Blue Jackets vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Blue Jackets vs. Lightning NHL game on March 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Blue Jackets
5
2
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123T
Blue Jackets
0 3 2 5
Lightning
1 1 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Blue Jackets
    100%
  • Lightning
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Blue Jackets
0 3 2 5
Lightning
1 1 0 2
P3 18:56 Shot missed by Jake Christiansen
P3 18:33 Jake Christiansen shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 17:22 Shot missed by Boone Jenner
P3 16:07 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Elvis Merzlikins
P3 14:04 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Elvis Merzlikins
P3 12:14 Shot missed by Mathieu Olivier
P3 11:18 Corey Perry shot blocked by Dante Fabbro
P3 10:39 Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Denton Mateychuk
P3 10:19 Shot on goal by Jake Christiansen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:33 Denton Mateychuk shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 09:26 Shot on goal by Adam Fantilli saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 07:54 Steven Santini shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:00 Shot on goal by Conor Garland saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:59 Power play - Shot on goal by Conor Garland saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 00:57 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
P2 16:19 Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Elvis Merzlikins
P2 16:01 Power play - Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Zach Werenski
P2 14:46 Power play - Victor Hedman shot blocked by Sean Monahan
P2 13:06 Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 12:34 Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 18:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Christiansen
  3. P3 18:33
    SHOT
    Jake Christiansen shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  4. P3 17:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Boone Jenner
  5. P3 17:20
    Stoppage - Icing
  6. P3 16:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Elvis Merzlikins
  7. P3 15:28
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sean Monahan in neutral zone
  8. P3 15:06
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Boone Jenner in defensive zone
  9. P3 15:06
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  10. P3 14:43
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  11. P3 14:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Elvis Merzlikins
  12. P3 13:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  13. P3 13:26
    Charlie Coyle won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  14. P3 12:42
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in offensive zone
  15. P3 12:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  16. P3 12:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mathieu Olivier
  17. P3 11:18
    SHOT
    Corey Perry shot blocked by Dante Fabbro
  18. P3 10:47
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sean Monahan in offensive zone
  19. P3 10:39
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Denton Mateychuk
  20. P3 10:21
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Sean Monahan in defensive zone
  21. P3 10:21
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  22. P3 10:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Christiansen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  23. P3 09:44
    Giveaway by Denton Mateychuk in offensive zone
  24. P3 09:33
    SHOT
    Denton Mateychuk shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  25. P3 09:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Fantilli saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  26. P3 07:54
    SHOT
    Steven Santini shot blocked by teammate
  27. P3 07:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Conor Garland saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  28. P3 05:54
    Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Kirill Marchenko in neutral zone
  29. P3 05:25
    Mason Marchment credited with hit on Declan Carlile in defensive zone
  30. P3 05:15
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Boone Jenner in offensive zone
  31. P3 05:15
    Boone Jenner won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  32. P3 05:15
    Stoppage - Icing
  33. P3 04:00
    Boone Jenner won faceoff against Conor Geekie in neutral zone
  34. P3 03:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Conor Garland saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  35. P3 02:49
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in defensive zone
  36. P3 02:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  37. P3 02:36
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Adam Fantilli in defensive zone
  38. P3 02:36
    Penalty to Jake Guentzel 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Cole Sillinger)
  39. P3 01:48
    Adam Fantilli won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  40. P3 00:57
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
  41. P3 00:24
    Danton Heinen credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone
  42. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  43. P2 17:33
    Takeaway by Denton Mateychuk in offensive zone
  44. P2 17:06
    Adam Fantilli won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  45. P2 17:06
    Stoppage - Icing
  46. P2 16:23
    Blue Jackets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  47. P2 16:21
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Adam Fantilli in offensive zone
  48. P2 16:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Elvis Merzlikins
  49. P2 16:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Zach Werenski
  50. P2 15:54
    Stoppage - Offside
  51. P2 15:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  52. P2 15:18
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Isac Lundestrom in offensive zone
  53. P2 15:12
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  54. P2 14:48
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in offensive zone
  55. P2 14:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Victor Hedman shot blocked by Sean Monahan
  56. P2 14:15
    Charlie Coyle won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  57. P2 14:02
    Shorthanded - Sean Monahan won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  58. P2 13:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  59. P2 12:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  60. P2 12:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Elvis Merzlikins
  61. P2 12:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  62. P2 11:59
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sean Monahan in offensive zone
  63. P2 11:59
    Penalty to Danton Heinen 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Charle-Edouard D'Astous)
  64. P2 11:40
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Kirill Marchenko assisted by Adam Fantilli and Zach Werenski
    3-1
  65. P2 11:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Adam Fantilli saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  66. P2 10:31
    Shorthanded - Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Adam Fantilli in defensive zone
  67. P2 10:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  68. P2 10:07
    Shorthanded - J.J. Moser credited with hit on Kirill Marchenko in defensive zone
  69. P2 10:05
    Penalty to Gage Goncalves 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Zach Werenski)
  70. P2 09:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Fantilli saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  71. P2 08:36
    Takeaway by Charlie Coyle in offensive zone
  72. P2 08:34
    Blue Jackets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  73. P2 08:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sean Monahan saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  74. P2 08:20
    Sean Monahan won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  75. P2 07:43
    Blue Jackets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  76. P2 06:40
    Charlie Coyle credited with hit on Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  77. P2 06:27
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ivan Provorov assisted by Denton Mateychuk and Charlie Coyle
    1-1
  78. P2 06:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sean Monahan saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  79. P2 06:05
    Gage Goncalves credited with hit on Damon Severson in offensive zone
  80. P2 05:57
    Sean Monahan won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  81. P2 05:44
    Charlie Coyle won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  82. P2 05:44
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  83. P2 04:50
    Adam Fantilli credited with hit on Declan Carlile in defensive zone
  84. P2 04:47
    Takeaway by Adam Fantilli in defensive zone
  85. P2 04:39
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  86. P2 04:25
    Adam Fantilli won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  87. P2 04:25
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  88. P2 03:32
    SHOT
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Dante Fabbro
  89. P2 03:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Elvis Merzlikins
  90. P2 02:56
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  91. P2 02:37
    Charlie Coyle won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  92. P2 02:15
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Charlie Coyle in defensive zone
  93. P2 02:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  94. P2 01:41
    Giveaway by Kent Johnson in offensive zone
  95. P2 01:00
    Takeaway by Damon Severson in defensive zone
  96. P2 00:15
    Corey Perry credited with hit on Zach Werenski in offensive zone
  97. P2 00:08
    Conor Geekie credited with hit on Isac Lundestrom in offensive zone
  98. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  99. P1 19:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Conor Garland saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  100. P1 18:46
    Giveaway by Brayden Point in neutral zone
  101. P1 18:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  102. P1 16:40
    SHOT
    Danton Heinen shot blocked by Victor Hedman
  103. P1 15:59
    Boone Jenner won faceoff against Conor Geekie in defensive zone
  104. P1 15:59
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  105. P1 15:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by teammate
  106. P1 15:21
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sean Monahan in offensive zone
  107. P1 15:21
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  108. P1 14:33
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Sean Monahan in offensive zone
  109. P1 14:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Elvis Merzlikins
  110. P1 13:50
    Penalty to Kirill Marchenko 2 minutes for Tripping
  111. P1 13:41
    Cole Sillinger won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  112. P1 13:38
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Adam Fantilli in neutral zone
  113. P1 13:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
  114. P1 11:52
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Elvis Merzlikins
  115. P1 10:58
    Power play - Adam Fantilli won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  116. P1 10:58
    Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 2 minutes for Holding
  117. P1 10:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Charlie Coyle
  118. P1 10:13
    SHOT
    Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Boone Jenner
  119. P1 08:32
    Shorthanded - Declan Carlile credited with hit on Zach Werenski in defensive zone
  120. P1 08:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Kirill Marchenko
  121. P1 08:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Charlie Coyle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  122. P1 07:19
    Blue Jackets won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  123. P1 06:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Isac Lundestrom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  124. P1 04:56
    SHOT
    Ivan Provorov shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
  125. P1 03:55
    Stoppage - Offside
  126. P1 03:31
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  127. P1 03:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  128. P1 02:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Isac Lundestrom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  129. P1 02:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Victor Hedman
  130. P1 00:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Provorov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  131. P1 00:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Boone Jenner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  132. P1 00:16
    Oliver Bjorkstrand credited with hit on Damon Severson in offensive zone
  133. P1 00:00
    Conor Geekie won faceoff against Boone Jenner in neutral zone
Stats
Blue Jackets
STATS
Lightning
31Shots on Goal18
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
13Penalty Infraction Mins15
21Hits29
15 Shots Blocked 8
17Giveaways11
Blue JacketsCBJ
LightningTB
31Shots on Goal18
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
13Penalty Infraction Mins15
21Hits29
15 Shots Blocked 8
17Giveaways11

Blue Jackets vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Blue Jackets vs. Lightning
  • Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Blue Jackets +205, Lightning -233

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Blue Jackets: 35%
  • Lightning: 65%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Blue Jackets a win probability of 35%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Blue Jackets in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Blue Jackets vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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