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Penguins vs. Oilers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Oilers NHL game on January 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Penguins
6
2
Jan 23, 2AM Rogers Place
Oilers
Jan 23, 2AM Rogers Place
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Penguins
3 2 1 6
Oilers
0 1 1 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
PenguinsPIT
Win %
100%
0%
OilersEDM
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
3 2 1 6
Oilers
0 1 1 2
P3 18:22 Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:00 Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 16:56 Brett Kulak shot blocked by Jack Roslovic
P3 16:50 Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P3 15:11 Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
P3 13:56 Shot missed by Matt Savoie
P3 11:25 Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
P3 11:22 Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
P3 10:37 Shot on goal by Curtis Lazar saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 09:52 Shot on goal by Isaac Howard saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 08:31 Shot on goal by Spencer Stastney saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 07:00 Shot missed by Trent Frederic
P3 06:27 Bryan Rust shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P3 06:05 Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Thomas Novak
P3 05:38 Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P3 02:53 Goal scored by Yegor Chinakhov
P3 02:52 Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
P3 02:02 Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 01:50 Shot on goal by Isaac Howard saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 01:03 Shot missed by Andrew Mangiapane
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:47
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Trent Frederic in defensive zone
P3 19:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 19:27
Trent Frederic won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
P3 19:27
Stoppage - Icing
P3 18:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 17:14
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 17:01
Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P3 16:56
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Jack Roslovic
P3 16:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P3 15:15
Giveaway by Spencer Stastney in defensive zone
P3 15:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
P3 13:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Savoie
P3 13:21
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in neutral zone
P3 12:47
Giveaway by Jake Walman in defensive zone
P3 12:22
Trent Frederic credited with hit on Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P3 11:54
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P3 11:54
Stoppage - Icing
P3 11:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
P3 11:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
P3 10:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Curtis Lazar saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 09:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Isaac Howard saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 09:44
Giveaway by Jack Roslovic in offensive zone
P3 08:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Spencer Stastney saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 08:17
Andrew Mangiapane credited with hit on Jack St. Ivany in neutral zone
P3 07:07
Ty Emberson credited with hit on Connor Dewar in neutral zone
P3 07:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Trent Frederic
P3 06:27
SHOT
Bryan Rust shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P3 06:05
SHOT
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Thomas Novak
P3 05:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P3 04:04
Ty Emberson credited with hit on Blake Lizotte in defensive zone
P3 02:57
Trent Frederic won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P3 02:57
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:53
GOAL
Goal scored by Yegor Chinakhov
6-1
P3 02:53
Penguins won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
P3 02:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
P3 02:14
Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
P3 02:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 01:53
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in defensive zone
P3 01:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Isaac Howard saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 01:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrew Mangiapane
P3 00:36
Connor Clifton won faceoff against Oilers in defensive zone
P3 00:10
Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in neutral zone
P3 00:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 19:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 18:33
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 18:24
SHOT
Power play - Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Connor Dewar
P2 17:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 17:45
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 17:06
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 16:57
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P2 15:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Walman
P2 15:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 15:02
Blake Lizotte credited with hit on Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P2 14:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P2 14:55
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P2 14:55
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 14:27
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
P2 14:26
GOAL
Goal scored by Evgeni Malkin
5-1
P2 14:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
P2 13:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
P2 12:29
Penguins won faceoff against Spencer Stastney in neutral zone
P2 11:37
Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
P2 11:15
Takeaway by Brett Kulak in defensive zone
P2 10:40
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Ben Kindel
P2 10:00
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
P2 09:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 09:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 09:04
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P2 08:54
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P2 08:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 08:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P2 08:43
Penguins won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
P2 08:12
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Trent Frederic in offensive zone
P2 08:12
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P2 05:41
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 05:19
Shorthanded - Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P2 05:19
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Jake Walman
3-1
P2 04:14
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
P2 04:11
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Mattias Janmark
P2 03:47
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in offensive zone
P2 03:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P2 02:32
SHOT
Isaac Howard shot blocked by Jack St. Ivany
P2 01:39
Darnell Nurse credited with hit on Yegor Chinakhov in offensive zone
P2 01:26
Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
P2 01:02
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P2 01:02
Stoppage - Offside
P2 00:08
Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P2 00:00
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 19:48
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Mattias Janmark in defensive zone
P1 19:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 19:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Hyman
P1 18:40
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P1 18:32
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P1 17:39
Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P1 17:27
Giveaway by Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P1 17:06
Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Connor Clifton in offensive zone
P1 16:58
Penguins won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
P1 16:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 15:51
Takeaway by Ben Kindel in neutral zone
P1 15:08
SHOT
Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Jake Walman
P1 14:51
Andrew Mangiapane credited with hit on Ryan Shea in neutral zone
P1 13:40
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Trent Frederic in neutral zone
P1 13:40
Stoppage - Offside
P1 13:04
SHOT
Power play - Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Jack St. Ivany
P1 12:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack St. Ivany
P1 11:57
Takeaway by Ryan Shea in defensive zone
P1 11:25
Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
P1 11:14
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 11:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 10:54
Penalty to Spencer Stastney 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Ben Kindel)
P1 10:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack St. Ivany saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 10:24
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in offensive zone
P1 10:24
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P1 09:48
Jack St. Ivany credited with hit on Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P1 08:51
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 08:39
Giveaway by Evan Bouchard in neutral zone
P1 08:15
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P1 07:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 07:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Arturs Silovs
P1 05:59
Giveaway by Darnell Nurse in offensive zone
P1 05:51
Takeaway by Ty Emberson in defensive zone
P1 05:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
P1 05:22
Stoppage - Offside
P1 04:50
SHOT
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by teammate
P1 04:45
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Trent Frederic in defensive zone
P1 04:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P1 03:43
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P1 03:43
Stoppage - Icing
P1 03:06
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P1 03:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:57
Penguins won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
P1 02:42
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
P1 00:59
Blake Lizotte credited with hit on Trent Frederic in offensive zone
P1 00:54
SHOT
Connor Dewar shot blocked by Spencer Stastney
P1 00:31
Trent Frederic won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P1 00:31
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 00:00
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Oilers
22Shots on Goal32
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
13Hits20
9Shots Blocked9
17Giveaways17
PenguinsPIT
OilersEDM
22Shots on Goal32
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
13Hits20
9Shots Blocked9
17Giveaways17

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Penguins vs. Oilers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Oilers
  • Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Place

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Oilers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): Not Available
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +158, Oilers -188

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 41%
  • Oilers: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 41%, while the Oilers have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Rogers Place on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Oilers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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