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Lightning vs. Panthers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Panthers NHL game on December 27, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
2
Dec 28, 12AM Amerant Bank Arena
Dec 28, 12AM Amerant Bank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Panthers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Panthers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
P3 19:42 Power play - Sam Bennett shot blocked by Max Crozier
P3 19:34 Power play - Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 19:25 Shot on goal by Jeff Petry saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 19:04 Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov (Empty Net)
P3 18:36 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 18:12 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 17:54 Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
P3 16:22 Power play - Seth Jones shot blocked by Nick Paul
P3 16:13 Power play - Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:08 Power play - Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:10 Power play - Seth Jones shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P3 14:37 Shot on goal by Uvis Balinskis saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 13:32 Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 11:40 Power play - Shot missed by Brad Marchand
P3 10:47 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brad Marchand saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:46 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:42 Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Sam Reinhart
P3 08:50 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 08:40 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Jeff Petry
P3 08:33 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Sam Bennett shot blocked by Max Crozier
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Nick Paul won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Petry saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Luke Kunin won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov (Empty Net)
4-2
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
Carter Verhaeghe won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Seth Jones shot blocked by Nick Paul
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Seth Jones shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
Penalty to Brad Marchand 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Yanni Gourde 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Uvis Balinskis 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Max Crozier 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Sam Bennett 2 minutes for Misconduct
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Uvis Balinskis saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Niko Mikkola credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in offensive zone
Penalty to Sam Bennett 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brad Marchand
Sam Reinhart won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Nick Paul won faceoff against Carter Verhaeghe in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brad Marchand saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Sam Reinhart
Shorthanded - Anton Lundell won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Penalty to Sam Bennett 2 minutes for Slashing
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Uvis Balinskis in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Jeff Petry
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Nick Paul won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Anton Lundell shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
Power play - Anton Lundell won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Seth Jones
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
Penalty to Max Crozier 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Jesper Boqvist)
Power play - Luke Kunin won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Declan Carlile in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brad Marchand
SHOT
Power play - Sam Bennett shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Sam Bennett
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Eetu Luostarinen
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Anton Lundell
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
Power play - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Scott Sabourin 10 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Eetu Luostarinen 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Scott Sabourin 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Power play - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Shorthanded - Giveaway by J.J. Moser in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
Penalty to A.J. Greer 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Oliver Bjorkstrand 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Carter Verhaeghe 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Anthony Cirelli 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Max Crozier 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Evan Rodrigues 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Jake Guentzel 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
J.J. Moser credited with hit on Sam Reinhart in neutral zone
Pontus Holmberg credited with hit on Anton Lundell in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Niko Mikkola shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Brad Marchand in defensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Carter Verhaeghe in neutral zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Studnicka saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Nick Paul won faceoff against Luke Kunin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Mackie Samoskevich in neutral zone
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Seth Jones
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Nick Paul shot blocked by Seth Jones
SHOT
Niko Mikkola shot blocked by Steven Santini
SHOT
Jeff Petry shot blocked by Max Crozier
Shorthanded - Anton Lundell won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
Shorthanded - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Niko Mikkola in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Anton Lundell won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Penalty to Aaron Ekblad 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Darren Raddysh)
Stoppage - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Aaron Ekblad
Giveaway by Seth Jones in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brad Marchand saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brad Marchand
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brad Marchand assisted by Sam Bennett and Sam Reinhart
3-2
Power play - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Luke Kunin 2 minutes for Misconduct
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot missed by A.J. Greer
SHOT
Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Seth Jones
Power play - Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Niko Mikkola in offensive zone
Power play - Takeaway by Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Penalty to Mackie Samoskevich 2 minutes for Misconduct
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Luke Kunin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Nick Paul won faceoff against Luke Kunin in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Brayden Point and Gage Goncalves
3-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Seth Jones saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Bennett
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Eetu Luostarinen credited with hit on Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Eetu Luostarinen credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot on goal by Seth Jones saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
Luke Kunin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Giveaway by Jeff Petry in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Shot missed by Aaron Ekblad
Takeaway by Eetu Luostarinen in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Seth Jones
Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Anton Lundell won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
Power play - Charle-Edouard D'Astous credited with hit on Sam Reinhart in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Anton Lundell
Gustav Forsling credited with hit on Nick Paul in defensive zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
Penalty to Aaron Ekblad 2 minutes for Misconduct
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Anthony Cirelli
2-1
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Sam Reinhart won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
Penalty to Steven Santini 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Jesper Boqvist)
SHOT
Shot missed by Uvis Balinskis
Sam Bennett credited with hit on Oliver Bjorkstrand in defensive zone
Giveaway by Carter Verhaeghe in neutral zone
A.J. Greer credited with hit on Max Crozier in offensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Studnicka saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
SHOT
Uvis Balinskis shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
Penalty to A.J. Greer 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Nikita Kucherov)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Crozier
Jesper Boqvist credited with hit on Max Crozier in neutral zone
Gage Goncalves won faceoff against Luke Kunin in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Aaron Ekblad shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Shorthanded - Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Power play - Carter Verhaeghe won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 2 minutes for Misconduct
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
Luke Kunin won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Luke Kunin won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Uvis Balinskis in offensive zone
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Max Crozier credited with hit on Carter Verhaeghe in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Carter Verhaeghe shot blocked by Max Crozier
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 26 | |||
| 48% | Faceoff Win % | 52% | |||
| 6/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 10/1 | |||
| 87 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 49 | |||
| 32 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 17 | Shots Blocked | 9 | |||
| 10 | Giveaways | 10 |
| |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 26 | |||
| 48% | Faceoff Win % | 52% | |||
| 6/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 10/1 | |||
| 87 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 49 | |||
| 32 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 17 | Shots Blocked | 9 | |||
| 10 | Giveaways | 10 |
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Lightning vs. Panthers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Panthers
- Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Amerant Bank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -109, Panthers +100
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 50%
- Panthers: 50%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 50%, while the Panthers have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Panthers in the NHL game at Amerant Bank Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Panthers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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