Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction for the World Cup qualifying play-off match on March 31, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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WORLD CUP
Italy
1
:
1
Bilino Polje
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Bilino Polje
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBIH
Score Summary
ItalyITA
H. Tabakovic (79')
Soccer ball icon
M. Kean (15')
Soccer ball icon
A. Bastoni (41')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Italy
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 120'
    Yellow Card
    D. Frattesi (Italy) cautioned
  2. 115'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: A. Hadziahmetovic replaces E. Demirovic
  3. 114'
    Yellow Card
    N. Katic (Bosnia & Herzegovina) cautioned
  4. 102'
    Yellow Card
    T. Muharemovic (Bosnia & Herzegovina) cautioned
  5. 91'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Italy: L. Spinazzola replaces F. Dimarco
  6. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Italy: D. Frattesi replaces N. Barella
  7. 81'
    Yellow Card
    G. Donnarumma (Italy) cautioned
  8. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Bosnia & Herzegovina by H. Tabakovic
    1-1
  9. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Italy: F. Esposito replaces M. Kean
  10. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Italy: B. Cristante replaces M. Locatelli
  11. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: D. Burnic replaces A. Memic
  12. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: H. Tabakovic replaces I. Basic
  13. 54'
    Yellow Card
    B. Tahirovic (Bosnia & Herzegovina) cautioned
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: K. Alajbegovic replaces S. Kolasinac
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bosnia & Herzegovina: B. Tahirovic replaces I. Sunjic
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Italy: M. Palestra replaces M. Politano
  17. 44'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Italy: F. Gatti replaces M. Retegui
  18. 41'
    Red Card
    A. Bastoni (Italy) sent off with a straight red card
  19. 15'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Italy by M. Kean, assisted by N. Barella
    1-0

Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Match prediction & analysis

Dimers' Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.

Match overview

  • Teams: Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina
  • Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
  • Time: 2:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Bilino Polje
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup qualifying play-offs

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Italy -180, Bosnia and Herzegovina +650, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+120/-142)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Italy: 64.6%
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina: 13.8%
  • Draw: 21.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Italy 1-0 Bosnia and Herzegovina (14.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Who will win Italy vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina? Prediction & correct score

Italy is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 64.6%.

The most likely correct score is Italy 1-0 Bosnia and Herzegovina.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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