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Lightning vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Canadiens NHL game on December 9, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
6
1
Dec 10, 12AM Bell Centre
Dec 10, 12AM Bell Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
Canadiens | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
Canadiens | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
P3 19:58 Oliver Kapanen shot blocked by Nick Paul
P3 19:36 Power play - Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 17:53 Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Max Crozier
P3 17:52 Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 16:10 Shot on goal by Jared Davidson saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 13:48 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Lane Hutson
P3 13:47 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 13:47 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 13:47 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 13:46 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 12:56 Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 11:24 Max Crozier shot blocked by Josh Anderson
P3 09:26 Max Crozier shot blocked by Lane Hutson
P3 09:26 Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P3 08:41 Power play - Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Brayden Point
P3 08:22 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 08:05 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 06:57 Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 05:49 Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 05:08 Shot missed by Jayden Struble
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Oliver Kapanen shot blocked by Nick Paul
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Jonas Johansson
Nick Paul won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
Joe Veleno credited with hit on Oliver Bjorkstrand in offensive zone
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Max Crozier
Jake Evans won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Jonas Johansson
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Brayden Point won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jared Davidson saved by Jonas Johansson
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Jared Davidson in defensive zone
Arber Xhekaj credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Joe Veleno in neutral zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Josh Anderson 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Scott Sabourin)
Penalty to Scott Sabourin 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Josh Anderson)
Giveaway by Jake Evans in defensive zone
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Samuel Montembeault
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
SHOT
Max Crozier shot blocked by Josh Anderson
Takeaway by Curtis Douglas in offensive zone
Giveaway by Nick Paul in offensive zone
SHOT
Max Crozier shot blocked by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Lane Hutson in defensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Brayden Point
6-1
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Canadiens in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
Shorthanded - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Noah Dobson
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Penalty to Zachary Bolduc 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Curtis Douglas)
Nick Paul won faceoff against Joe Veleno in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot missed by Jayden Struble
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Curtis Douglas
Jayden Struble credited with hit on Oliver Bjorkstrand in defensive zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
5-1
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by teammate
Jake Evans won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Josh Anderson in defensive zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Oliver Kapanen assisted by Nick Suzuki and Ivan Demidov
4-1
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Jonas Johansson
Power play - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Ivan Demidov)
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Alexandre Carrier in offensive zone
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by J.J. Moser
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Samuel Montembeault
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Power play - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Jonas Johansson
Power play - Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Jonas Johansson
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Penalty to Arber Xhekaj 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Scott Sabourin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Jayden Struble shot blocked by teammate
Giveaway by Mike Matheson in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Jayden Struble
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Samuel Montembeault
Giveaway by Emil Lilleberg in neutral zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Joe Veleno in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jonas Johansson
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Canadiens in defensive zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Defensive Skater
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
Power play - Giveaway by Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jonas Johansson
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Zachary Bolduc shot blocked by Scott Sabourin
SHOT
Jared Davidson shot blocked by Curtis Douglas
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Curtis Douglas in neutral zone
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Charle-Edouard D'Astous assisted by Nikita Kucherov
4-0
Jake Evans credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Takeaway by Alexandre Carrier in defensive zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
Power play - Giveaway by Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Power play - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Jonas Johansson
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Canadiens replaced goalie. (Samuel Montembeault)
End of 1st Period.
Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Cole Caufield)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jakub Dobes
Giveaway by Josh Anderson in offensive zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Jayden Struble shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Texier
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Evans
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Jakub Dobes
Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
Giveaway by Scott Sabourin in offensive zone
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Giveaway by Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Max Crozier
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Brendan Gallagher
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Arber Xhekaj saved by Jonas Johansson
Jake Evans won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Jakub Dobes
Giveaway by Ivan Demidov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Jakub Dobes
Takeaway by Mike Matheson in defensive zone
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jared Davidson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Jakub Dobes
Takeaway by J.J. Moser in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Pontus Holmberg
2-0
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Penalty to Max Crozier 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Brendan Gallagher 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Pontus Holmberg 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Jake Evans)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Max Crozier shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Noah Dobson
Nick Paul won faceoff against Joe Veleno in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Jonas Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Jonas Johansson
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Jake Evans in offensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 30% | Faceoff Win % | 70% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 17 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 15 | |||
| 27 | Hits | 24 | |||
| 16 | Shots Blocked | 18 | |||
| 10 | Giveaways | 14 |
| |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 30% | Faceoff Win % | 70% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 17 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 15 | |||
| 27 | Hits | 24 | |||
| 16 | Shots Blocked | 18 | |||
| 10 | Giveaways | 14 |
Game Prediction Article
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Lightning vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Canadiens
- Date: Tuesday, December 9, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Bell Centre
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Canadiens favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -110, Canadiens -108
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 52%
- Canadiens: 48%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 52%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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