Penguins vs. Avalanche Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Avalanche NHL game on March 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Penguins
7
2
Ball Arena
Avalanche
Ball Arena
TEAM123T
Penguins
4 2 1 7
Avalanche
2 0 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penguins
    100%
  • Avalanche
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
4 2 1 7
Avalanche
2 0 0 2
P3 19:24 Kris Letang shot blocked by Josh Manson
P3 19:21 Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 18:21 Bryan Rust shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P3 15:44 Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 14:57 Josh Manson shot blocked by Yegor Chinakhov
P3 14:43 Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 14:29 Shot missed by Kris Letang
P3 13:48 Sam Malinski shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P3 13:27 Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Ben Kindel
P3 13:16 Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 12:53 Shot missed by Brock Nelson
P3 11:50 Shot missed by Josh Manson
P3 10:12 Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 09:30 Ben Kindel shot blocked by Brock Nelson
P3 09:05 Goal scored by Elmer Soderblom
P3 08:33 Josh Manson shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P3 07:49 Cale Makar shot blocked by Thomas Novak
P3 07:32 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 07:25 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 06:04 Martin Necas shot blocked by Noel Acciari
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:24
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by Josh Manson
  3. P3 19:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  4. P3 18:21
    SHOT
    Bryan Rust shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  5. P3 18:20
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
  6. P3 18:20
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  7. P3 16:12
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  8. P3 15:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  9. P3 15:19
    Brock Nelson credited with hit on Bryan Rust in offensive zone
  10. P3 14:59
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  11. P3 14:57
    SHOT
    Josh Manson shot blocked by Yegor Chinakhov
  12. P3 14:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Arturs Silovs
  13. P3 14:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kris Letang
  14. P3 13:48
    SHOT
    Sam Malinski shot blocked by Noel Acciari
  15. P3 13:27
    SHOT
    Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Ben Kindel
  16. P3 13:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Arturs Silovs
  17. P3 12:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brock Nelson
  18. P3 12:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  19. P3 12:26
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  20. P3 12:26
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  21. P3 11:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Manson
  22. P3 10:59
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  23. P3 10:59
    Penalty to Parker Kelly 2 minutes for Misconduct
  24. P3 10:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Arturs Silovs
  25. P3 09:30
    SHOT
    Ben Kindel shot blocked by Brock Nelson
  26. P3 09:06
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  27. P3 09:05
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Elmer Soderblom
    7-2
  28. P3 08:33
    SHOT
    Josh Manson shot blocked by Noel Acciari
  29. P3 07:49
    SHOT
    Cale Makar shot blocked by Thomas Novak
  30. P3 07:38
    Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in neutral zone
  31. P3 07:33
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  32. P3 07:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  33. P3 07:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  34. P3 06:16
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  35. P3 06:16
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  36. P3 06:04
    SHOT
    Martin Necas shot blocked by Noel Acciari
  37. P3 05:41
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Nathan MacKinnon
  38. P3 04:39
    Giveaway by Josh Manson in defensive zone
  39. P3 04:24
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  40. P3 04:24
    Stoppage
  41. P3 03:59
    Penguins won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  42. P3 03:57
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  43. P3 02:55
    SHOT
    Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  44. P3 02:12
    Connor Clifton credited with hit on Joel Kiviranta in defensive zone
  45. P3 01:52
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
  46. P3 01:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ville Koivunen
  47. P3 01:44
    Penguins won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  48. P3 01:06
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  49. P3 01:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  50. P3 00:57
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  51. P3 00:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Arturs Silovs
  52. P3 00:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  53. P3 00:00
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  54. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  55. P2 19:53
    Penguins won faceoff against Avalanche in offensive zone
  56. P2 19:17
    Nicolas Roy credited with hit on Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  57. P2 19:06
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  58. P2 18:49
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by Jack Drury
  59. P2 18:46
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
  60. P2 18:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  61. P2 16:43
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
  62. P2 16:20
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
  63. P2 15:40
    Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  64. P2 15:40
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  65. P2 14:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  66. P2 14:11
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  67. P2 14:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  68. P2 13:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  69. P2 13:34
    Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  70. P2 13:30
    Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  71. P2 12:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Gavin Brindley
  72. P2 12:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Cale Makar shot blocked by Noel Acciari
  73. P2 11:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Martin Necas
  74. P2 11:11
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  75. P2 11:11
    Penalty to Arturs Silovs 2 minutes for Tripping
  76. P2 10:36
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  77. P2 10:36
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Erik Karlsson
    5-2
  78. P2 09:38
    SHOT
    Joel Kiviranta shot blocked by Kris Letang
  79. P2 09:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Arturs Silovs
  80. P2 09:16
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
  81. P2 09:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  82. P2 08:19
    SHOT
    Gavin Brindley shot blocked by Connor Clifton
  83. P2 07:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  84. P2 06:54
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  85. P2 05:53
    SHOT
    Brett Kulak shot blocked by Connor Dewar
  86. P2 04:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cale Makar
  87. P2 03:59
    Power play - Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
  88. P2 03:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  89. P2 03:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Cale Makar shot blocked by teammate
  90. P2 03:30
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  91. P2 03:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Arturs Silovs
  92. P2 01:39
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Parker Kelly in defensive zone
  93. P2 01:39
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  94. P2 00:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  95. P2 00:09
    SHOT
    Cale Makar shot blocked by Anthony Mantha
  96. P2 00:06
    Penguins won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  97. P2 00:00
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  98. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  99. P1 18:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Arturs Silovs
  100. P1 18:19
    Ilya Solovyov credited with hit on Nick Blankenburg in defensive zone
  101. P1 17:32
    Takeaway by Anthony Mantha in offensive zone
  102. P1 17:03
    Giveaway by Anthony Mantha in offensive zone
  103. P1 16:56
    SHOT
    Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Sam Malinski
  104. P1 16:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  105. P1 16:45
    SHOT
    Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Kris Letang
  106. P1 15:50
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  107. P1 15:50
    Stoppage - Offside
  108. P1 14:21
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  109. P1 14:21
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brent Burns assisted by Gavin Brindley
    4-2
  110. P1 14:19
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by Anthony Mantha
  111. P1 14:07
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  112. P1 14:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  113. P1 14:02
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  114. P1 14:01
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  115. P1 13:58
    SHOT
    Connor Clifton shot blocked by Nazem Kadri
  116. P1 13:43
    Penguins won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  117. P1 13:15
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  118. P1 13:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  119. P1 13:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Arturs Silovs
  120. P1 13:00
    Penguins won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  121. P1 12:42
    Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Jack Drury in neutral zone
  122. P1 12:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Arturs Silovs
  123. P1 11:47
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
  124. P1 11:47
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  125. P1 11:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Arturs Silovs
  126. P1 10:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Scott Wedgewood
  127. P1 09:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Cale Makar
  128. P1 08:40
    Power play - Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  129. P1 08:39
    Penalty to Jack Drury 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Evgeni Malkin)
  130. P1 08:06
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  131. P1 08:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Arturs Silovs
  132. P1 07:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Arturs Silovs
  133. P1 06:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Brock Nelson
  134. P1 06:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Arturs Silovs
  135. P1 06:14
    Power play - Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  136. P1 06:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  137. P1 06:03
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  138. P1 06:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  139. P1 05:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Arturs Silovs
  140. P1 05:33
    Ryan Shea won faceoff against Avalanche in offensive zone
  141. P1 04:46
    Joel Kiviranta credited with hit on Ilya Solovyov in offensive zone
  142. P1 04:38
    Stoppage - Offside
  143. P1 04:23
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Anthony Mantha assisted by Erik Karlsson
    2-1
  144. P1 04:08
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  145. P1 03:57
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  146. P1 03:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Scott Wedgewood
  147. P1 03:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  148. P1 03:16
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  149. P1 03:01
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Evgeni Malkin assisted by Bryan Rust and Noel Acciari
    1-0
  150. P1 02:39
    Power play - Takeaway by Devon Toews in defensive zone
  151. P1 01:34
    Power play - Giveaway by Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  152. P1 00:48
    Penalty to Evgeni Malkin 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Devon Toews)
  153. P1 00:00
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Avalanche
20Shots on Goal27
49% Faceoff Win % 51%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
15Penalty Infraction Mins13
19Hits11
19 Shots Blocked 12
18Giveaways16
PenguinsPIT
AvalancheCOL
20Shots on Goal27
49% Faceoff Win % 51%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
15Penalty Infraction Mins13
19Hits11
19 Shots Blocked 12
18Giveaways16

Penguins vs. Avalanche: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Avalanche
  • Date: Monday, March 16, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +190, Avalanche -208

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 35%
  • Avalanche: 65%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 35%, while the Avalanche have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Ball Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Avalanche predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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