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Penguins vs. Golden Knights Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Golden Knights NHL game on March 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Penguins
2
6
Mar 13, 2AM T-Mobile Arena
Golden Knights
Mar 13, 2AM T-Mobile Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 2 0 2
Golden Knights
1 2 3 6
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
PenguinsPIT
Win %
0%
100%
Golden KnightsVGK
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 2 0 2
Golden Knights
1 2 3 6
P3 18:40 Shot missed by Jack Eichel
P3 17:29 Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Ben Kindel
P3 16:32 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Adin Hill
P3 16:26 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Adin Hill
P3 15:54 Shot missed by Nic Dowd
P3 14:53 Adin Hill shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 13:37 Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P3 13:05 Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P3 12:45 Power play - Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Adin Hill
P3 11:42 Shot missed by Kris Letang
P3 11:12 Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P3 10:16 Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Adin Hill
P3 09:28 Ben Kindel shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P3 09:00 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Adin Hill
P3 08:50 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Adin Hill
P3 08:08 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Mark Stone
P3 07:50 Mark Stone shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 06:19 Goal scored by Jack Eichel assisted by Ivan Barbashev and Shea Theodore
P3 05:37 Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
P3 04:35 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Arturs Silovs
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:01
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
P3 18:44
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P3 18:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Eichel
P3 18:08
Giveaway by Shea Theodore in defensive zone
P3 18:02
Stoppage - Offside
P3 17:45
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
P3 17:45
Stoppage - Icing
P3 17:29
SHOT
Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Ben Kindel
P3 17:17
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 17:02
Giveaway by Shea Theodore in defensive zone
P3 16:34
Brett Howden won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
P3 16:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Adin Hill
P3 16:28
Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in offensive zone
P3 16:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Adin Hill
P3 16:01
Stoppage - Icing
P3 15:56
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
P3 15:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Nic Dowd
P3 14:53
SHOT
Adin Hill shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 13:37
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P3 13:05
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P3 12:45
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Adin Hill
P3 12:21
Shorthanded - Brett Howden won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
P3 11:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
P3 11:18
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P3 11:12
SHOT
Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P3 10:35
Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
P3 10:35
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 10:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Adin Hill
P3 09:28
SHOT
Ben Kindel shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P3 09:07
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Adin Hill
P3 08:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Adin Hill
P3 08:10
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
P3 08:08
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Mark Stone
P3 07:52
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P3 07:50
SHOT
Mark Stone shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 07:35
Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
P3 07:18
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
P3 07:00
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
P3 07:00
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P3 06:19
GOAL
Goal scored by Jack Eichel assisted by Ivan Barbashev and Shea Theodore
2-6
P3 05:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
P3 05:15
Stoppage - Icing
P3 04:58
Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
P3 04:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 03:35
Takeaway by Ryan Shea in defensive zone
P3 03:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 02:22
SHOT
Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P3 00:00
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:09
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
P2 19:09
Penalty to Kris Letang 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Brett Howden)
P2 19:09
Penalty to Brett Howden 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Kris Letang)
P2 18:27
SHOT
Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Colton Sissons
P2 18:14
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
P2 18:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Adin Hill
P2 17:45
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
P2 17:08
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
P2 16:47
SHOT
Shea Theodore shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P2 16:22
GOAL
Goal scored by Ben Kindel assisted by Anthony Mantha and Ryan Shea
2-3
P2 15:18
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
P2 14:58
Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in offensive zone
P2 14:37
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
P2 14:37
Stoppage - Offside
P2 14:04
Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
P2 13:58
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
P2 13:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Adin Hill
P2 13:37
SHOT
Power play - Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
P2 13:12
Power play - Ben Kindel won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P2 13:12
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 13:07
Power play - Ben Kindel won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P2 13:07
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 12:08
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P2 11:47
Penalty to Mitch Marner 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 11:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
P2 10:38
SHOT
Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by teammate
P2 10:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 10:00
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
P2 10:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 09:20
Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
P2 09:08
SHOT
Connor Dewar shot blocked by Tomas Hertl
P2 08:26
GOAL
Goal scored by Penguins assisted by Ryan Shea
1-2
P2 08:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Adin Hill
P2 07:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
P2 07:39
Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
P2 07:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 06:11
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
P2 05:02
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Brett Howden in neutral zone
P2 05:02
GOAL
Goal scored by Pavel Dorofeyev assisted by Kaedan Korczak and Braeden Bowman
0-2
P2 04:42
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by Shea Theodore
P2 04:18
Giveaway by Elmer Soderblom in offensive zone
P2 04:14
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
P2 03:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P2 03:38
Shorthanded - Jack Eichel won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
P2 03:38
Stoppage - Icing
P2 02:15
Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
P2 01:45
Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
P2 01:39
Stoppage - Icing
P2 01:32
Stoppage - Offside
P2 00:50
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 00:00
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:28
Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P1 19:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Keegan Kolesar
P1 18:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:16
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Brett Howden in defensive zone
P1 18:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:01
SHOT
Power play - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
P1 17:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
P1 16:52
Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P1 16:50
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mitch Marner
P1 16:11
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 16:11
Penalty to Connor Clifton 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Tomas Hertl)
P1 16:11
Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
P1 15:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P1 15:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Braeden Bowman
P1 14:51
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
P1 14:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden McNabb saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 14:17
Giveaway by Arturs Silovs in defensive zone
P1 13:07
Takeaway by Elmer Soderblom in defensive zone
P1 13:03
SHOT
Jack Eichel shot blocked by Avery Hayes
P1 11:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
P1 10:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Adin Hill
P1 08:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Clifton
P1 08:41
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
P1 08:30
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P1 08:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ville Koivunen saved by Adin Hill
P1 07:47
Takeaway by Connor Clifton in defensive zone
P1 07:38
SHOT
Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Ilya Solovyov
P1 07:36
Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
P1 07:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Adin Hill
P1 06:17
Penguins won faceoff against Rasmus Andersson in offensive zone
P1 06:17
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 06:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P1 05:20
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Brett Howden in defensive zone
P1 05:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
P1 04:27
SHOT
Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P1 03:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
P1 02:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P1 01:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Eichel
P1 00:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Stone
P1 00:40
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Golden Knights in offensive zone
P1 00:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Adin Hill
P1 00:08
Giveaway by Noah Hanifin in offensive zone
P1 00:03
Stoppage - High Stick
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Golden Knights
26Shots on Goal17
31% Faceoff Win % 69%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
10Penalty Infraction Mins12
12Hits27
12Shots Blocked20
17Giveaways23
PenguinsPIT
Golden KnightsVGK
26Shots on Goal17
31% Faceoff Win % 69%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
10Penalty Infraction Mins12
12Hits27
12Shots Blocked20
17Giveaways23

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Penguins vs. Golden Knights: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Golden Knights
  • Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Golden Knights favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +150, Golden Knights -170

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 43%
  • Golden Knights: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 43%, while the Golden Knights have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Golden Knights are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at T-Mobile Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Golden Knights predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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