Oilers vs. Canucks: NHL Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Oilers vs. Canucks NHL game on Thursday, October 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Oilers
9
7
Rogers Arena
Canucks
Rogers Arena
TEAM123T
Oilers
4 4 1 9
Canucks
0 3 4 7
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Oilers
    100%
  • Canucks
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Oilers
4 4 1 9
Canucks
0 3 4 7
P3 19:32 Shot on goal by Marco Rossi saved by Devon Levi
P3 19:23 Elias Pettersson shot blocked by Connor McDavid
P3 18:30 Goal scored by Jamie Oleksiak
P3 17:08 Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Leevi Meriläinen
P3 16:21 Zeev Buium shot blocked by Connor Murphy
P3 15:06 Power play - Ryan Shea shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:57 Power play - Shot on goal by Colton Dach saved by Leevi Meriläinen
P3 12:27 Shot missed by Luke Schenn
P3 09:26 Power play - Goal scored by Leon Draisaitl assisted by Connor McDavid and Vasily Podkolzin
P3 08:57 Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Leevi Meriläinen
P3 07:23 Power play - Shot on goal by Brock Boeser saved by Devon Levi
P3 06:39 Power play - Filip Hronek shot blocked by Connor McDavid
P3 06:29 Power play - Shot on goal by Jake DeBrusk saved by Devon Levi
P3 05:57 Max Sasson shot blocked by Connor Murphy
P3 03:14 Jamie Oleksiak shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P3 01:37 Marco Rossi shot blocked by Colton Dach
P3 01:35 Shot missed by Jonathan Lekkerimäki
P2 19:59 Shot on goal by Canucks saved by Devon Levi
P2 15:46 Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
P2 15:12 Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:53
    Owen Michaels won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in defensive zone
  3. P3 19:53
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  4. P3 19:49
    Oilers won faceoff against Canucks in defensive zone
  5. P3 19:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Marco Rossi saved by Devon Levi
  6. P3 19:23
    SHOT
    Elias Pettersson shot blocked by Connor McDavid
  7. P3 18:31
    Oilers won faceoff against Canucks in neutral zone
  8. P3 18:30
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jamie Oleksiak
    9-7
  9. P3 17:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Leevi Meriläinen
  10. P3 16:54
    Giveaway by Brock Boeser in defensive zone
  11. P3 16:21
    SHOT
    Zeev Buium shot blocked by Connor Murphy
  12. P3 16:12
    Giveaway by Connor Murphy in defensive zone
  13. P3 15:08
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Max Sasson in neutral zone
  14. P3 15:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Ryan Shea shot blocked by teammate
  15. P3 14:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Colton Dach saved by Leevi Meriläinen
  16. P3 14:23
    Oilers won faceoff against Canucks in neutral zone
  17. P3 14:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  18. P3 13:48
    Shorthanded - Paul Cotter won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  19. P3 13:27
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  20. P3 13:27
    Penalty to Jake DeBrusk 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Mattias Ekholm)
  21. P3 13:27
    Oilers won faceoff against Canucks in neutral zone
  22. P3 12:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Luke Schenn
  23. P3 10:16
    Giveaway by Luke Schenn in offensive zone
  24. P3 10:01
    Kasperi Kapanen credited with hit on Elias Pettersson in offensive zone
  25. P3 09:26
    Paul Cotter won faceoff against Owen Michaels in neutral zone
  26. P3 09:26
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Leon Draisaitl assisted by Connor McDavid and Vasily Podkolzin
    9-6
  27. P3 09:20
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Max Sasson in offensive zone
  28. P3 08:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Leevi Meriläinen
  29. P3 08:50
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in offensive zone
  30. P3 07:37
    Paul Cotter won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  31. P3 07:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brock Boeser saved by Devon Levi
  32. P3 06:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Filip Hronek shot blocked by Connor McDavid
  33. P3 06:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jake DeBrusk saved by Devon Levi
  34. P3 06:26
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  35. P3 06:15
    Colton Dach won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in defensive zone
  36. P3 05:59
    Colton Dach won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in defensive zone
  37. P3 05:59
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  38. P3 05:57
    SHOT
    Max Sasson shot blocked by Connor Murphy
  39. P3 04:53
    Stoppage - Icing
  40. P3 04:49
    Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Filip Hronek in offensive zone
  41. P3 04:43
    Oilers won faceoff against Canucks in neutral zone
  42. P3 04:23
    Max Jones credited with hit on Marco Rossi in defensive zone
  43. P3 03:14
    SHOT
    Jamie Oleksiak shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
  44. P3 01:53
    Max Sasson won faceoff against Josh Samanski in neutral zone
  45. P3 01:48
    Giveaway by Max Jones in defensive zone
  46. P3 01:37
    SHOT
    Marco Rossi shot blocked by Colton Dach
  47. P3 01:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jonathan Lekkerimäki
  48. P3 00:53
    Giveaway by Owen Michaels in defensive zone
  49. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  50. P2 19:59
    Marco Rossi won faceoff against Owen Michaels in neutral zone
  51. P2 19:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Canucks saved by Devon Levi
  52. P2 19:03
    Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Josh Samanski in neutral zone
  53. P2 18:40
    Oilers won faceoff against Canucks in neutral zone
  54. P2 18:21
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in offensive zone
  55. P2 17:50
    Giveaway by Connor Murphy in neutral zone
  56. P2 17:01
    Colton Dach won faceoff against Paul Cotter in offensive zone
  57. P2 17:01
    Stoppage - Icing
  58. P2 15:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
  59. P2 15:18
    Giveaway by Brendan Gallagher in neutral zone
  60. P2 15:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
  61. P2 13:40
    Power play - Elias Pettersson credited with hit on Mattias Ekholm in offensive zone
  62. P2 13:27
    Power play - Giveaway by Brock Boeser in neutral zone
  63. P2 12:59
    Oilers won faceoff against Canucks in neutral zone
  64. P2 12:48
    SHOT
    Jake Walman shot blocked by Brendan Gallagher
  65. P2 12:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Leevi Meriläinen
  66. P2 12:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Leevi Meriläinen
  67. P2 12:09
    Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  68. P2 11:30
    Owen Michaels won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in defensive zone
  69. P2 11:02
    Paul Cotter credited with hit on Colton Dach in offensive zone
  70. P2 10:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Elias Pettersson
  71. P2 10:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Drew O'Connor
  72. P2 08:44
    Power play - Giveaway by Jake DeBrusk in offensive zone
  73. P2 08:23
    Power play - Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Owen Michaels in neutral zone
  74. P2 08:02
    Power play - Giveaway by Zeev Buium in neutral zone
  75. P2 07:49
    Shorthanded - Owen Michaels won faceoff against Linus Karlsson in neutral zone
  76. P2 07:49
    GOAL
    Shorthanded - Goal scored by Connor McDavid
    7-2
  77. P2 07:47
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  78. P2 07:24
    Shorthanded - Connor McDavid won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in defensive zone
  79. P2 07:24
    Penalty to Trent Frederic 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Jamie Oleksiak)
  80. P2 07:07
    SHOT
    Trent Frederic shot blocked by Jamie Oleksiak
  81. P2 07:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Isaac Howard saved by Kevin Lankinen
  82. P2 05:47
    Oilers won faceoff against Canucks in neutral zone
  83. P2 05:31
    Stoppage - Offside
  84. P2 05:19
    SHOT
    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Linus Karlsson
  85. P2 05:04
    Oilers won faceoff against Canucks in neutral zone
  86. P2 05:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Isaac Howard saved by Kevin Lankinen
  87. P2 04:31
    Josh Samanski won faceoff against Paul Cotter in neutral zone
  88. P2 04:31
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Paul Cotter assisted by Liam Ohgren
    5-1
  89. P2 04:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Canucks
  90. P2 03:26
    Owen Michaels won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in neutral zone
  91. P2 02:17
    Giveaway by Arshdeep Bains in offensive zone
  92. P2 02:13
    Giveaway by Shakir Mukhamadullin in defensive zone
  93. P2 00:31
    Brock Boeser credited with hit on Ryan Shea in neutral zone
  94. P2 00:29
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Leon Draisaitl assisted by Evan Bouchard and Connor McDavid
    5-0
  95. P2 00:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Kevin Lankinen
  96. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  97. P1 19:49
    SHOT
    Max Jones shot blocked by Elias Pettersson
  98. P1 19:32
    Josh Samanski won faceoff against Paul Cotter in neutral zone
  99. P1 19:32
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ryan Shea assisted by Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl
    4-0
  100. P1 19:22
    Evan Bouchard credited with hit on Max Sasson in defensive zone
  101. P1 18:40
    Oilers won faceoff against Canucks in neutral zone
  102. P1 18:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  103. P1 17:35
    Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Owen Michaels in neutral zone
  104. P1 17:35
    Stoppage - Offside
  105. P1 17:26
    Marco Rossi won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  106. P1 16:09
    Power play - Max Jones won faceoff against Max Sasson in offensive zone
  107. P1 16:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Kevin Lankinen
  108. P1 15:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  109. P1 15:12
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in offensive zone
  110. P1 15:12
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  111. P1 15:02
    Oilers won faceoff against Jonathan Lekkerimäki in neutral zone
  112. P1 14:42
    Colton Dach won faceoff against Canucks in neutral zone
  113. P1 14:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Kevin Lankinen
  114. P1 14:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
  115. P1 13:30
    SHOT
    Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Connor Murphy
  116. P1 12:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colton Dach saved by Kevin Lankinen
  117. P1 12:18
    SHOT
    Jake Walman shot blocked by Liam Ohgren
  118. P1 11:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Linus Karlsson saved by Devon Levi
  119. P1 11:05
    Giveaway by Linus Karlsson in offensive zone
  120. P1 10:29
    Jake DeBrusk credited with hit on Connor Murphy in offensive zone
  121. P1 09:58
    Luke Schenn credited with hit on Isaac Howard in offensive zone
  122. P1 09:51
    SHOT
    Elias Pettersson shot blocked by Shakir Mukhamadullin
  123. P1 09:14
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Paul Cotter in offensive zone
  124. P1 09:07
    SHOT
    Ryan Shea shot blocked by Tom Willander
  125. P1 08:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  126. P1 08:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Jones saved by Kevin Lankinen
  127. P1 08:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Kevin Lankinen
  128. P1 07:45
    Jake Walman won faceoff against Jake DeBrusk in offensive zone
  129. P1 07:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Kevin Lankinen
  130. P1 07:23
    Colton Dach won faceoff against Elias Pettersson in neutral zone
  131. P1 07:23
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  132. P1 06:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mathieu Joseph saved by Kevin Lankinen
  133. P1 05:34
    Mattias Ekholm credited with hit on Max Sasson in defensive zone
  134. P1 05:12
    Linus Karlsson won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
  135. P1 04:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brock Boeser
  136. P1 04:58
    SHOT
    Luke Schenn shot blocked by Alex Formenton
  137. P1 03:35
    Shorthanded - Elias Pettersson won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  138. P1 03:24
    Shorthanded - Paul Cotter won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  139. P1 03:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  140. P1 02:31
    Shorthanded - Drew O'Connor won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  141. P1 02:31
    Penalty to Brendan Gallagher 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Ryan Shea)
  142. P1 02:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
  143. P1 00:09
    Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Zeev Buium in offensive zone
Stats
Oilers
STATS
Canucks
31Shots on Goal22
41% Faceoff Win % 59%
5/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins10
20Hits28
17 Shots Blocked 12
19Giveaways27
OilersEDM
CanucksVAN
31Shots on Goal22
41% Faceoff Win % 59%
5/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins10
20Hits28
17 Shots Blocked 12
19Giveaways27

Oilers vs. Canucks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: Edmonton Oilers vs. Vancouver Canucks
  • Date: Thursday, October 1, 2026
  • Time: 10:00PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Arena

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Oilers (-1.5, +112), Canucks (+1.5, -125)
  • Moneyline: Oilers -218, Canucks +190
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (-117/+105)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Oilers: 63.1%
  • Canucks: 36.8%

Dimers' predictive NHL model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Oilers a win probability of 63.1%, while the Canucks have a win probability of 36.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Canucks in the NHL game at Rogers Arena on Thursday. Discover the best puck line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Oilers vs. Canucks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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