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Lightning vs. Flames Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Flames NHL game on March 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Lightning
3
4
Mar 23, 12AM Scotiabank Saddledome
Flames
Mar 23, 12AM Scotiabank Saddledome
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123OTT
Lightning
1 1 1 0 3
Flames
2 1 0 1 4
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
0%
100%
FlamesCGY
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Lightning
1 1 1 0 3
Flames
2 1 0 1 4
P3 19:43 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Joel Farabee
P3 18:55 Shot missed by Kevin Bahl
P3 15:02 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Devin Cooley
P3 14:55 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Devin Cooley
P3 14:04 Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 13:04 Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P3 12:13 Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 11:36 Erik Cernak shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
P3 09:46 Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 08:32 Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Devin Cooley
P3 07:28 Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P3 07:04 Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P3 05:43 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Mikael Backlund
P3 04:57 Shot on goal by Ryan Strome saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 02:23 Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 01:32 Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Devin Cooley
P3 00:26 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Devin Cooley
P2 19:47 Goal scored by Blake Coleman
P2 19:17 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Hunter Brzustewicz
P2 19:04 Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Devin Cooley
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 00:00
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:43
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Joel Farabee
P3 18:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Kevin Bahl
P3 18:55
Giveaway by Emil Lilleberg in defensive zone
P3 18:30
Zach Whitecloud credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P3 17:54
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Ryan Strome in neutral zone
P3 17:54
Stoppage - Offside
P3 17:41
Lightning won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
P3 15:40
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
P3 15:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Devin Cooley
P3 14:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Devin Cooley
P3 14:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 13:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P3 12:47
Lightning won faceoff against Flames in defensive zone
P3 12:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 12:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 11:43
Zach Whitecloud credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 11:36
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
P3 10:40
Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Joel Farabee in defensive zone
P3 10:19
Giveaway by Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P3 10:04
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P3 10:04
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 09:49
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
P3 09:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 08:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Devin Cooley
P3 08:27
Nick Paul won faceoff against Tyson Gross in offensive zone
P3 08:27
Stoppage - Icing
P3 07:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P3 07:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P3 06:14
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
P3 05:48
Giveaway by Yegor Sharangovich in neutral zone
P3 05:43
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Mikael Backlund
P3 05:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Strome saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 02:59
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
P3 02:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 02:22
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
P3 02:22
Stoppage - Icing
P3 01:45
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan Strome in neutral zone
P3 01:34
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Devin Cooley
P3 00:31
Giveaway by Matvei Gridin in defensive zone
P3 00:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Devin Cooley
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:48
Lightning won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
P2 19:47
GOAL
Goal scored by Blake Coleman
2-4
P2 19:28
Stoppage - Icing
P2 19:17
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Hunter Brzustewicz
P2 19:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Devin Cooley
P2 18:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Hanley saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 17:57
SHOT
Zayne Parekh shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P2 17:09
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Morgan Frost
P2 16:53
Takeaway by Olli Maatta in defensive zone
P2 16:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P2 15:35
SHOT
Zach Whitecloud shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P2 14:26
Nick Paul credited with hit on Victor Olofsson in neutral zone
P2 14:12
Ryan Strome won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P2 13:51
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P2 13:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P2 13:30
Martin Pospisil credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
P2 12:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P2 12:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Devin Cooley
P2 11:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Devin Cooley
P2 11:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 11:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Devin Cooley
P2 10:41
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
P2 10:41
Stoppage - Icing
P2 10:34
Lightning won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
P2 10:34
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 09:49
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Olli Maatta
P2 09:29
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Hunter Brzustewicz
P2 09:28
Brayden Point won faceoff against Ryan Strome in offensive zone
P2 09:13
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ryan Strome in offensive zone
P2 08:59
Nick Paul credited with hit on Kevin Bahl in offensive zone
P2 08:28
Tyson Gross won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P2 08:07
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Joel Farabee
P2 08:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P2 07:03
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Zayne Parekh
P2 06:58
Morgan Frost credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
P2 06:49
Matt Coronato won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P2 06:49
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 06:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 05:31
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Olli Maatta
P2 04:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P2 04:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 04:32
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P2 04:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 04:12
SHOT
Victor Olofsson shot blocked by teammate
P2 04:07
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Flames in defensive zone
P2 03:34
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Devin Cooley
P2 02:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Devin Cooley
P2 02:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Devin Cooley
P2 02:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Devin Cooley
P2 01:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 00:17
Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in defensive zone
P2 00:00
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Devin Cooley
P1 18:43
Adam Klapka credited with hit on Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
P1 18:34
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Martin Pospisil in defensive zone
P1 17:37
Ryan Strome won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P1 17:05
Ryan Strome won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P1 16:56
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
P1 16:52
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
P1 16:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Sharangovich
P1 16:13
Yegor Sharangovich won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P1 15:52
Giveaway by Kevin Bahl in neutral zone
P1 15:47
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Kevin Bahl in defensive zone
P1 15:07
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Morgan Frost in offensive zone
P1 15:07
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 13:23
SHOT
Power play - Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Olli Maatta
P1 12:31
Lightning won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
P1 12:31
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 12:01
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 10:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Devin Cooley
P1 10:09
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Olli Maatta
P1 10:01
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
P1 09:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Kevin Bahl
P1 09:18
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 09:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Devin Cooley
P1 09:01
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 09:01
Stoppage - Offside
P1 08:51
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Flames in offensive zone
P1 08:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
P1 07:44
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
P1 07:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Devin Cooley
P1 07:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Devin Cooley
P1 05:49
Oliver Bjorkstrand credited with hit on Olli Maatta in defensive zone
P1 05:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Olli Maatta saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 05:16
Nick Paul won faceoff against Tyson Gross in neutral zone
P1 05:16
Stoppage - Offside
P1 04:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 03:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Sharangovich
P1 03:01
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 02:05
Tyson Gross won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P1 02:05
Stoppage - Offside
P1 01:26
Stoppage - Offside
P1 01:17
Kevin Bahl credited with hit on Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 00:50
Giveaway by Kevin Bahl in offensive zone
P1 00:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Devin Cooley
P1 00:16
Giveaway by Olli Maatta in defensive zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Flames
35Shots on Goal29
46% Faceoff Win % 54%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 0/0
0Penalty Infraction Mins2
16Hits23
4Shots Blocked16
17Giveaways20
LightningTB
FlamesCGY
35Shots on Goal29
46% Faceoff Win % 54%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 0/0
0Penalty Infraction Mins2
16Hits23
4Shots Blocked16
17Giveaways20

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Lightning vs. Flames: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Flames
  • Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -153, Flames +152

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 61%
  • Flames: 39%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 61%, while the Flames have a win probability of 39%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Scotiabank Saddledome on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Flames predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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