Avalanche vs. Flames Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Avalanche
- Flames
- Nathan MacKinnon39.6%
- Martin Necas34.6%
- Artturi Lehkonen31.7%
- Brock Nelson
- Parker Kelly
- Matthew Coronato26.5%
- Morgan Frost25.7%
- Yegor Sharangovich22.5%
- Joel Farabee
- Mikael Backlund
Avalanche vs. Flames prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Thursday
- Teams: Colorado Avalanche vs. Calgary Flames
- Date: Thursday, October 8, 2026
- Puck drop: 9:00PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Avalanche (-1.5, +107), Flames (+1.5, -118)
- Moneyline: Avalanche -233, Flames +205
- Total (Over/Under): 6 goals (-127/+107)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Avalanche: 65.9%
- Flames: 34.1%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Avalanche vs. Flames player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- Nathan MacKinnon, Avalanche: 39.2%
- Martin Necas, Avalanche: 34.1%
- Matthew Coronato, Flames: 27.0%
- Morgan Frost, Flames: 25.9%
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Avalanche a win probability of 65.9%, while the Flames have a win probability of 34.1%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Scotiabank Saddledome on Thursday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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