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Penguins vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Senators NHL game on December 18, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
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NHL
Penguins
0
4
Dec 19, 12AM Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Dec 19, 12AM Canadian Tire Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 0 0 0
Senators
1 2 1 4
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
PenguinsPIT
Win %
0%
100%
SenatorsOTT
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 0 0 0
Senators
1 2 1 4
P3 19:52 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 18:53 Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P3 18:52 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:51 Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:44 Artem Zub shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 18:34 Jordan Spence shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 17:28 Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P3 17:11 Rutger McGroarty shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P3 16:25 Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 16:22 Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 15:07 Shot on goal by Stephen Halliday saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 13:55 Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk assisted by Nick Jensen and Nikolas Matinpalo
P3 12:59 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:56 Shot missed by Noel Acciari
P3 12:32 Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 11:29 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 11:23 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:27 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 09:44 Shot missed by Ryan Shea
P3 09:35 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:52
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 19:06
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P3 19:06
Penalty to Anthony Mantha 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Ridly Greig)
P3 18:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P3 18:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:44
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 18:34
SHOT
Jordan Spence shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 17:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P3 17:11
SHOT
Rutger McGroarty shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P3 16:27
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P3 16:27
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 16:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 16:22
SHOT
Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 15:32
Nick Cousins credited with hit on Kris Letang in offensive zone
P3 15:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Stephen Halliday saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 13:55
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
P3 13:55
GOAL
Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk assisted by Nick Jensen and Nikolas Matinpalo
0-4
P3 12:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:58
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
P3 12:58
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 12:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Noel Acciari
P3 12:37
Michael Amadio credited with hit on Jack St. Ivany in offensive zone
P3 12:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 11:39
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
P3 11:39
Stoppage - Icing
P3 11:32
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P3 11:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 11:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 11:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 09:51
Stephen Halliday won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P3 09:51
Stoppage - Icing
P3 09:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Shea
P3 09:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 09:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 09:09
Nick Cousins credited with hit on Jack St. Ivany in neutral zone
P3 08:52
Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P3 08:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rutger McGroarty saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 08:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 07:39
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
P3 07:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 07:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 07:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P3 06:37
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Jordan Spence
P3 06:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 06:10
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P3 06:10
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P3 06:04
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
P3 06:04
Stoppage - Icing
P3 05:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Shea
P3 05:06
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
P3 05:06
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 02:53
Giveaway by Bryan Rust in defensive zone
P3 02:42
Stephen Halliday credited with hit on Brett Kulak in offensive zone
P3 02:24
Stephen Halliday won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P3 02:24
Stoppage - Offside
P3 02:09
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P3 02:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 01:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P3 01:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Brett Kulak
P3 00:56
Giveaway by Brett Kulak in defensive zone
P3 00:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
P3 00:00
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Danton Heinen
P2 19:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P2 19:35
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P2 19:35
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 18:52
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P2 18:44
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P2 18:44
Stoppage - Offside
P2 17:24
Giveaway by Connor Dewar in offensive zone
P2 16:30
SHOT
Stephen Halliday shot blocked by Kris Letang
P2 16:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 16:20
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P2 14:46
SHOT
Nick Jensen shot blocked by Kevin Hayes
P2 14:29
David Perron won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P2 14:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 13:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 12:09
Shorthanded - Ben Kindel won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in defensive zone
P2 12:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 12:07
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 11:21
Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
P2 11:21
Penguins challenge (Interference on goalie), call reversed
P2 11:21
Stoppage - Chlg Vis - goal interference
P2 11:21
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
P2 11:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
P2 11:16
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
P2 11:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
P2 11:16
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 10:56
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
P2 10:56
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 10:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 10:43
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Thomas Novak
P2 10:39
Justin Brazeau credited with hit on Nick Cousins in defensive zone
P2 10:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 10:06
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P2 09:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 09:50
Power play - Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
P2 09:50
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 09:18
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 08:49
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P2 08:24
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P2 08:11
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
P2 08:11
Penalty to Claude Giroux 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Sidney Crosby)
P2 07:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 07:30
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 07:30
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 07:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P2 06:42
SHOT
Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Jordan Spence
P2 05:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 05:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Kleven
P2 05:08
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in offensive zone
P2 05:08
Stoppage - Icing
P2 04:50
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in neutral zone
P2 04:48
GOAL
Goal scored by Claude Giroux assisted by Michael Amadio and Ridly Greig
0-3
P2 04:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P2 04:05
Rickard Rakell credited with hit on David Perron in offensive zone
P2 04:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P2 03:59
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in offensive zone
P2 03:59
Stoppage - Icing
P2 03:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P2 03:17
Stephen Halliday won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
P2 03:17
Stoppage - Icing
P2 02:50
SHOT
Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
P2 01:58
Connor Dewar credited with hit on Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
P2 01:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 01:34
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
P2 01:34
GOAL
Goal scored by David Perron assisted by Jordan Spence and Drake Batherson
0-2
P2 01:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 01:03
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Claude Giroux
P2 00:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P2 00:33
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 00:33
Stoppage
P2 00:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 00:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 19:28
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P1 18:45
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 18:31
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 17:49
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P1 17:49
Penalty to Nikolas Matinpalo 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Justin Brazeau)
P1 17:41
Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Ryan Shea in offensive zone
P1 17:33
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P1 17:26
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P1 17:14
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P1 16:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P1 16:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 16:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Jensen
P1 16:05
SHOT
Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Jordan Spence
P1 15:46
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P1 15:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 15:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Danton Heinen
P1 15:42
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by teammate
P1 15:21
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in defensive zone
P1 15:21
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 15:06
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P1 15:06
Stoppage - Icing
P1 14:51
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P1 14:51
Stoppage - Offside
P1 14:25
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P1 14:25
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P1 14:04
Jack St. Ivany credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
P1 13:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P1 13:17
Giveaway by Brett Kulak in defensive zone
P1 13:15
Tim Stutzle credited with hit on Jack St. Ivany in offensive zone
P1 12:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
P1 12:01
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
P1 12:01
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 11:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 11:51
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P1 11:46
SHOT
Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by teammate
P1 11:39
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P1 11:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 11:22
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P1 11:11
SHOT
Stephen Halliday shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
P1 10:52
SHOT
Connor Dewar shot blocked by Stephen Halliday
P1 10:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 10:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P1 09:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
P1 09:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack St. Ivany saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 08:13
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P1 08:13
Stoppage
P1 08:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Danton Heinen
P1 07:44
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in defensive zone
P1 07:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 07:41
SHOT
Claude Giroux shot blocked by Kris Letang
P1 07:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Ridly Greig
P1 07:27
Giveaway by Anthony Mantha in neutral zone
P1 07:00
SHOT
Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Jack St. Ivany
P1 06:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
P1 06:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P1 06:43
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P1 06:37
SHOT
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
P1 06:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
P1 05:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 04:48
SHOT
Stephen Halliday shot blocked by Danton Heinen
P1 04:46
Nick Cousins won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
P1 04:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 04:34
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P1 04:34
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 04:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 03:08
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Brett Kulak in defensive zone
P1 02:47
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
P1 02:47
Stoppage - Offside
P1 02:16
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
P1 02:15
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 01:18
Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
P1 01:18
Penalty to Arturs Silovs 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Tim Stutzle) (Served by Danton Heinen)
P1 01:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 00:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Amadio
P1 00:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Senators
24Shots on Goal26
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
21Hits18
14Shots Blocked11
22Giveaways10
PenguinsPIT
SenatorsOTT
24Shots on Goal26
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
21Hits18
14Shots Blocked11
22Giveaways10

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Penguins vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Senators
  • Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +142, Senators -150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 43%
  • Senators: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 43%, while the Senators have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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