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Stars vs. Flames Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Stars vs. Flames NHL game on March 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Stars
6
1
Mar 4, 2AM Scotiabank Saddledome
Flames
Mar 4, 2AM Scotiabank Saddledome
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Stars
2 4 0 6
Flames
1 0 0 1
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
StarsDAL
Win %
100%
0%
FlamesCGY
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Stars
2 4 0 6
Flames
1 0 0 1
P3 19:50 Shot on goal by Lian Bichsel saved by Devin Cooley
P3 19:15 Adam Erne shot blocked by Joel Hanley
P3 18:20 Power play - Stars shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P3 18:09 Power play - Mikael Backlund shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P3 14:29 Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 13:39 Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 13:28 Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Devin Cooley
P3 12:53 Matt Coronato shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
P3 12:46 Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P3 12:46 Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P3 12:16 Shot missed by Adam Klapka
P3 11:46 Shot on goal by Nils Lundkvist saved by Devin Cooley
P3 11:14 Yan Kuznetsov shot blocked by Jamie Benn
P3 09:59 Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 04:09 Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P3 03:54 Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P3 03:06 Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Devin Cooley
P3 02:55 Power play - Justin Hryckowian shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
P3 01:27 Shot missed by Adam Erne
P3 01:25 Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Devin Cooley
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:52
Oskar Back won faceoff against Morgan Frost in offensive zone
P3 19:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lian Bichsel saved by Devin Cooley
P3 19:15
SHOT
Adam Erne shot blocked by Joel Hanley
P3 18:20
SHOT
Power play - Stars shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P3 18:09
SHOT
Power play - Mikael Backlund shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P3 16:58
Shorthanded - Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P3 15:33
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
P3 14:31
Stars won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
P3 14:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 13:50
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
P3 13:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 13:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Devin Cooley
P3 12:53
SHOT
Matt Coronato shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
P3 12:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P3 12:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P3 12:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Klapka
P3 11:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nils Lundkvist saved by Devin Cooley
P3 11:21
Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P3 11:16
Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P3 11:16
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 11:14
SHOT
Yan Kuznetsov shot blocked by Jamie Benn
P3 10:01
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
P3 10:01
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 09:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 07:52
John Beecher won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in defensive zone
P3 07:48
Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Morgan Frost in offensive zone
P3 07:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 07:23
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
P3 07:23
Stoppage - Icing
P3 05:46
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
P3 04:15
Adam Klapka credited with hit on Lian Bichsel in offensive zone
P3 04:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P3 03:56
Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P3 03:56
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 03:54
SHOT
Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P3 03:50
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
P3 03:50
Stoppage - Offside
P3 03:06
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Devin Cooley
P3 02:55
SHOT
Power play - Justin Hryckowian shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
P3 01:44
Penalty to Joel Hanley 2 minutes for Delay of Game
P3 01:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Erne
P3 01:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Devin Cooley
P3 01:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Devin Cooley
P3 01:08
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
P3 01:08
Stoppage - Icing
P3 00:23
SHOT
Thomas Harley shot blocked by teammate
P3 00:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Devin Cooley
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:41
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
P2 19:03
Penalty to Adam Klapka 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Adam Erne)
P2 19:00
SHOT
Shot missed by John Beecher
P2 18:50
SHOT
Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Adam Klapka
P2 18:42
SHOT
Adam Erne shot blocked by Ryan Lomberg
P2 18:40
Stars won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
P2 18:40
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 18:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Devin Cooley
P2 15:32
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P2 15:32
Penalty to MacKenzie Weegar 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 14:56
Penalty to Miro Heiskanen 2 minutes for Holding
P2 14:49
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P2 14:49
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 14:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Casey DeSmith
P2 14:42
Stars won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
P2 14:36
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P2 14:36
Stoppage - Icing
P2 13:03
SHOT
Justin Hryckowian shot blocked by Joel Hanley
P2 12:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
P2 12:24
Nazem Kadri credited with hit on Oskar Back in defensive zone
P2 10:44
SHOT
Power play - Justin Hryckowian shot blocked by Kevin Bahl
P2 09:51
Shorthanded - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
P2 09:51
Penalty to Joel Hanley 2 minutes for Delay of Game
P2 09:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Casey DeSmith
P2 09:30
SHOT
Nazem Kadri shot blocked by teammate
P2 08:48
GOAL
Goal scored by Nathan Bastian assisted by Nils Lundkvist and Thomas Harley
5-1
P2 08:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Arttu Hyry
P2 07:51
SHOT
Colin Blackwell shot blocked by teammate
P2 07:35
SHOT
Adam Erne shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
P2 06:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P2 06:02
Yegor Sharangovich won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
P2 06:02
GOAL
Goal scored by Sam Steel assisted by Matt Duchene and Esa Lindell
4-1
P2 05:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Casey DeSmith
P2 05:25
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
P2 04:19
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
P2 03:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 03:32
Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Morgan Frost in offensive zone
P2 03:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:24
Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against John Beecher in offensive zone
P2 03:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:20
Stoppage - Icing
P2 03:09
John Beecher won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in offensive zone
P2 03:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Casey DeSmith
P2 02:44
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
P2 02:34
Arttu Hyry credited with hit on Yan Kuznetsov in offensive zone
P2 02:26
Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
P2 00:00
Arttu Hyry won faceoff against John Beecher in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:55
Stoppage - Icing
P1 19:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Dustin Wolf
P1 18:37
SHOT
Thomas Harley shot blocked by Adam Klapka
P1 16:28
Giveaway by Matt Coronato in neutral zone
P1 16:20
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
P1 16:20
Stoppage - Icing
P1 15:28
Adam Erne credited with hit on Yan Kuznetsov in offensive zone
P1 14:28
SHOT
Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P1 14:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Beecher saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 14:16
SHOT
Zach Whitecloud shot blocked by Sam Steel
P1 14:03
John Beecher won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
P1 14:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Hanley saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 13:59
John Beecher won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
P1 13:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zayne Parekh saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 13:53
John Beecher won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
P1 12:21
Zach Whitecloud credited with hit on Colin Blackwell in defensive zone
P1 12:12
SHOT
Ilya Lyubushkin shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
P1 11:54
GOAL
Goal scored by Jamie Benn assisted by Matt Duchene and Sam Steel
2-1
P1 11:36
Stoppage - Icing
P1 10:48
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P1 10:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Dustin Wolf
P1 10:13
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P1 10:02
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
P1 09:52
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
P1 09:50
GOAL
Goal scored by Morgan Frost assisted by Blake Coleman and Adam Klapka
1-1
P1 09:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Stars
P1 08:44
Stars won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
P1 08:11
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P1 07:59
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P1 07:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 07:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Beecher saved by Casey DeSmith
P1 07:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Dustin Wolf
P1 07:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P1 05:50
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P1 04:56
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
P1 04:56
Penalty to Mavrik Bourque 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Dustin Wolf)
P1 04:53
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Dustin Wolf
P1 03:32
Shorthanded - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
P1 03:32
Penalty to Blake Coleman 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Miro Heiskanen)
P1 03:11
Stoppage - Offside
P1 02:49
Yan Kuznetsov credited with hit on Nathan Bastian in offensive zone
P1 02:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Arttu Hyry
P1 02:03
SHOT
Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Matvei Gridin
P1 00:17
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
P1 00:17
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 00:00
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Mikael Backlund
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Stars
STATS
Flames
35Shots on Goal21
60% Faceoff Win % 40%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins12
16Hits18
11Shots Blocked20
16Giveaways22
StarsDAL
FlamesCGY
35Shots on Goal21
60% Faceoff Win % 40%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins12
16Hits18
11Shots Blocked20
16Giveaways22

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Stars vs. Flames: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Stars vs. Flames
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Stars -130, Flames +118

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Stars: 56%
  • Flames: 44%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 56%, while the Flames have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Scotiabank Saddledome on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Stars vs. Flames predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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