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Mammoth vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mammoth vs. Capitals NHL game on March 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
2
Mar 4, 12AM Capital One Arena
Mar 4, 12AM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Mammoth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Capitals | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Mammoth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Capitals | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
P3 18:45 Capitals shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:30 Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P3 18:28 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Jack McBain
P3 17:58 Shot missed by Nate Schmidt
P3 16:42 Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
P3 14:07 Shot on goal by Clayton Keller saved by Logan Thompson
P3 13:12 Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Karel Vejmelka
P3 12:57 Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Kailer Yamamoto
P3 12:27 Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Karel Vejmelka
P3 12:12 Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Karel Vejmelka
P3 10:25 Logan Cooley shot blocked by Justin Sourdif
P3 10:23 Sean Durzi shot blocked by Hendrix Lapierre
P3 09:59 Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Karel Vejmelka
P3 07:54 JJ Peterka shot blocked by Ryan Leonard
P3 07:48 Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Logan Thompson
P3 06:51 Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Karel Vejmelka
P3 06:00 Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Karel Vejmelka
P3 06:00 Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Karel Vejmelka
P3 05:40 Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Karel Vejmelka
P3 05:26 Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Alexander Kerfoot
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Barrett Hayton in offensive zone
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Barrett Hayton in offensive zone
SHOT
Capitals shot blocked by teammate
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Barrett Hayton in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Tom Wilson
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Jack McBain
SHOT
Shot missed by Nate Schmidt
Nick Schmaltz won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
Giveaway by Tom Wilson in neutral zone
Giveaway by Ian Cole in defensive zone
Takeaway by Olli Maatta in defensive zone
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Dylan Guenther in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Clayton Keller saved by Logan Thompson
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Karel Vejmelka
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Kailer Yamamoto
Mammoth won faceoff against Capitals in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Karel Vejmelka
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Karel Vejmelka
Takeaway by JJ Peterka in defensive zone
SHOT
Logan Cooley shot blocked by Justin Sourdif
SHOT
Sean Durzi shot blocked by Hendrix Lapierre
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Karel Vejmelka
Nic Dowd credited with hit on Sean Durzi in offensive zone
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
SHOT
JJ Peterka shot blocked by Ryan Leonard
SHOT
Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Logan Thompson
Logan Cooley won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Karel Vejmelka
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Nick Schmaltz in neutral zone
Power play - Giveaway by Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Kevin Stenlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Karel Vejmelka
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Karel Vejmelka
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Karel Vejmelka
SHOT
Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Alexander Kerfoot
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Karel Vejmelka
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
Jack McBain credited with hit on Trevor van Riemsdyk in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot
Kevin Stenlund won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lawson Crouse saved by Logan Thompson
Nic Dowd credited with hit on Sean Durzi in defensive zone
SHOT
Clayton Keller shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
SHOT
Nate Schmidt shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
Nick Schmaltz won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Ian Cole
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Karel Vejmelka
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by JJ Peterka assisted by Logan Cooley and Sean Durzi
3-1
Kevin Stenlund won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Barrett Hayton in defensive zone
Penalty to Jakob Chychrun 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Clayton Keller)
Giveaway by Matt Roy in defensive zone
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Nick Schmaltz in defensive zone
Logan Cooley won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
SHOT
Nate Schmidt shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
SHOT
JJ Peterka shot blocked by Ethen Frank
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Logan Cooley saved by Logan Thompson
Mammoth won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Guenther saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
John Marino shot blocked by Justin Sourdif
Jack McBain credited with hit on Ethen Frank in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Takeaway by Anthony Beauvillier in defensive zone
Mammoth won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Karel Vejmelka
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Schmaltz
Giveaway by Matt Roy in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Clayton Keller saved by Logan Thompson
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Jack McBain in defensive zone
Jack McBain won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Karel Vejmelka
Logan Cooley won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Karel Vejmelka
Kevin Stenlund credited with hit on Anthony Beauvillier in offensive zone
Kevin Stenlund won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Karel Vejmelka
SHOT
Shot missed by Trevor van Riemsdyk
Giveaway by Tom Wilson in defensive zone
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Nick Schmaltz in defensive zone
Jack McBain credited with hit on Matt Roy in offensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Barrett Hayton in defensive zone
SHOT
Ian Cole shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lawson Crouse saved by Logan Thompson
Giveaway by Dylan Guenther in offensive zone
Pierre-Luc Dubois credited with hit on Clayton Keller in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Schmaltz
Nick Schmaltz won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Kevin Stenlund in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Kailer Yamamoto
SHOT
Shot missed by Nic Dowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Logan Thompson
Giveaway by Martin Fehervary in defensive zone
Nick Schmaltz won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sean Durzi saved by Logan Thompson
Giveaway by Anthony Beauvillier in neutral zone
Barrett Hayton won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Barrett Hayton won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Pierre-Luc Dubois assisted by Rasmus Sandin
2-1
SHOT
Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Karel Vejmelka
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Karel Vejmelka
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Ryan Leonard in defensive zone
SHOT
Justin Sourdif shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Roy
SHOT
Dylan Guenther shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
Mammoth won faceoff against Capitals in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
John Marino shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
Sean Durzi credited with hit on Trevor van Riemsdyk in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Duhaime saved by Karel Vejmelka
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Logan Cooley in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Mikhail Sergachev assisted by Clayton Keller and Dylan Guenther
2-0
SHOT
Power play - Dylan Guenther shot blocked by Matt Roy
Mammoth won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mammoth
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Dylan Guenther
1-0
Matt Roy credited with hit on Dylan Guenther in offensive zone
Mammoth won faceoff against Capitals in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Logan Thompson
Giveaway by Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by JJ Peterka
SHOT
Nate Schmidt shot blocked by Justin Sourdif
Giveaway by Lawson Crouse in offensive zone
Giveaway by Trevor van Riemsdyk in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Karel Vejmelka
Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Clayton Keller in defensive zone
SHOT
Nick Schmaltz shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
Nick Schmaltz won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Kailer Yamamoto in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nick Schmaltz in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Carcone
SHOT
Kevin Stenlund shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Logan Thompson
Stoppage - Offside
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Kevin Stenlund in defensive zone
Jack McBain credited with hit on Matt Roy in offensive zone
SHOT
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by teammate
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Nick Schmaltz in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 23 | Shots on Goal | 25 | |||
| 46% | Faceoff Win % | 54% | |||
| 2/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/2 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 15 | Hits | 28 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 36 | |||
| 10 | Giveaways | 21 |
| |
|---|
| 23 | Shots on Goal | 25 | |||
| 46% | Faceoff Win % | 54% | |||
| 2/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/2 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 15 | Hits | 28 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 36 | |||
| 10 | Giveaways | 21 |
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Mammoth vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mammoth vs. Capitals
- Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Mammoth +102, Capitals -111
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mammoth: 48%
- Capitals: 52%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mammoth a win probability of 48%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Mammoth in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mammoth vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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