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Penguins vs. Bruins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Bruins NHL game on March 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Penguins
1
2
Mar 4, 12AM TD Garden
Bruins
Mar 4, 12AM TD Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Penguins
1 0 0 1
Bruins
2 0 0 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
PenguinsPIT
Win %
0%
100%
BruinsBOS
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
1 0 0 1
Bruins
2 0 0 2
P3 19:08 Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
P3 18:08 Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
P3 17:14 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 16:07 Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
P3 16:05 Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Fraser Minten
P3 15:36 Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 13:21 Shot missed by Mason Lohrei
P3 13:03 Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 12:18 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 10:58 Shot missed by Mark Kastelic
P3 10:06 Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 09:46 Shot on goal by Marat Khusnutdinov saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 09:18 Shot missed by Jonathan Aspirot
P3 07:16 Shot missed by Charlie McAvoy
P3 05:47 Bryan Rust shot blocked by Mark Kastelic
P3 05:15 Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 03:48 Shot missed by Ryan Shea
P3 03:26 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 01:49 Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 01:19 Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Jeremy Swayman
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:50
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
P3 19:49
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
P3 19:11
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
P3 19:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
P3 19:04
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
P3 18:50
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
P3 18:50
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 18:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
P3 17:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 16:12
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
P3 16:07
SHOT
Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
P3 16:05
SHOT
Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Fraser Minten
P3 15:38
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Fraser Minten in offensive zone
P3 15:38
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 15:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 14:46
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
P3 14:39
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P3 14:39
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P3 13:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Mason Lohrei
P3 13:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 12:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 11:32
Penguins won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
P3 11:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 10:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Kastelic
P3 10:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 09:55
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in neutral zone
P3 09:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marat Khusnutdinov saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 09:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Jonathan Aspirot
P3 07:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Charlie McAvoy
P3 06:51
Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
P3 06:51
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 06:17
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P3 06:17
Stoppage - Icing
P3 06:08
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P3 05:47
SHOT
Bryan Rust shot blocked by Mark Kastelic
P3 05:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 03:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Shea
P3 03:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 01:49
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 01:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 01:15
Penalty to Casey Mittelstadt 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 01:15
Penguins won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
P3 01:00
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
P3 00:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 00:00
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:56
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Pavel Zacha
P2 18:56
SHOT
Power play - Hampus Lindholm shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P2 18:25
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
P2 18:25
Penalty to Anthony Mantha 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Jonathan Aspirot)
P2 17:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 17:22
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
P2 17:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 16:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P2 15:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 15:45
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by Marat Khusnutdinov
P2 15:34
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
P2 15:34
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 15:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Jeremy Swayman
P2 14:30
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in defensive zone
P2 14:30
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P2 14:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Kastelic saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 13:56
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in offensive zone
P2 13:56
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 13:48
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
P2 13:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 13:17
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P2 13:16
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Fraser Minten
P2 11:55
Fraser Minten won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P2 11:22
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jeremy Swayman
P2 10:34
Penalty to Yegor Chinakhov 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Mason Lohrei)
P2 10:34
Penguins won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
P2 10:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 10:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Jeremy Swayman
P2 09:34
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
P2 09:03
SHOT
Jonathan Aspirot shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P2 08:51
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P2 08:51
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 08:26
Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
P2 07:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hampus Lindholm saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 07:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Jeremy Swayman
P2 06:29
SHOT
Morgan Geekie shot blocked by Kevin Hayes
P2 06:08
Fraser Minten won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P2 06:08
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P2 06:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
P2 05:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P2 05:09
SHOT
Samuel Girard shot blocked by teammate
P2 03:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Jeremy Swayman
P2 03:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Lohrei saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 03:07
SHOT
Michael Eyssimont shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P2 01:58
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
P2 01:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Jeremy Swayman
P2 01:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrew Peeke
P2 01:12
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P2 01:03
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
P2 01:03
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 18:59
Shorthanded - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
P1 18:59
Stoppage - Offside
P1 18:40
Shorthanded - Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
P1 17:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sean Kuraly saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 17:17
SHOT
Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P1 16:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Casey Mittelstadt
P1 16:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Hampus Lindholm
P1 16:04
SHOT
Power play - Mason Lohrei shot blocked by Kris Letang
P1 14:32
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Jeremy Swayman
P1 14:06
Ryan Shea won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
P1 14:00
SHOT
Charlie McAvoy shot blocked by Kevin Hayes
P1 13:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
P1 13:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 12:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Jeremy Swayman
P1 12:37
SHOT
Pavel Zacha shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P1 12:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
P1 12:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
P1 12:01
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in offensive zone
P1 11:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Jeremy Swayman
P1 11:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Jeremy Swayman
P1 10:44
SHOT
Jonathan Aspirot shot blocked by Kris Letang
P1 10:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 10:25
SHOT
Samuel Girard shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
P1 07:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
P1 06:50
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by Marat Khusnutdinov
P1 06:09
SHOT
Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by Connor Dewar
P1 06:01
GOAL
Goal scored by Casey Mittelstadt assisted by Nikita Zadorov and Pavel Zacha
1-2
P1 06:00
Penguins won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
P1 05:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Casey Mittelstadt
P1 05:58
SHOT
Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P1 05:36
Penguins won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
P1 05:29
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Mark Kastelic
P1 05:21
Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P1 05:21
Stoppage - Icing
P1 05:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
P1 04:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charlie McAvoy saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 04:35
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Fraser Minten in defensive zone
P1 04:35
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 02:33
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 02:08
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
P1 02:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Penguins
P1 00:42
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
P1 00:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P1 00:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 00:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hampus Lindholm saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 00:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marat Khusnutdinov saved by Stuart Skinner
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Bruins
35Shots on Goal28
33% Faceoff Win % 67%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins8
24Hits23
23Shots Blocked12
12Giveaways17
PenguinsPIT
BruinsBOS
35Shots on Goal28
33% Faceoff Win % 67%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins8
24Hits23
23Shots Blocked12
12Giveaways17

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Penguins vs. Bruins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Bruins
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: TD Garden

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Bruins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +104, Bruins -118

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 49%
  • Bruins: 51%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 49%, while the Bruins have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Bruins are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at TD Garden on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Bruins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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