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Blue Jackets vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Blue Jackets vs. Lightning NHL game on March 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Blue Jackets
5
2
Mar 10, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Mar 10, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Blue Jackets
0 3 2 5
Lightning
1 1 0 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Blue JacketsCBJ
Win %
100%
0%
LightningTB
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Blue Jackets
0 3 2 5
Lightning
1 1 0 2
P3 18:56 Shot missed by Jake Christiansen
P3 18:33 Jake Christiansen shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 17:22 Shot missed by Boone Jenner
P3 16:07 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Elvis Merzlikins
P3 14:04 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Elvis Merzlikins
P3 12:14 Shot missed by Mathieu Olivier
P3 11:18 Corey Perry shot blocked by Dante Fabbro
P3 10:39 Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Denton Mateychuk
P3 10:19 Shot on goal by Jake Christiansen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:33 Denton Mateychuk shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 09:26 Shot on goal by Adam Fantilli saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 07:54 Steven Santini shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:00 Shot on goal by Conor Garland saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:59 Power play - Shot on goal by Conor Garland saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 00:57 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
P2 16:19 Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Elvis Merzlikins
P2 16:01 Power play - Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Zach Werenski
P2 14:46 Power play - Victor Hedman shot blocked by Sean Monahan
P2 13:06 Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 12:34 Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 18:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Christiansen
P3 18:33
SHOT
Jake Christiansen shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 17:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Boone Jenner
P3 17:20
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Elvis Merzlikins
P3 15:28
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sean Monahan in neutral zone
P3 15:06
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Boone Jenner in defensive zone
P3 15:06
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 14:43
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P3 14:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Elvis Merzlikins
P3 13:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 13:26
Charlie Coyle won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P3 12:42
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in offensive zone
P3 12:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 12:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathieu Olivier
P3 11:18
SHOT
Corey Perry shot blocked by Dante Fabbro
P3 10:47
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sean Monahan in offensive zone
P3 10:39
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Denton Mateychuk
P3 10:21
Brayden Point won faceoff against Sean Monahan in defensive zone
P3 10:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 10:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Christiansen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:44
Giveaway by Denton Mateychuk in offensive zone
P3 09:33
SHOT
Denton Mateychuk shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 09:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Fantilli saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 07:54
SHOT
Steven Santini shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Garland saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 05:54
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Kirill Marchenko in neutral zone
P3 05:25
Mason Marchment credited with hit on Declan Carlile in defensive zone
P3 05:15
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Boone Jenner in offensive zone
P3 05:15
Boone Jenner won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P3 05:15
Stoppage - Icing
P3 04:00
Boone Jenner won faceoff against Conor Geekie in neutral zone
P3 03:59
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Conor Garland saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 02:49
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in defensive zone
P3 02:49
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 02:36
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Adam Fantilli in defensive zone
P3 02:36
Penalty to Jake Guentzel 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Cole Sillinger)
P3 01:48
Adam Fantilli won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P3 00:57
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
P3 00:24
Danton Heinen credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 17:33
Takeaway by Denton Mateychuk in offensive zone
P2 17:06
Adam Fantilli won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P2 17:06
Stoppage - Icing
P2 16:23
Blue Jackets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P2 16:21
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Adam Fantilli in offensive zone
P2 16:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Elvis Merzlikins
P2 16:01
SHOT
Power play - Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Zach Werenski
P2 15:54
Stoppage - Offside
P2 15:33
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 15:18
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Isac Lundestrom in offensive zone
P2 15:12
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 14:48
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in offensive zone
P2 14:46
SHOT
Power play - Victor Hedman shot blocked by Sean Monahan
P2 14:15
Charlie Coyle won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P2 14:02
Shorthanded - Sean Monahan won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P2 13:06
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 12:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P2 12:24
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Elvis Merzlikins
P2 12:10
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 11:59
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sean Monahan in offensive zone
P2 11:59
Penalty to Danton Heinen 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Charle-Edouard D'Astous)
P2 11:40
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Kirill Marchenko assisted by Adam Fantilli and Zach Werenski
3-1
P2 11:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Adam Fantilli saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 10:31
Shorthanded - Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Adam Fantilli in defensive zone
P2 10:31
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 10:07
Shorthanded - J.J. Moser credited with hit on Kirill Marchenko in defensive zone
P2 10:05
Penalty to Gage Goncalves 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Zach Werenski)
P2 09:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Fantilli saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 08:36
Takeaway by Charlie Coyle in offensive zone
P2 08:34
Blue Jackets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P2 08:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sean Monahan saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 08:20
Sean Monahan won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 07:43
Blue Jackets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P2 06:40
Charlie Coyle credited with hit on Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P2 06:27
GOAL
Goal scored by Ivan Provorov assisted by Denton Mateychuk and Charlie Coyle
1-1
P2 06:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sean Monahan saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 06:05
Gage Goncalves credited with hit on Damon Severson in offensive zone
P2 05:57
Sean Monahan won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P2 05:44
Charlie Coyle won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P2 05:44
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 04:50
Adam Fantilli credited with hit on Declan Carlile in defensive zone
P2 04:47
Takeaway by Adam Fantilli in defensive zone
P2 04:39
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 04:25
Adam Fantilli won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P2 04:25
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 03:32
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Dante Fabbro
P2 03:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Elvis Merzlikins
P2 02:56
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 02:37
Charlie Coyle won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P2 02:15
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in defensive zone
P2 02:15
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:41
Giveaway by Kent Johnson in offensive zone
P2 01:00
Takeaway by Damon Severson in defensive zone
P2 00:15
Corey Perry credited with hit on Zach Werenski in offensive zone
P2 00:08
Conor Geekie credited with hit on Isac Lundestrom in offensive zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Garland saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 18:46
Giveaway by Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 18:07
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 16:40
SHOT
Danton Heinen shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P1 15:59
Boone Jenner won faceoff against Conor Geekie in defensive zone
P1 15:59
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P1 15:47
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by teammate
P1 15:21
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sean Monahan in offensive zone
P1 15:21
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 14:33
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Sean Monahan in offensive zone
P1 14:24
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Elvis Merzlikins
P1 13:50
Penalty to Kirill Marchenko 2 minutes for Tripping
P1 13:41
Cole Sillinger won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 13:38
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Adam Fantilli in neutral zone
P1 13:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
P1 11:52
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Elvis Merzlikins
P1 10:58
Power play - Adam Fantilli won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 10:58
Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 2 minutes for Holding
P1 10:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Charlie Coyle
P1 10:13
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Boone Jenner
P1 08:32
Shorthanded - Declan Carlile credited with hit on Zach Werenski in defensive zone
P1 08:21
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Kirill Marchenko
P1 08:09
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Charlie Coyle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 07:19
Blue Jackets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
P1 06:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Isac Lundestrom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 04:56
SHOT
Ivan Provorov shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
P1 03:55
Stoppage - Offside
P1 03:31
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 03:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P1 02:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Isac Lundestrom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 02:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P1 00:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Provorov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 00:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Boone Jenner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 00:16
Oliver Bjorkstrand credited with hit on Damon Severson in offensive zone
P1 00:00
Conor Geekie won faceoff against Boone Jenner in neutral zone
Stats
Blue Jackets
STATS
Lightning
31Shots on Goal18
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
13Penalty Infraction Mins15
21Hits29
15Shots Blocked8
17Giveaways11
Blue JacketsCBJ
LightningTB
31Shots on Goal18
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
13Penalty Infraction Mins15
21Hits29
15Shots Blocked8
17Giveaways11

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Blue Jackets vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Blue Jackets vs. Lightning
  • Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Blue Jackets +205, Lightning -233

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Blue Jackets: 35%
  • Lightning: 65%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Blue Jackets a win probability of 35%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Blue Jackets in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Blue Jackets vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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