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Oilers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Oilers vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on December 13, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Oilers
6
3
Dec 14, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Dec 14, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Oilers
1 2 3 6
Maple Leafs
1 1 1 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
OilersEDM
Win %
100%
0%
Maple LeafsTOR
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Oilers
1 2 3 6
Maple Leafs
1 1 1 3
P3 19:50 Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P3 19:10 Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 19:06 Bobby McMann shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P3 18:44 Oilers shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 18:16 Shot missed by Curtis Lazar
P3 17:39 Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 17:28 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P3 17:19 Shot missed by Troy Stecher
P3 17:15 Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 15:39 Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 14:50 Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 14:23 Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P3 14:08 Shot missed by Simon Benoit
P3 13:42 Shot on goal by David Tomasek saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 13:04 Shot on goal by Ty Emberson saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 11:16 Ty Emberson shot blocked by Easton Cowan
P3 11:11 Shot on goal by Spencer Stastney saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 11:06 Mattias Janmark shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 10:47 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Scott Laughton
P3 09:26 Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:50
SHOT
Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P3 19:12
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
P3 19:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 19:08
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
P3 19:08
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 19:06
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P3 18:44
SHOT
Oilers shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 18:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Curtis Lazar
P3 18:02
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in defensive zone
P3 18:02
Stoppage - Icing
P3 17:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 17:28
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P3 17:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Troy Stecher
P3 17:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 15:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 14:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 14:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P3 14:15
Nicholas Robertson credited with hit on Spencer Stastney in offensive zone
P3 14:10
Matt Savoie won faceoff against Scott Laughton in defensive zone
P3 14:10
Oilers won faceoff against Scott Laughton in defensive zone
P3 14:10
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 14:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Benoit
P3 14:06
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P3 14:06
Stoppage - Icing
P3 13:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Tomasek saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 13:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ty Emberson saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 11:44
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Trent Frederic in defensive zone
P3 11:21
Trent Frederic credited with hit on Simon Benoit in offensive zone
P3 11:16
SHOT
Ty Emberson shot blocked by Easton Cowan
P3 11:13
Trent Frederic won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P3 11:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 11:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Spencer Stastney saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 11:09
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P3 11:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 11:06
SHOT
Mattias Janmark shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 10:47
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Scott Laughton
P3 09:49
Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P3 09:49
Stoppage - Offside
P3 09:28
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in neutral zone
P3 09:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
P3 09:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Oilers
P3 08:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P3 08:46
Connor McDavid won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 08:46
Stoppage - Icing
P3 08:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 07:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Henry Thrun saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 07:13
Easton Cowan credited with hit on Ty Emberson in offensive zone
P3 07:03
Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P3 07:03
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 07:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 06:33
Curtis Lazar won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 06:33
Stoppage
P3 06:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P3 06:22
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P3 06:22
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 06:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 06:01
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
P3 06:01
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
P3 05:47
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by David Tomasek
P3 05:13
Nicolas Roy credited with hit on Spencer Stastney in offensive zone
P3 04:59
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
P3 04:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Spencer Stastney saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 03:55
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P3 03:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P3 02:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P3 02:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Laughton
P3 01:55
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P3 01:29
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 01:29
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 01:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 01:21
John Tavares won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
P3 01:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P3 01:19
GOAL
Goal scored by Vasily Podkolzin assisted by Leon Draisaitl
4-2
P3 01:13
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 01:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alec Regula saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 00:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
P3 00:00
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:56
William Nylander won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P2 19:56
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:54
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P2 19:49
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Spencer Stastney
P2 19:47
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in offensive zone
P2 19:47
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 19:45
SHOT
Matthew Knies shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P2 19:29
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 19:27
GOAL
Goal scored by Darnell Nurse assisted by Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid
3-2
P2 18:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 18:01
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
P2 18:01
Stoppage - Offside
P2 17:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Oilers
P2 17:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P2 16:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 16:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Spencer Stastney saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 16:11
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 16:11
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 15:59
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P2 15:53
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P2 15:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 15:34
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P2 15:31
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P2 15:19
Shorthanded - Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P2 15:19
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 15:11
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 15:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 14:25
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 14:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P2 14:02
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in offensive zone
P2 14:02
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 14:02
Penalty to Vasily Podkolzin 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Jake McCabe)
P2 13:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Savoie
P2 12:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 11:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 11:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Henry Thrun
P2 11:25
SHOT
Easton Cowan shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P2 11:06
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Mattias Janmark in defensive zone
P2 11:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 11:03
SHOT
Ty Emberson shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P2 10:50
Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Scott Laughton in defensive zone
P2 10:50
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 10:29
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
P2 10:18
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P2 10:18
Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
P2 09:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 09:11
SHOT
Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P2 08:22
Curtis Lazar won faceoff against William Nylander in neutral zone
P2 08:22
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
P2 07:34
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P2 07:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Janmark saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 07:13
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P2 06:52
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P2 06:52
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 06:49
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 06:37
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 06:07
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 05:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 05:55
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 05:44
SHOT
Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P2 05:32
SHOT
Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P2 05:26
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P2 05:22
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P2 05:22
Penalty to John Tavares 2 minutes for Hooking
P2 04:54
John Tavares won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
P2 04:54
GOAL
Goal scored by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
1-2
P2 04:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 04:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P2 04:34
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
P2 04:34
Stoppage - Goalie Puck Frzn-plyd bynd ctr
P2 04:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 03:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 03:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 02:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Henrique saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 01:16
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P2 01:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P2 00:43
SHOT
Connor McDavid shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P2 00:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Hyman
P2 00:00
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:51
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P1 19:51
Stoppage - Icing
P1 19:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 19:20
John Tavares won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P1 19:20
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 17:54
SHOT
Connor McDavid shot blocked by Matthew Knies
P1 17:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 17:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 17:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P1 16:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 16:03
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 16:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 16:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 15:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P1 13:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Alec Regula
P1 13:04
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Evan Bouchard in neutral zone
P1 12:52
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 12:52
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 12:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 12:40
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 12:40
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 12:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P1 11:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 11:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 11:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P1 10:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P1 09:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Tomasek saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 09:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Oilers
P1 09:18
SHOT
Shot missed by David Tomasek
P1 09:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Curtis Lazar
P1 08:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Spencer Stastney saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 08:14
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P1 08:14
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 08:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
P1 07:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Oilers
P1 07:45
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 07:29
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 07:29
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 06:51
John Tavares won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P1 06:51
Stoppage - Icing
P1 06:43
John Tavares won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P1 06:43
Stoppage - Icing
P1 06:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trent Frederic saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 06:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in defensive zone
P1 06:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 05:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ty Emberson saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 05:55
Curtis Lazar won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 05:55
Stoppage - Goalie Puck Frzn-plyd bynd ctr
P1 05:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 05:15
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
P1 05:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 05:13
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 04:52
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 04:25
SHOT
Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 04:22
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 04:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 03:38
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P1 03:38
Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Vasily Podkolzin)
P1 03:25
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 03:25
GOAL
Goal scored by Connor McDavid assisted by Evan Bouchard
1-0
P1 02:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Tomasek saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 02:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 02:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Troy Stecher
P1 02:22
SHOT
Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Trent Frederic
P1 01:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 00:45
John Tavares won faceoff against Matt Savoie in defensive zone
P1 00:45
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 00:22
Giveaway by Zach Hyman in offensive zone
P1 00:21
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Zach Hyman in neutral zone
P1 00:20
Takeaway by Zach Hyman in offensive zone
P1 00:13
Giveaway by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
P1 00:10
SHOT
Zach Hyman shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 00:05
Giveaway by Troy Stecher in neutral zone
P1 00:03
Giveaway by Mattias Ekholm in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Oilers
STATS
Maple Leafs
37Shots on Goal28
53% Faceoff Win % 47%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
17Hits25
10Shots Blocked15
18Giveaways24
OilersEDM
Maple LeafsTOR
37Shots on Goal28
53% Faceoff Win % 47%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
17Hits25
10Shots Blocked15
18Giveaways24

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Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Saturday, December 13, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Oilers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Oilers -125, Maple Leafs +110

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Oilers: 52%
  • Maple Leafs: 48%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Oilers a win probability of 52%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Oilers vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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