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Canadiens vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Sabres NHL game on May 8, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
5
1
May 8, 11 PM KeyBank Center
May 8, 11 PM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
Sabres | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
Sabres | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
P3 18:36 Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
P3 17:46 Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 17:13 Owen Power shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 15:59 Goal scored by Nick Suzuki assisted by Josh Anderson (Empty Net)
P3 13:49 Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Alex Lyon
P3 13:49 Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P3 13:15 Shorthanded - Owen Power shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 11:31 Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 11:06 Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 10:24 Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 09:45 Zachary Bolduc shot blocked by Owen Power
P3 09:14 Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Alex Lyon
P3 09:05 Shot missed by Noah Dobson
P3 06:52 Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Alex Lyon
P3 06:37 Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P3 06:09 Shot missed by Owen Power
P3 06:05 Shot missed by Josh Norris
P3 04:40 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Alex Lyon
P3 04:34 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Alex Lyon
P3 04:01 Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
Canadiens won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jakub Dobes
Power play - Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by Noah Dobson
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Nick Suzuki assisted by Josh Anderson (Empty Net)
5-1
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
SHOT
Shorthanded - Owen Power shot blocked by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Jakub Dobes
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
SHOT
Zachary Bolduc shot blocked by Owen Power
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
SHOT
Shot missed by Owen Power
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Norris
Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Alex Lyon
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
Stoppage - Icing
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
Giveaway by Jake Evans in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Lane Hutson
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Zach Benson assisted by Conor Timmins and Josh Doan
3-1
SHOT
Josh Doan shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jakub Dobes
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
SHOT
Power play - Josh Norris shot blocked by Alex Newhook
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Alex Lyon
Takeaway by Noah Dobson in offensive zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Alex Lyon
Jake Evans won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Tyson Kozak
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Penalty to Mattias Samuelsson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Nick Suzuki)
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Jakub Dobes
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Newhook
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Alex Tuch in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Josh Norris
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Alex Lyon
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Penalty to Alexandre Carrier 2 minutes for Hooking
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
Shorthanded - Jordan Greenway won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Power play - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
SHOT
Logan Stanley shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Anderson
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Greenway saved by Jakub Dobes
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Alex Lyon
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Alex Lyon
Shorthanded - Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Alex Lyon
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Penalty to Rasmus Dahlin 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Lane Hutson)
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Jack Quinn
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jason Zucker
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Alex Lyon
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Giveaway by Kirby Dach in offensive zone
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Alex Lyon
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
SHOT
Bowen Byram shot blocked by teammate
Jake Evans won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mike Matheson
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Alex Tuch in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
Takeaway by Bowen Byram in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Logan Stanley saved by Jakub Dobes
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Newhook assisted by Kaiden Guhle and Lane Hutson
1-0
Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Zach Benson credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in defensive zone
Zach Benson credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 57% | Faceoff Win % | 43% | |||
| 5/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/0 | |||
| 22 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 12 | |||
| 18 | Hits | 44 | |||
| 18 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 13 |
| |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 57% | Faceoff Win % | 43% | |||
| 5/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/0 | |||
| 22 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 12 | |||
| 18 | Hits | 44 | |||
| 18 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 13 |
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Canadiens vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Canadiens vs. Sabres
- Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: KeyBank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +120, Sabres -120
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Canadiens: 45%
- Sabres: 55%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 45%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Canadiens vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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