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Stars vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Stars vs. Capitals NHL game on January 7, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Stars
4
1
Jan 8, 12AM Capital One Arena
Capitals
Jan 8, 12AM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Stars
1124
Capitals
0011
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
StarsDAL
Win %
100%
0%
CapitalsWSH
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Stars
1124
Capitals
0011
P3 19:41 Goal scored by Roope Hintz
P3 19:34 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 19:19 Shot missed by Justin Hryckowian
P3 19:02 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 18:27 Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 17:41 Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 17:36 Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 17:32 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 17:18 Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 17:03 Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Logan Thompson
P3 16:55 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Sam Steel
P3 13:59 Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 13:29 Goal scored by Wyatt Johnston
P3 13:07 Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Logan Thompson
P3 12:10 Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 11:59 Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Logan Thompson
P3 11:51 Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 11:38 Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Logan Thompson
P3 11:12 Jason Robertson shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 11:03 Shot missed by Thomas Harley
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:41
Brett Leason won faceoff against Roope Hintz in neutral zone
P3 19:41
GOAL
Goal scored by Roope Hintz
4-1
P3 19:36
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
P3 19:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 19:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 19:22
John Carlson credited with hit on Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
P3 19:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Hryckowian
P3 19:06
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
P3 19:06
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 19:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 18:47
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
P3 18:47
Stoppage - Icing
P3 18:40
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P3 18:40
Stoppage - Icing
P3 18:32
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P3 18:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 17:41
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
P3 17:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 17:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 17:34
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Sam Steel in offensive zone
P3 17:34
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 17:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 17:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 17:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Logan Thompson
P3 16:55
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Sam Steel
P3 16:33
Giveaway by Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P3 16:14
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
P3 16:14
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 15:12
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
P3 15:12
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
P3 13:59
SHOT
Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 13:37
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P3 13:37
Stoppage - Icing
P3 13:31
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
P3 13:29
GOAL
Goal scored by Wyatt Johnston
2-0
P3 13:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Logan Thompson
P3 12:45
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
P3 12:45
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 12:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 11:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Logan Thompson
P3 11:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 11:41
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P3 11:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 11:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Logan Thompson
P3 11:16
Giveaway by Sonny Milano in defensive zone
P3 11:12
SHOT
Jason Robertson shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 11:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Harley
P3 10:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P3 10:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 10:01
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
P3 10:01
Stoppage
P3 09:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Logan Thompson
P3 09:05
Takeaway by Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P3 09:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 08:52
SHOT
Justin Hryckowian shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:46
SHOT
Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P3 07:33
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
P3 07:03
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P3 07:03
Stoppage - Icing
P3 06:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Logan Thompson
P3 06:47
SHOT
Power play - Roope Hintz shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 06:09
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:37
SHOT
Power play - Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 05:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:19
SHOT
Power play - Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Connor McMichael
P3 05:14
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Logan Thompson
P3 04:57
Power play - Roope Hintz won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P3 04:57
Penalty to Nic Dowd 2 minutes for Hooking
P3 04:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Stars saved by Logan Thompson
P3 04:33
Giveaway by Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P3 04:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 03:25
Giveaway by Mikko Rantanen in offensive zone
P3 03:13
SHOT
Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by teammate
P3 02:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 01:59
SHOT
Justin Hryckowian shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 01:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 01:47
Giveaway by Miro Heiskanen in defensive zone
P3 01:07
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Jason Robertson
P3 01:06
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
P3 01:06
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 01:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 01:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 00:51
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
P3 00:51
Stoppage
P3 00:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Logan Thompson
P3 00:00
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:43
Giveaway by Roope Hintz in offensive zone
P2 19:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Casey DeSmith
P2 18:38
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Capitals in defensive zone
P2 18:37
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
P2 18:37
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
P2 18:37
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 18:35
SHOT
Connor McMichael shot blocked by Thomas Harley
P2 18:10
Giveaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
P2 17:28
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Justin Hryckowian
P2 16:47
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P2 16:07
Shorthanded - Miro Heiskanen credited with hit on Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P2 15:55
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
P2 15:55
Penalty to Mikko Rantanen 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 15:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
P2 15:18
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
P2 15:18
Stoppage - Icing
P2 15:05
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P2 15:05
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 15:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nils Lundkvist saved by Logan Thompson
P2 14:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Logan Thompson
P2 14:54
Giveaway by Nic Dowd in neutral zone
P2 14:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Stars
P2 14:49
SHOT
Jason Robertson shot blocked by Nic Dowd
P2 14:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
P2 14:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Casey DeSmith
P2 14:19
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
P2 14:19
Stoppage - Icing
P2 13:59
Matt Roy credited with hit on Matt Duchene in defensive zone
P2 12:53
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P2 12:53
Penalty to Brandon Duhaime 5 minutes for Fighting
P2 12:51
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
P2 12:51
Stoppage - High Stick
P2 12:45
Matt Roy credited with hit on Mavrik Bourque in defensive zone
P2 12:32
SHOT
Ethen Frank shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P2 12:11
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Roope Hintz in neutral zone
P2 12:11
Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
P2 12:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Logan Thompson
P2 12:07
SHOT
Sam Steel shot blocked by teammate
P2 11:24
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
P2 11:24
Stoppage - Icing
P2 10:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nils Lundkvist saved by Logan Thompson
P2 10:27
Takeaway by Radek Faksa in offensive zone
P2 09:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Logan Thompson
P2 09:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Casey DeSmith
P2 09:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Logan Thompson
P2 09:21
SHOT
Roope Hintz shot blocked by Nic Dowd
P2 08:54
Giveaway by Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
P2 08:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Logan Thompson
P2 08:32
Takeaway by Colin Blackwell in defensive zone
P2 08:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Casey DeSmith
P2 08:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Ilya Lyubushkin
P2 07:12
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P2 06:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Logan Thompson
P2 06:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Roope Hintz
P2 05:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Esa Lindell
P2 04:58
Giveaway by Dylan McIlrath in neutral zone
P2 04:47
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
P2 04:47
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 04:27
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
P2 04:27
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 03:09
SHOT
Jason Robertson shot blocked by John Carlson
P2 02:37
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jason Robertson in neutral zone
P2 02:37
GOAL
Goal scored by Sam Steel
2-0
P2 02:13
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
P2 02:13
Stoppage - Icing
P2 01:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Logan Thompson
P2 01:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Casey DeSmith
P2 01:12
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
P2 01:12
Penalty to Brandon Duhaime 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 01:12
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Casey DeSmith
P2 00:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
P2 00:38
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Brandon Duhaime in neutral zone
P2 00:38
Stoppage - Offside
P2 00:23
Giveaway by John Carlson in defensive zone
P2 00:17
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
P2 00:17
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P2 00:11
SHOT
Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P2 00:00
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:38
Sam Steel won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P1 19:38
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 19:29
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
P1 19:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 19:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P1 18:15
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P1 18:15
Stoppage - Icing
P1 17:29
Giveaway by Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P1 17:02
Takeaway by Miro Heiskanen in defensive zone
P1 16:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Brett Leason
P1 16:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Duhaime saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 15:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Roope Hintz
P1 15:05
Takeaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
P1 14:36
Giveaway by Alex Ovechkin in offensive zone
P1 14:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Logan Thompson
P1 13:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
P1 13:32
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P1 13:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 13:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Logan Thompson
P1 12:25
SHOT
Kyle Capobianco shot blocked by Dylan McIlrath
P1 11:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 11:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
P1 10:44
Giveaway by Dylan Strome in offensive zone
P1 10:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P1 10:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 10:25
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
P1 10:25
Stoppage - Icing
P1 09:57
Roope Hintz won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P1 09:57
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 09:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P1 09:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McMichael
P1 08:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sonny Milano saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 08:14
Giveaway by Miro Heiskanen in defensive zone
P1 08:03
Giveaway by Esa Lindell in offensive zone
P1 08:01
Giveaway by Brandon Duhaime in defensive zone
P1 07:59
SHOT
Esa Lindell shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
P1 07:33
Ethen Frank credited with hit on Miro Heiskanen in defensive zone
P1 07:23
SHOT
Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Ethen Frank
P1 07:22
Sam Steel won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P1 07:22
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 07:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Logan Thompson
P1 06:25
Giveaway by Radek Faksa in neutral zone
P1 06:15
Ilya Lyubushkin credited with hit on Anthony Beauvillier in defensive zone
P1 06:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 06:02
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
P1 06:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 05:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Strome
P1 05:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
P1 05:46
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Kyle Capobianco
P1 05:20
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
P1 05:20
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 05:18
SHOT
Matt Duchene shot blocked by Nic Dowd
P1 05:09
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Martin Fehervary in defensive zone
P1 05:05
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matt Duchene
P1 04:40
SHOT
Roope Hintz shot blocked by Justin Sourdif
P1 04:21
SHOT
Jason Robertson shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P1 04:02
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
P1 03:43
SHOT
Shot missed by John Carlson
P1 03:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Strome
P1 03:16
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
P1 03:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:14
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Logan Thompson
P1 03:06
Power play - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
P1 03:06
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Radek Faksa
1-0
P1 03:03
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Radek Faksa saved by Logan Thompson
P1 02:44
Shorthanded - Radek Faksa won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P1 02:44
Penalty to Ilya Lyubushkin 2 minutes for Holding
P1 02:40
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Wyatt Johnston
P1 02:29
Giveaway by Ilya Lyubushkin in offensive zone
P1 02:28
Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
P1 02:22
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Sam Steel in defensive zone
P1 02:22
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan Bastian saved by Logan Thompson
P1 01:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nils Lundkvist saved by Logan Thompson
P1 01:49
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
P1 01:49
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 01:44
Matt Duchene credited with hit on Dylan McIlrath in offensive zone
P1 01:42
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Colin Blackwell in defensive zone
P1 00:58
Brandon Duhaime credited with hit on Ilya Lyubushkin in offensive zone
P1 00:23
Giveaway by Mikko Rantanen in defensive zone
P1 00:12
Takeaway by Martin Fehervary in defensive zone
P1 00:05
Giveaway by Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Stars
 STATS
Capitals
36Shots on Goal24
44%Faceoff Win %56%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
11Penalty Infraction Mins11
16Hits22
11Shots Blocked16
13Giveaways24
StarsDAL
CapitalsWSH
36Shots on Goal24
44%Faceoff Win %56%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
11Penalty Infraction Mins11
16Hits22
11Shots Blocked16
13Giveaways24

Game Prediction Article

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Stars vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Stars vs. Capitals
  • Date: Wednesday, January 7, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Stars +105, Capitals -118

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Stars: 49%
  • Capitals: 51%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 49%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Stars in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Stars vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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