welepane replaces C. Zeoula
  3. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Jamaica: D. Lowe replaces E. Mason-Clark
  4. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Jamaica: A. Bell replaces R. King
  5. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Jamaica: J. Lowe replaces B. Cadamarteri
  6. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New Caledonia: L. Waya replaces G. Gope-Fenepej
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New Caledonia: G. Waia replaces J. Katrawa
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Jamaica: L. Bailey replaces T. Campbell
  9. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Jamaica: B. De Cordova-Reid replaces A. Brooks
  10. 18'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Jamaica by B. Cadamarteri
    1-0

Jamaica vs. New Caledonia: Match prediction & analysis

Dimers' Jamaica vs. New Caledonia prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.

Match overview

  • Teams: Jamaica vs. New Caledonia
  • Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Akron
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup qualifying play-offs

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Jamaica -2500, New Caledonia +4000, draw +1100

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Jamaica: 84.4%
  • New Caledonia: 4.7%
  • Draw: 10.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Jamaica 2-0 New Caledonia (13.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Who will win Jamaica vs. New Caledonia? Prediction & correct score

Jamaica is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 84.4%.

The most likely correct score is Jamaica 2-0 New Caledonia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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