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Lightning vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Islanders NHL game on December 13, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
3
Dec 13, 8:30PM UBS Arena
Dec 13, 8:30PM UBS Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Islanders | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Islanders | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
OT1 04:58 Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
OT1 04:11 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
OT1 02:44 Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
OT1 01:00 Emil Heineman shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 19:51 Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 19:46 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 19:41 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 19:38 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 19:00 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Mathew Barzal
P3 18:26 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 16:52 Declan Carlile shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P3 15:34 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 15:17 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Emil Heineman
P3 14:01 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 13:31 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P3 11:40 Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P3 11:38 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 11:04 Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 11:01 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 08:21 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jonas Johansson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of Shootout period.
End of Shootout period.
Shootout Goal scored by Emil Heineman on Jonas Johansson
Shootout attempt by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
Shootout attempt by Simon Holmstrom saved by Jonas Johansson
Shootout Goal scored by Brayden Point on Ilya Sorokin
Shootout Goal scored by Mathew Barzal on Jonas Johansson
Shootout attempt by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
Lightning replaced goalie. (Jonas Johansson)
End of 1st OT.
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Emil Heineman shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
Nick Paul won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Mathew Barzal
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Brayden Point won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Emil Heineman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Giveaway by J.J. Moser in offensive zone
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Kyle MacLean credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in defensive zone
Scott Mayfield credited with hit on Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Ilya Sorokin
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Ilya Sorokin
Anthony Duclair won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Declan Carlile
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot missed by Tony DeAngelo
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shorthanded - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
Power play - Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nick Paul won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by J.J. Moser assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point
2-2
Brayden Point won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Brayden Point won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle MacLean saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
Takeaway by Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Mitchell saved by Jonas Johansson
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Emil Heineman
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
Shorthanded - Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Player Equipment
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Emil Heineman shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
Scott Mayfield credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Ilya Sorokin
Brayden Point won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Nikita Kucherov
1-2
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Brayden Point won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Penalty to Casey Cizikas 2 minutes for Tripping
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Adam Pelech
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Penalty to Travis Mitchell 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Dominic James)
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Ilya Sorokin
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marc Gatcomb saved by Jonas Johansson
Nick Paul won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
Shorthanded - Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Nick Paul won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
Penalty to Calum Ritchie 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Max Shabanov
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Max Shabanov
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Power play - Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Adam Pelech
SHOT
Scott Mayfield shot blocked by J.J. Moser
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Anders Lee
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Max Crozier shot blocked by Adam Pelech
SHOT
Max Crozier shot blocked by Kyle MacLean
Emil Heineman credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Scott Sabourin credited with hit on Travis Mitchell in offensive zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Anthony Duclair in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nick Paul won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Crozier
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Nick Paul shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Calum Ritchie assisted by Anthony Duclair
0-2
Giveaway by Travis Mitchell in defensive zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Max Shabanov in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Jonas Johansson
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Ilya Sorokin
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Sabourin
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Calum Ritchie shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Shot missed by Jonathan Drouin
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Matthew Schaefer
0-1
SHOT
Power play - Mathew Barzal shot blocked by J.J. Moser
Power play - Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
Penalty to Max Shabanov 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Islanders in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
Penalty to Brayden Point 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Emil Heineman)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Ilya Sorokin
Giveaway by Travis Mitchell in defensive zone
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Travis Mitchell in offensive zone
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Scott Mayfield in offensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 17 | |||
| 51% | Faceoff Win % | 49% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 27 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 20 | |||
| 8 | Giveaways | 13 |
| |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 17 | |||
| 51% | Faceoff Win % | 49% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 27 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 20 | |||
| 8 | Giveaways | 13 |
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Lightning vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Islanders
- Date: Saturday, December 13, 2025
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- Venue: UBS Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -130, Islanders +112
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 55%
- Islanders: 45%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 55%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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