Senators vs. Stars Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Stars NHL game on November 30, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Senators
1
6
American Airlines Center
Stars
American Airlines Center
TEAM123T
Senators
0 1 0 1
Stars
0 3 3 6
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Senators
    0%
  • Stars
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Senators
0 1 0 1
Stars
0 3 3 6
P3 19:37 Shot missed by Jordan Spence
P3 17:30 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 16:57 Jordan Spence shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
P3 16:42 Jordan Spence shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
P3 16:36 Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 15:39 Power play - Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 14:51 Power play - Shot on goal by Kyle Capobianco saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 14:33 Power play - Shot on goal by Tyler Seguin saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 14:21 Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 14:09 Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:37 Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:26 Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 11:04 Power play - Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:07 Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 08:59 Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 08:27 Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 08:17 Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 07:24 Goal scored by Jamie Benn assisted by Mikko Rantanen
P3 07:17 Shot missed by Jamie Benn
P3 05:41 Shot on goal by Sam Steel saved by Linus Ullmark
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  3. P3 18:28
    Jordan Spence credited with hit on Jamie Benn in defensive zone
  4. P3 18:23
    Giveaway by Michael Amadio in defensive zone
  5. P3 17:32
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
  6. P3 17:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  7. P3 17:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Casey DeSmith
  8. P3 16:57
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
  9. P3 16:42
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
  10. P3 16:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Casey DeSmith
  11. P3 15:41
    Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
  12. P3 15:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Linus Ullmark
  13. P3 14:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Kyle Capobianco saved by Linus Ullmark
  14. P3 14:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tyler Seguin saved by Linus Ullmark
  15. P3 14:26
    Power play - Jamie Benn won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  16. P3 14:26
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  17. P3 14:26
    Penalty to Michael Amadio 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Mikko Rantanen)
  18. P3 14:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Casey DeSmith
  19. P3 14:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Linus Ullmark
  20. P3 13:42
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Jamie Benn in defensive zone
  21. P3 13:42
    Stoppage - Icing
  22. P3 12:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Linus Ullmark
  23. P3 12:29
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  24. P3 12:29
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  25. P3 12:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Linus Ullmark
  26. P3 12:20
    Nikolas Matinpalo credited with hit on Sam Steel in defensive zone
  27. P3 12:05
    David Perron credited with hit on Alexander Petrovic in neutral zone
  28. P3 11:40
    Shorthanded - David Perron won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
  29. P3 11:40
    Stoppage - Offside
  30. P3 11:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Linus Ullmark
  31. P3 10:52
    Power play - Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  32. P3 10:52
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  33. P3 10:48
    Shorthanded - Lars Eller won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
  34. P3 10:48
    Stoppage - Offside
  35. P3 10:22
    Power play - Takeaway by Miro Heiskanen in defensive zone
  36. P3 10:09
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Mikko Rantanen in defensive zone
  37. P3 10:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  38. P3 10:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Linus Ullmark
  39. P3 09:42
    Shorthanded - Lars Eller won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in defensive zone
  40. P3 09:42
    Penalty to Dylan Cozens 2 minutes for Misconduct
  41. P3 09:42
    Penalty to Brady Tkachuk 2 minutes for Misconduct
  42. P3 09:42
    Penalty to Roope Hintz 2 minutes for Misconduct
  43. P3 09:32
    Giveaway by Nick Jensen in defensive zone
  44. P3 09:19
    Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Esa Lindell in offensive zone
  45. P3 09:13
    Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Alexander Petrovic in offensive zone
  46. P3 09:01
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  47. P3 09:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  48. P3 08:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Casey DeSmith
  49. P3 08:30
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Sam Steel in defensive zone
  50. P3 08:30
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  51. P3 08:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Linus Ullmark
  52. P3 08:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Linus Ullmark
  53. P3 07:24
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
  54. P3 07:24
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jamie Benn assisted by Mikko Rantanen
    1-5
  55. P3 07:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Benn
  56. P3 07:07
    Jamie Benn won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  57. P3 07:07
    Stoppage - Icing
  58. P3 07:02
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  59. P3 07:02
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  60. P3 05:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Steel saved by Linus Ullmark
  61. P3 04:23
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Justin Hryckowian
  62. P3 04:09
    Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  63. P3 04:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  64. P3 04:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Casey DeSmith
  65. P3 04:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
  66. P3 03:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Casey DeSmith
  67. P3 02:52
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in neutral zone
  68. P3 02:52
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Wyatt Johnston assisted by Mikko Rantanen and Roope Hintz
    1-4
  69. P3 02:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Linus Ullmark
  70. P3 02:13
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  71. P3 00:56
    Shorthanded - Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  72. P3 00:56
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  73. P3 00:35
    Shorthanded - Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  74. P3 00:35
    Penalty to Miro Heiskanen 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Claude Giroux)
  75. P3 00:00
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  76. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  77. P2 19:49
    SHOT
    Nick Cousins shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
  78. P2 19:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Cousins
  79. P2 19:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
  80. P2 19:31
    Giveaway by Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
  81. P2 19:16
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in defensive zone
  82. P2 19:16
    Stoppage - Icing
  83. P2 18:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Casey DeSmith
  84. P2 18:43
    Giveaway by Jordan Spence in neutral zone
  85. P2 18:36
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Mikko Rantanen in neutral zone
  86. P2 18:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Senators
  87. P2 18:06
    SHOT
    Kyle Capobianco shot blocked by Claude Giroux
  88. P2 18:02
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  89. P2 18:02
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  90. P2 18:00
    SHOT
    Sam Steel shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
  91. P2 17:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Steel
  92. P2 16:36
    Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Justin Hryckowian in defensive zone
  93. P2 16:34
    Nikolas Matinpalo credited with hit on Mavrik Bourque in defensive zone
  94. P2 16:18
    Giveaway by Kyle Capobianco in defensive zone
  95. P2 16:03
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in defensive zone
  96. P2 16:03
    Stoppage - Icing
  97. P2 15:36
    Jamie Benn won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  98. P2 15:33
    Jamie Benn won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  99. P2 15:33
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Wyatt Johnston assisted by Mikko Rantanen and Jason Robertson
    1-3
  100. P2 15:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Linus Ullmark
  101. P2 14:22
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
  102. P2 14:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  103. P2 14:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Casey DeSmith
  104. P2 13:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
  105. P2 13:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
  106. P2 12:19
    Power play - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  107. P2 12:19
    Penalty to Kyle Capobianco 2 minutes for Interference
  108. P2 11:44
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in defensive zone
  109. P2 11:44
    Stoppage - Icing
  110. P2 10:52
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Jamie Benn in defensive zone
  111. P2 10:52
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  112. P2 10:49
    SHOT
    Esa Lindell shot blocked by Shane Pinto
  113. P2 10:43
    Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  114. P2 10:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  115. P2 10:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Esa Lindell
  116. P2 10:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Linus Ullmark
  117. P2 10:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Esa Lindell
  118. P2 09:25
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  119. P2 09:25
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  120. P2 09:20
    Oskar Back won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  121. P2 09:20
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jason Robertson
    1-2
  122. P2 08:36
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
  123. P2 08:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Casey DeSmith
  124. P2 08:24
    SHOT
    Claude Giroux shot blocked by Kyle Capobianco
  125. P2 08:20
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
  126. P2 08:00
    SHOT
    Claude Giroux shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
  127. P2 07:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Casey DeSmith
  128. P2 07:12
    Ilya Lyubushkin credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  129. P2 07:01
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  130. P2 07:01
    Stoppage - Icing
  131. P2 06:33
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Radek Faksa in defensive zone
  132. P2 06:33
    Stoppage - Icing
  133. P2 06:27
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Radek Faksa in defensive zone
  134. P2 06:27
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  135. P2 06:25
    SHOT
    Colin Blackwell shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  136. P2 05:38
    Justin Hryckowian credited with hit on Nick Jensen in neutral zone
  137. P2 04:45
    Alexander Petrovic credited with hit on Michael Amadio in defensive zone
  138. P2 04:27
    Takeaway by Tyler Kleven in defensive zone
  139. P2 04:13
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  140. P2 04:13
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  141. P2 03:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Casey DeSmith
  142. P2 03:18
    Jamie Benn won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  143. P2 03:18
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  144. P2 03:15
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  145. P2 03:04
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  146. P2 03:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  147. P2 03:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Casey DeSmith
  148. P2 02:49
    SHOT
    David Perron shot blocked by Sam Steel
  149. P2 02:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ridly Greig
  150. P2 02:41
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Kyle Capobianco
  151. P2 02:21
    Sam Steel won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
  152. P2 02:21
    Stoppage - Offside
  153. P2 01:58
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  154. P2 01:58
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mavrik Bourque assisted by Ilya Lyubushkin
    0-1
  155. P2 01:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Linus Ullmark
  156. P2 00:52
    Giveaway by Drake Batherson in neutral zone
  157. P2 00:45
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in defensive zone
  158. P2 00:45
    Stoppage - Offside
  159. P2 00:19
    Jamie Benn credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
  160. P2 00:00
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Jamie Benn in neutral zone
  161. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  162. P1 19:18
    SHOT
    Nick Jensen shot blocked by Oskar Back
  163. P1 19:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Casey DeSmith
  164. P1 17:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Casey DeSmith
  165. P1 17:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  166. P1 17:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
  167. P1 17:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Casey DeSmith
  168. P1 17:06
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by teammate
  169. P1 16:55
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  170. P1 16:55
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  171. P1 16:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Casey DeSmith
  172. P1 16:05
    Takeaway by Alexander Petrovic in neutral zone
  173. P1 15:54
    Fabian Zetterlund credited with hit on Lian Bichsel in defensive zone
  174. P1 15:48
    Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Radek Faksa in offensive zone
  175. P1 15:42
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  176. P1 15:42
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  177. P1 15:36
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Oskar Back in neutral zone
  178. P1 15:36
    Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
  179. P1 15:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Linus Ullmark
  180. P1 15:02
    Giveaway by Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
  181. P1 14:26
    Artem Zub credited with hit on Mikko Rantanen in defensive zone
  182. P1 14:22
    Shane Pinto credited with hit on Ilya Lyubushkin in offensive zone
  183. P1 14:15
    Michael Amadio credited with hit on Kyle Capobianco in offensive zone
  184. P1 14:03
    Giveaway by Mikko Rantanen in neutral zone
  185. P1 13:49
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  186. P1 13:49
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  187. P1 13:25
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Jamie Benn in defensive zone
  188. P1 13:25
    Stoppage - Icing
  189. P1 12:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Linus Ullmark
  190. P1 12:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tyler Seguin
  191. P1 12:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artem Zub
  192. P1 12:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Casey DeSmith
  193. P1 12:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Casey DeSmith
  194. P1 11:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ridly Greig
  195. P1 11:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by David Perron
  196. P1 11:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Casey DeSmith
  197. P1 10:42
    Shorthanded - Sam Steel won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
  198. P1 10:42
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  199. P1 10:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Drake Batherson shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  200. P1 09:41
    Shorthanded - Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  201. P1 09:41
    Penalty to Alexander Petrovic 2 minutes for Tripping
  202. P1 08:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Linus Ullmark
  203. P1 07:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Roope Hintz shot blocked by Tim Stutzle
  204. P1 07:08
    Power play - Roope Hintz won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  205. P1 07:08
    Penalty to Michael Amadio 2 minutes for Tripping
  206. P1 06:12
    Takeaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
  207. P1 06:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Claude Giroux
  208. P1 05:35
    SHOT
    Radek Faksa shot blocked by Nick Cousins
  209. P1 05:22
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  210. P1 05:22
    Stoppage - Icing
  211. P1 04:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Linus Ullmark
  212. P1 04:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artem Zub
  213. P1 04:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Linus Ullmark
  214. P1 03:59
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  215. P1 03:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  216. P1 03:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Casey DeSmith
  217. P1 03:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Jensen
  218. P1 03:09
    SHOT
    Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Claude Giroux
  219. P1 01:28
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
  220. P1 01:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  221. P1 01:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  222. P1 01:04
    Giveaway by Lars Eller in neutral zone
  223. P1 00:44
    Esa Lindell credited with hit on Drake Batherson in defensive zone
  224. P1 00:40
    Giveaway by Miro Heiskanen in defensive zone
  225. P1 00:23
    SHOT
    Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  226. P1 00:00
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  227. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Senators
STATS
Stars
16Shots on Goal26
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
10Penalty Infraction Mins8
31Hits21
9 Shots Blocked 11
18Giveaways15
SenatorsOTT
StarsDAL
16Shots on Goal26
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
10Penalty Infraction Mins8
31Hits21
9 Shots Blocked 11
18Giveaways15

Senators vs. Stars: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Senators vs. Stars
  • Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Senators +117, Stars -134

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Senators: 43%
  • Stars: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 43%, while the Stars have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at American Airlines Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Senators vs. Stars predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.