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Penguins vs. Avalanche Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Avalanche NHL game on March 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Penguins
7
2
Mar 17, 1:30AM Ball Arena
Avalanche
Mar 17, 1:30AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Penguins
4 2 1 7
Avalanche
2 0 0 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
PenguinsPIT
Win %
100%
0%
AvalancheCOL
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
4 2 1 7
Avalanche
2 0 0 2
P3 19:24 Kris Letang shot blocked by Josh Manson
P3 19:21 Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 18:21 Bryan Rust shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P3 15:44 Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 14:57 Josh Manson shot blocked by Yegor Chinakhov
P3 14:43 Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 14:29 Shot missed by Kris Letang
P3 13:48 Sam Malinski shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P3 13:27 Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Ben Kindel
P3 13:16 Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 12:53 Shot missed by Brock Nelson
P3 11:50 Shot missed by Josh Manson
P3 10:12 Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 09:30 Ben Kindel shot blocked by Brock Nelson
P3 09:05 Goal scored by Elmer Soderblom
P3 08:33 Josh Manson shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P3 07:49 Cale Makar shot blocked by Thomas Novak
P3 07:32 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 07:25 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 06:04 Martin Necas shot blocked by Noel Acciari
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:24
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Josh Manson
P3 19:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 18:21
SHOT
Bryan Rust shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P3 18:20
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
P3 18:20
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 16:12
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
P3 15:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 15:19
Brock Nelson credited with hit on Bryan Rust in offensive zone
P3 14:59
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P3 14:57
SHOT
Josh Manson shot blocked by Yegor Chinakhov
P3 14:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 14:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
P3 13:48
SHOT
Sam Malinski shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P3 13:27
SHOT
Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Ben Kindel
P3 13:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 12:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock Nelson
P3 12:50
Stoppage - Icing
P3 12:26
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P3 12:26
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 11:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Manson
P3 10:59
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
P3 10:59
Penalty to Parker Kelly 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 10:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 09:30
SHOT
Ben Kindel shot blocked by Brock Nelson
P3 09:06
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
P3 09:05
GOAL
Goal scored by Elmer Soderblom
7-2
P3 08:33
SHOT
Josh Manson shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P3 07:49
SHOT
Cale Makar shot blocked by Thomas Novak
P3 07:38
Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in neutral zone
P3 07:33
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
P3 07:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 07:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 06:16
Jack Drury won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P3 06:16
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 06:04
SHOT
Martin Necas shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P3 05:41
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Nathan MacKinnon
P3 04:39
Giveaway by Josh Manson in defensive zone
P3 04:24
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P3 04:24
Stoppage
P3 03:59
Penguins won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
P3 03:57
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 02:55
SHOT
Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 02:12
Connor Clifton credited with hit on Joel Kiviranta in defensive zone
P3 01:52
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
P3 01:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Ville Koivunen
P3 01:44
Penguins won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
P3 01:06
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P3 01:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 00:57
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
P3 00:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 00:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
P3 00:00
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:53
Penguins won faceoff against Avalanche in offensive zone
P2 19:17
Nicolas Roy credited with hit on Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
P2 19:06
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
P2 18:49
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Jack Drury
P2 18:46
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
P2 18:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 16:43
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
P2 16:20
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
P2 15:40
Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
P2 15:40
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 14:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 14:11
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P2 14:09
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 13:42
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P2 13:34
Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
P2 13:30
Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
P2 12:55
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Gavin Brindley
P2 12:15
SHOT
Power play - Cale Makar shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P2 11:47
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Martin Necas
P2 11:11
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P2 11:11
Penalty to Arturs Silovs 2 minutes for Tripping
P2 10:36
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P2 10:36
GOAL
Goal scored by Erik Karlsson
5-2
P2 09:38
SHOT
Joel Kiviranta shot blocked by Kris Letang
P2 09:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 09:16
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
P2 09:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 08:19
SHOT
Gavin Brindley shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P2 07:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P2 06:54
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
P2 05:53
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Connor Dewar
P2 04:15
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cale Makar
P2 03:59
Power play - Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
P2 03:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:40
SHOT
Power play - Cale Makar shot blocked by teammate
P2 03:30
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P2 03:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 01:39
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Parker Kelly in defensive zone
P2 01:39
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 00:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 00:09
SHOT
Cale Makar shot blocked by Anthony Mantha
P2 00:06
Penguins won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
P2 00:00
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 18:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 18:19
Ilya Solovyov credited with hit on Nick Blankenburg in defensive zone
P1 17:32
Takeaway by Anthony Mantha in offensive zone
P1 17:03
Giveaway by Anthony Mantha in offensive zone
P1 16:56
SHOT
Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Sam Malinski
P1 16:49
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 16:45
SHOT
Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Kris Letang
P1 15:50
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
P1 15:50
Stoppage - Offside
P1 14:21
Jack Drury won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P1 14:21
GOAL
Goal scored by Brent Burns assisted by Gavin Brindley
4-2
P1 14:19
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by Anthony Mantha
P1 14:07
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P1 14:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P1 14:02
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P1 14:01
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P1 13:58
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by Nazem Kadri
P1 13:43
Penguins won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
P1 13:15
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P1 13:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 13:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 13:00
Penguins won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
P1 12:42
Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Jack Drury in neutral zone
P1 12:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 11:47
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
P1 11:47
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 11:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 10:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Scott Wedgewood
P1 09:42
SHOT
Power play - Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Cale Makar
P1 08:40
Power play - Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P1 08:39
Penalty to Jack Drury 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Evgeni Malkin)
P1 08:06
Jack Drury won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
P1 08:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 07:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 06:56
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brock Nelson
P1 06:29
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 06:14
Power play - Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P1 06:14
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 06:03
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P1 06:03
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 05:41
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 05:33
Ryan Shea won faceoff against Avalanche in offensive zone
P1 04:46
Joel Kiviranta credited with hit on Ilya Solovyov in offensive zone
P1 04:38
Stoppage - Offside
P1 04:23
GOAL
Goal scored by Anthony Mantha assisted by Erik Karlsson
2-1
P1 04:08
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
P1 03:57
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P1 03:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Scott Wedgewood
P1 03:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P1 03:16
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 03:01
GOAL
Goal scored by Evgeni Malkin assisted by Bryan Rust and Noel Acciari
1-0
P1 02:39
Power play - Takeaway by Devon Toews in defensive zone
P1 01:34
Power play - Giveaway by Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P1 00:48
Penalty to Evgeni Malkin 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Devon Toews)
P1 00:00
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Avalanche
20Shots on Goal27
49% Faceoff Win % 51%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
15Penalty Infraction Mins13
19Hits11
19Shots Blocked12
18Giveaways16
PenguinsPIT
AvalancheCOL
20Shots on Goal27
49% Faceoff Win % 51%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
15Penalty Infraction Mins13
19Hits11
19Shots Blocked12
18Giveaways16

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Penguins vs. Avalanche: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Avalanche
  • Date: Monday, March 16, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +190, Avalanche -208

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 35%
  • Avalanche: 65%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 35%, while the Avalanche have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Ball Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Avalanche predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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