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Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on March 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Islanders
3
1
Mar 17, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Mar 17, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Islanders
2 1 0 3
Maple Leafs
0 1 0 1
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
IslandersNYI
Win %
100%
0%
Maple LeafsTOR
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Islanders
2 1 0 3
Maple Leafs
0 1 0 1
P3 19:58 William Nylander shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 19:55 Max Domi shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 18:24 Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by William Nylander
P3 17:42 Power play - Emil Heineman shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:37 Power play - Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Joseph Woll
P3 17:28 Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Jacob Quillan
P3 16:34 Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Jacob Quillan
P3 16:04 Power play - Shot missed by Anders Lee
P3 15:18 Power play - Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
P3 14:12 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:22 Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 10:36 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Anders Lee
P3 08:46 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 08:42 Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Joseph Woll
P3 07:14 Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
P3 06:22 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 05:46 Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Joseph Woll
P3 05:28 Bo Horvat shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 03:53 Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
P3 02:53 Shot missed by Jacob Quillan
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:58
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 19:55
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 18:56
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Max Domi in offensive zone
P3 18:24
SHOT
Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by William Nylander
P3 17:42
SHOT
Power play - Emil Heineman shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:37
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Joseph Woll
P3 17:28
SHOT
Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Jacob Quillan
P3 16:34
SHOT
Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Jacob Quillan
P3 16:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Anders Lee
P3 15:39
Shorthanded - Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Emil Heineman in neutral zone
P3 15:39
Stoppage
P3 15:18
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
P3 14:57
Shorthanded - Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P3 14:14
Islanders won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P3 14:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 12:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 12:18
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
P3 10:36
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Anders Lee
P3 09:40
Max Domi won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
P3 09:40
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:27
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
P3 09:08
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Tony DeAngelo in offensive zone
P3 08:46
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 08:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Joseph Woll
P3 08:13
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in neutral zone
P3 07:50
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
P3 07:45
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
P3 07:45
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 07:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
P3 06:53
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
P3 06:53
Stoppage - Icing
P3 06:45
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
P3 06:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 05:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Joseph Woll
P3 05:30
Bo Horvat won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 05:28
SHOT
Bo Horvat shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 05:24
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 04:21
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P3 03:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
P3 03:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 03:33
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 02:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Jacob Quillan
P3 02:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 02:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 02:29
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
P3 02:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 01:41
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 01:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 00:29
Bo Groulx credited with hit on Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
P3 00:14
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
P3 00:14
Stoppage - Icing
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:58
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 19:32
Stoppage - Icing
P2 18:28
Anders Lee won faceoff against Bo Groulx in defensive zone
P2 18:26
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Philippe Myers
P2 17:32
Power play - Giveaway by Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P2 17:20
Penalty to Morgan Rielly 5 minutes for Fighting
P2 17:12
Penalty to Morgan Rielly 2 minutes for Cross Checking
P2 17:10
SHOT
Casey Cizikas shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
P2 16:41
SHOT
Jean-Gabriel Pageau shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P2 16:09
Power play - Giveaway by Dakota Joshua in neutral zone
P2 14:57
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 14:57
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 14:54
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 14:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 14:39
Islanders won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P2 14:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 14:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 13:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Jacob Quillan
P2 12:23
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
P2 11:57
Max Domi won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in neutral zone
P2 11:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Joseph Woll
P2 11:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
P2 10:53
Bo Horvat won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 10:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 10:47
Islanders won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P2 10:47
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 10:09
Max Domi won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P2 09:52
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
P2 08:31
Ryan Pulock credited with hit on Matias Maccelli in defensive zone
P2 08:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
P2 07:40
John Tavares won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P2 07:27
Islanders won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P2 07:25
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 06:52
Stoppage - Icing
P2 05:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Joseph Woll
P2 05:04
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Maple Leafs in offensive zone
P2 05:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ondrej Palat saved by Joseph Woll
P2 04:40
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
P2 04:40
GOAL
Goal scored by Steven Lorentz
2-1
P2 03:54
SHOT
Power play - Calum Ritchie shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P2 02:56
Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
P2 02:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Tony DeAngelo
P2 02:13
Penalty to Dakota Joshua 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Simon Holmstrom)
P2 02:11
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Joseph Woll
P2 01:47
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Dakota Joshua in defensive zone
P2 01:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P2 00:17
SHOT
Bo Groulx shot blocked by Carson Soucy
P2 00:00
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:59
Stoppage - Icing
P1 19:48
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 19:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 19:19
Stoppage - Icing
P1 18:58
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
P1 18:46
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
P1 18:27
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
P1 18:27
Stoppage - Icing
P1 17:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 16:20
Giveaway by Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
P1 16:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Joseph Woll
P1 16:13
Stoppage - High Stick
P1 15:59
Islanders won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P1 15:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 15:10
SHOT
Ondrej Palat shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P1 15:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Ondrej Palat
P1 14:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
P1 13:15
Anders Lee credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
P1 13:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P1 13:04
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
P1 12:53
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P1 12:53
Stoppage - Icing
P1 12:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 11:37
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Bo Groulx in neutral zone
P1 11:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
P1 11:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Carson Soucy
P1 11:07
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Maple Leafs in offensive zone
P1 10:54
Max Domi won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
P1 10:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 10:30
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P1 10:04
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 10:02
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Mathew Barzal
P1 09:57
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P1 09:43
Bo Horvat won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 09:42
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Joseph Woll
P1 09:34
Islanders won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P1 09:16
Shorthanded - Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
P1 09:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Max Domi
P1 07:42
Power play - Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
P1 07:26
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Joseph Woll
P1 07:18
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 07:18
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 05:48
Giveaway by Matthew Knies in offensive zone
P1 05:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 04:15
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brayden Schenn assisted by Calum Ritchie and Mathew Barzal
1-0
P1 03:30
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
P1 03:08
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Dakota Joshua in defensive zone
P1 03:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 02:38
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
P1 02:16
SHOT
Scott Mayfield shot blocked by Max Domi
P1 01:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 01:44
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
P1 01:06
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Bo Horvat
P1 00:59
Giveaway by Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P1 00:36
Stoppage - High Stick
P1 00:21
Giveaway by Anders Lee in defensive zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Islanders
STATS
Maple Leafs
34Shots on Goal27
52% Faceoff Win % 49%
6/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
11Penalty Infraction Mins17
9Hits20
8Shots Blocked12
11Giveaways13
IslandersNYI
Maple LeafsTOR
34Shots on Goal27
52% Faceoff Win % 49%
6/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
11Penalty Infraction Mins17
9Hits20
8Shots Blocked12
11Giveaways13

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Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Islanders vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Tuesday, March 17, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Islanders favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Islanders -143, Maple Leafs +140

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Islanders: 53%
  • Maple Leafs: 47%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 53%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 47%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Islanders are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Islanders vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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