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Blue Jackets vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Blue Jackets vs. Lightning NHL game on March 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
5
2
Mar 10, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
Mar 10, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Blue Jackets | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Lightning | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Blue Jackets | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Lightning | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
P3 18:56 Shot missed by Jake Christiansen
P3 18:33 Jake Christiansen shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 17:22 Shot missed by Boone Jenner
P3 16:07 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Elvis Merzlikins
P3 14:04 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Elvis Merzlikins
P3 12:14 Shot missed by Mathieu Olivier
P3 11:18 Corey Perry shot blocked by Dante Fabbro
P3 10:39 Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Denton Mateychuk
P3 10:19 Shot on goal by Jake Christiansen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:33 Denton Mateychuk shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 09:26 Shot on goal by Adam Fantilli saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 07:54 Steven Santini shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:00 Shot on goal by Conor Garland saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:59 Power play - Shot on goal by Conor Garland saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 00:57 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
P2 16:19 Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Elvis Merzlikins
P2 16:01 Power play - Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Zach Werenski
P2 14:46 Power play - Victor Hedman shot blocked by Sean Monahan
P2 13:06 Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 12:34 Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Christiansen
SHOT
Jake Christiansen shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Shot missed by Boone Jenner
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Elvis Merzlikins
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sean Monahan in neutral zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Boone Jenner in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Elvis Merzlikins
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Charlie Coyle won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathieu Olivier
SHOT
Corey Perry shot blocked by Dante Fabbro
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sean Monahan in offensive zone
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Denton Mateychuk
Brayden Point won faceoff against Sean Monahan in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Christiansen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Denton Mateychuk in offensive zone
SHOT
Denton Mateychuk shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Fantilli saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Steven Santini shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Garland saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Kirill Marchenko in neutral zone
Mason Marchment credited with hit on Declan Carlile in defensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Boone Jenner in offensive zone
Boone Jenner won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Boone Jenner won faceoff against Conor Geekie in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Conor Garland saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Adam Fantilli in defensive zone
Penalty to Jake Guentzel 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Cole Sillinger)
Adam Fantilli won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
Danton Heinen credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone
End of 2nd Period.
Takeaway by Denton Mateychuk in offensive zone
Adam Fantilli won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Blue Jackets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Adam Fantilli in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Elvis Merzlikins
SHOT
Power play - Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Zach Werenski
Stoppage - Offside
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Isac Lundestrom in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Victor Hedman shot blocked by Sean Monahan
Charlie Coyle won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Sean Monahan won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Elvis Merzlikins
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sean Monahan in offensive zone
Penalty to Danton Heinen 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Charle-Edouard D'Astous)
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Kirill Marchenko assisted by Adam Fantilli and Zach Werenski
3-1
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Adam Fantilli saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Adam Fantilli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shorthanded - J.J. Moser credited with hit on Kirill Marchenko in defensive zone
Penalty to Gage Goncalves 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Zach Werenski)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Fantilli saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Takeaway by Charlie Coyle in offensive zone
Blue Jackets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sean Monahan saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Sean Monahan won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Blue Jackets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Charlie Coyle credited with hit on Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Ivan Provorov assisted by Denton Mateychuk and Charlie Coyle
1-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sean Monahan saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Gage Goncalves credited with hit on Damon Severson in offensive zone
Sean Monahan won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Charlie Coyle won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Adam Fantilli credited with hit on Declan Carlile in defensive zone
Takeaway by Adam Fantilli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Adam Fantilli won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Dante Fabbro
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Elvis Merzlikins
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Charlie Coyle won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Giveaway by Kent Johnson in offensive zone
Takeaway by Damon Severson in defensive zone
Corey Perry credited with hit on Zach Werenski in offensive zone
Conor Geekie credited with hit on Isac Lundestrom in offensive zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Garland saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Brayden Point in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Danton Heinen shot blocked by Victor Hedman
Boone Jenner won faceoff against Conor Geekie in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by teammate
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sean Monahan in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Sean Monahan in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Elvis Merzlikins
Penalty to Kirill Marchenko 2 minutes for Tripping
Cole Sillinger won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Adam Fantilli in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Elvis Merzlikins
Power play - Adam Fantilli won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 2 minutes for Holding
SHOT
Shot missed by Charlie Coyle
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Boone Jenner
Shorthanded - Declan Carlile credited with hit on Zach Werenski in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Kirill Marchenko
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Charlie Coyle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Blue Jackets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Isac Lundestrom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Ivan Provorov shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
Stoppage - Offside
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Shot on goal by Isac Lundestrom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Provorov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Boone Jenner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Oliver Bjorkstrand credited with hit on Damon Severson in offensive zone
Conor Geekie won faceoff against Boone Jenner in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 18 | |||
| 44% | Faceoff Win % | 56% | |||
| 4/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 13 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 15 | |||
| 21 | Hits | 29 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 8 | |||
| 17 | Giveaways | 11 |
| |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 18 | |||
| 44% | Faceoff Win % | 56% | |||
| 4/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 13 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 15 | |||
| 21 | Hits | 29 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 8 | |||
| 17 | Giveaways | 11 |
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Blue Jackets vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Blue Jackets vs. Lightning
- Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Blue Jackets +205, Lightning -233
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Blue Jackets: 35%
- Lightning: 65%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Blue Jackets a win probability of 35%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Blue Jackets in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Blue Jackets vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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