Sharks vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sharks vs. Sabres NHL game on March 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Sharks
3
6
KeyBank Center
Sabres
KeyBank Center
TEAM123T
Sharks
1 1 1 3
Sabres
2 2 2 6
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sharks
    0%
  • Sabres
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Sharks
1 1 1 3
Sabres
2 2 2 6
P3 18:47 Shot on goal by Barclay Goodrow saved by Alex Lyon
P3 17:36 Shot on goal by Michael Kesselring saved by Yaroslav Askarov
P3 17:14 Goal scored by Jack Quinn (Empty Net)
P3 14:37 Shot on goal by Collin Graf saved by Alex Lyon
P3 12:01 Power play - Shot missed by Dmitry Orlov
P3 10:33 Will Smith shot blocked by Logan Stanley
P3 10:05 Vincent Desharnais shot blocked by Sam Carrick
P3 06:54 Power play - Shot missed by Alexander Wennberg
P3 05:51 Sam Carrick shot blocked by teammate
P3 04:31 Shot missed by Josh Doan
P3 03:35 Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P2 19:58 Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Yaroslav Askarov
P2 19:27 Shot missed by Kiefer Sherwood
P2 18:49 Beck Malenstyn shot blocked by Dmitry Orlov
P2 18:36 John Klingberg shot blocked by teammate
P2 17:54 Shot on goal by Collin Graf saved by Alex Lyon
P2 16:34 Shot on goal by Zack Ostapchuk saved by Alex Lyon
P2 15:56 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P2 14:47 Power play - Shot on goal by Alexander Wennberg saved by Alex Lyon
P2 13:23 Shot on goal by Noah Ostlund saved by Yaroslav Askarov
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 18:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Barclay Goodrow saved by Alex Lyon
  3. P3 18:40
    Giveaway by Mattias Samuelsson in defensive zone
  4. P3 17:38
    Michael Misa won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
  5. P3 17:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Kesselring saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  6. P3 17:14
    Adam Gaudette won faceoff against Sam Carrick in neutral zone
  7. P3 17:14
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jack Quinn (Empty Net)
    3-6
  8. P3 16:25
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in defensive zone
  9. P3 16:25
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  10. P3 16:17
    Stoppage - Icing
  11. P3 16:01
    Zach Benson credited with hit on Vincent Desharnais in defensive zone
  12. P3 15:45
    Giveaway by Alex Lyon in defensive zone
  13. P3 14:39
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in defensive zone
  14. P3 14:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Collin Graf saved by Alex Lyon
  15. P3 12:48
    Giveaway by Kiefer Sherwood in offensive zone
  16. P3 12:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Dmitry Orlov
  17. P3 10:57
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Sam Carrick in offensive zone
  18. P3 10:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  19. P3 10:40
    Stoppage
  20. P3 10:35
    Power play - Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  21. P3 10:35
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  22. P3 10:33
    SHOT
    Will Smith shot blocked by Logan Stanley
  23. P3 10:05
    SHOT
    Vincent Desharnais shot blocked by Sam Carrick
  24. P3 08:59
    Giveaway by Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  25. P3 08:47
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Michael Misa in defensive zone
  26. P3 08:47
    Stoppage - Icing
  27. P3 07:06
    Barclay Goodrow credited with hit on Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  28. P3 06:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alexander Wennberg
  29. P3 06:39
    Giveaway by Michael Kesselring in offensive zone
  30. P3 05:51
    SHOT
    Sam Carrick shot blocked by teammate
  31. P3 05:04
    Sam Carrick won faceoff against Michael Misa in defensive zone
  32. P3 05:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  33. P3 04:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Doan
  34. P3 04:14
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
  35. P3 03:47
    Giveaway by Kiefer Sherwood in neutral zone
  36. P3 03:37
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Philipp Kurashev in offensive zone
  37. P3 03:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
  38. P3 02:14
    Beck Malenstyn credited with hit on William Eklund in neutral zone
  39. P3 02:08
    Takeaway by Vincent Desharnais in defensive zone
  40. P3 01:30
    Michael Misa won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  41. P3 01:30
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  42. P3 00:55
    Zach Benson credited with hit on Mario Ferraro in offensive zone
  43. P3 00:48
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Philipp Kurashev in offensive zone
  44. P3 00:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  45. P3 00:42
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
  46. P3 00:13
    Giveaway by Dmitry Orlov in neutral zone
  47. P3 00:06
    Stoppage - Offside
  48. P3 00:00
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in neutral zone
  49. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  50. P2 19:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  51. P2 19:29
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  52. P2 19:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kiefer Sherwood
  53. P2 18:49
    SHOT
    Beck Malenstyn shot blocked by Dmitry Orlov
  54. P2 18:36
    SHOT
    John Klingberg shot blocked by teammate
  55. P2 17:56
    Sam Carrick won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in defensive zone
  56. P2 17:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Collin Graf saved by Alex Lyon
  57. P2 17:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  58. P2 16:36
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in defensive zone
  59. P2 16:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  60. P2 16:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zack Ostapchuk saved by Alex Lyon
  61. P2 15:56
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  62. P2 15:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  63. P2 14:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alexander Wennberg saved by Alex Lyon
  64. P2 14:30
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  65. P2 13:55
    Power play - Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  66. P2 13:55
    Penalty to Tage Thompson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  67. P2 13:55
    Penalty to Zach Benson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  68. P2 13:55
    Penalty to Dmitry Orlov 2 minutes for Misconduct
  69. P2 13:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Ostlund saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  70. P2 12:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vincent Desharnais saved by Alex Lyon
  71. P2 12:01
    SHOT
    Jack Quinn shot blocked by Mario Ferraro
  72. P2 11:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tyler Toffoli
  73. P2 10:32
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by Collin Graf
  74. P2 09:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  75. P2 09:31
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
  76. P2 09:31
    Sharks won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  77. P2 08:51
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in neutral zone
  78. P2 08:36
    SHOT
    Jack Quinn shot blocked by Mario Ferraro
  79. P2 08:22
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  80. P2 08:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexander Wennberg
  81. P2 07:57
    Sharks won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  82. P2 07:57
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  83. P2 06:47
    Giveaway by Dmitry Orlov in neutral zone
  84. P2 06:35
    Stoppage - Icing
  85. P2 06:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  86. P2 06:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  87. P2 05:35
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in defensive zone
  88. P2 05:19
    Takeaway by Rasmus Dahlin in neutral zone
  89. P2 04:59
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Beck Malenstyn assisted by Peyton Krebs and Rasmus Dahlin
    1-3
  90. P2 04:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  91. P2 04:45
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  92. P2 04:09
    SHOT
    Mario Ferraro shot blocked by Alex Tuch
  93. P2 04:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  94. P2 03:16
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in offensive zone
  95. P2 03:16
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  96. P2 03:09
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  97. P2 02:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Eklund saved by Alex Lyon
  98. P2 01:24
    Shakir Mukhamadullin credited with hit on Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
  99. P2 00:08
    Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on Kiefer Sherwood in defensive zone
  100. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  101. P1 19:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Collin Graf
  102. P1 18:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Klingberg
  103. P1 18:42
    SHOT
    Macklin Celebrini shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  104. P1 18:05
    Adam Gaudette won faceoff against Sam Carrick in defensive zone
  105. P1 17:25
    Power play - Giveaway by Jack Quinn in offensive zone
  106. P1 15:56
    Shorthanded - Josh Norris won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
  107. P1 15:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  108. P1 15:34
    Sam Carrick won faceoff against Adam Gaudette in offensive zone
  109. P1 15:31
    Adam Gaudette won faceoff against Sam Carrick in defensive zone
  110. P1 15:31
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  111. P1 14:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Power
  112. P1 14:10
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Mario Ferraro
  113. P1 13:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  114. P1 13:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Ostlund saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  115. P1 13:15
    Sharks won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  116. P1 12:54
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in neutral zone
  117. P1 12:20
    Giveaway by Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
  118. P1 12:09
    SHOT
    Josh Doan shot blocked by Shakir Mukhamadullin
  119. P1 11:11
    SHOT
    John Klingberg shot blocked by teammate
  120. P1 09:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  121. P1 09:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Will Smith saved by Alex Lyon
  122. P1 08:40
    Philipp Kurashev won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  123. P1 08:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Eklund saved by Alex Lyon
  124. P1 07:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shakir Mukhamadullin saved by Alex Lyon
  125. P1 07:09
    Giveaway by Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  126. P1 06:35
    Takeaway by Owen Power in neutral zone
  127. P1 06:04
    Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Beck Malenstyn in neutral zone
  128. P1 05:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Kesselring saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  129. P1 05:47
    Sam Carrick won faceoff against Adam Gaudette in offensive zone
  130. P1 05:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Carrick saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  131. P1 05:39
    Sam Carrick won faceoff against Michael Misa in neutral zone
  132. P1 05:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
  133. P1 05:11
    Takeaway by Mattias Samuelsson in defensive zone
  134. P1 04:12
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
  135. P1 03:56
    Philipp Kurashev won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  136. P1 03:53
    Giveaway by Sam Carrick in offensive zone
  137. P1 03:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  138. P1 02:59
    Beck Malenstyn credited with hit on Sam Dickinson in offensive zone
  139. P1 02:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tyler Toffoli
  140. P1 02:04
    Stoppage - Offside
  141. P1 01:51
    Giveaway by Yaroslav Askarov in defensive zone
  142. P1 00:00
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in neutral zone
Stats
Sharks
STATS
Sabres
20Shots on Goal26
49% Faceoff Win % 51%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
24Penalty Infraction Mins18
23Hits21
16 Shots Blocked 14
17Giveaways14
SharksSJ
SabresBUF
20Shots on Goal26
49% Faceoff Win % 51%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
24Penalty Infraction Mins18
23Hits21
16 Shots Blocked 14
17Giveaways14

Sharks vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sharks vs. Sabres
  • Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Sharks +175, Sabres -196

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sharks: 36%
  • Sabres: 64%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sharks a win probability of 36%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 64%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Sharks in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Sharks vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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