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Penguins vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Senators NHL game on December 18, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
0
4
Dec 19, 12AM Canadian Tire Centre
Dec 19, 12AM Canadian Tire Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Senators | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Senators | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
P3 19:52 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 18:53 Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P3 18:52 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:51 Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:44 Artem Zub shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 18:34 Jordan Spence shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 17:28 Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P3 17:11 Rutger McGroarty shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P3 16:25 Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 16:22 Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 15:07 Shot on goal by Stephen Halliday saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 13:55 Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk assisted by Nick Jensen and Nikolas Matinpalo
P3 12:59 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:56 Shot missed by Noel Acciari
P3 12:32 Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 11:29 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 11:23 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:27 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 09:44 Shot missed by Ryan Shea
P3 09:35 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Linus Ullmark
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Penalty to Anthony Mantha 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Ridly Greig)
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Ryan Shea
SHOT
Jordan Spence shot blocked by Ryan Shea
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
SHOT
Rutger McGroarty shot blocked by Nick Jensen
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Ridly Greig
Nick Cousins credited with hit on Kris Letang in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Stephen Halliday saved by Arturs Silovs
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk assisted by Nick Jensen and Nikolas Matinpalo
0-4
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Noel Acciari
Michael Amadio credited with hit on Jack St. Ivany in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Arturs Silovs
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
Stephen Halliday won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Shea
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
Nick Cousins credited with hit on Jack St. Ivany in neutral zone
Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Ben Kindel in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rutger McGroarty saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Arturs Silovs
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Linus Ullmark
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Jordan Spence
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Linus Ullmark
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Shea
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Giveaway by Bryan Rust in defensive zone
Stephen Halliday credited with hit on Brett Kulak in offensive zone
Stephen Halliday won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
SHOT
Shot missed by Brett Kulak
Giveaway by Brett Kulak in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Danton Heinen
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Arturs Silovs
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Giveaway by Connor Dewar in offensive zone
SHOT
Stephen Halliday shot blocked by Kris Letang
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
SHOT
Nick Jensen shot blocked by Kevin Hayes
David Perron won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
Shorthanded - Ben Kindel won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Arturs Silovs
Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
Penguins challenge (Interference on goalie), call reversed
Stoppage - Chlg Vis - goal interference
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Thomas Novak
Justin Brazeau credited with hit on Nick Cousins in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Linus Ullmark
Power play - Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
Penalty to Claude Giroux 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Sidney Crosby)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Arturs Silovs
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
SHOT
Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Jordan Spence
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Kleven
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Claude Giroux assisted by Michael Amadio and Ridly Greig
0-3
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
Rickard Rakell credited with hit on David Perron in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
Stephen Halliday won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
Connor Dewar credited with hit on Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Linus Ullmark
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by David Perron assisted by Jordan Spence and Drake Batherson
0-2
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Claude Giroux
SHOT
Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Penalty to Nikolas Matinpalo 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Justin Brazeau)
Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Ryan Shea in offensive zone
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Bryan Rust
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Jensen
SHOT
Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Jordan Spence
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Danton Heinen
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by teammate
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Jack St. Ivany credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
Giveaway by Brett Kulak in defensive zone
Tim Stutzle credited with hit on Jack St. Ivany in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
SHOT
Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
SHOT
Stephen Halliday shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
SHOT
Connor Dewar shot blocked by Stephen Halliday
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack St. Ivany saved by Linus Ullmark
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot missed by Danton Heinen
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Claude Giroux shot blocked by Kris Letang
SHOT
Shot missed by Ridly Greig
Giveaway by Anthony Mantha in neutral zone
SHOT
Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Jack St. Ivany
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Brett Kulak
SHOT
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
SHOT
Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Stephen Halliday shot blocked by Danton Heinen
Nick Cousins won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Arturs Silovs
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Linus Ullmark
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Brett Kulak in defensive zone
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
Penalty to Arturs Silovs 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Tim Stutzle) (Served by Danton Heinen)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Amadio
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 26 | |||
| 45% | Faceoff Win % | 55% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 21 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 22 | Giveaways | 10 |
| |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 26 | |||
| 45% | Faceoff Win % | 55% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 21 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 22 | Giveaways | 10 |
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Penguins vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Penguins vs. Senators
- Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Penguins +142, Senators -150
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Penguins: 43%
- Senators: 57%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 43%, while the Senators have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Penguins vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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