Penguins vs. Oilers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Oilers NHL game on January 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Penguins
6
2
Rogers Place
Oilers
Rogers Place
TEAM123T
Penguins
3 2 1 6
Oilers
0 1 1 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penguins
    100%
  • Oilers
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
3 2 1 6
Oilers
0 1 1 2
P3 18:22 Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:00 Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 16:56 Brett Kulak shot blocked by Jack Roslovic
P3 16:50 Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P3 15:11 Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
P3 13:56 Shot missed by Matt Savoie
P3 11:25 Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
P3 11:22 Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
P3 10:37 Shot on goal by Curtis Lazar saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 09:52 Shot on goal by Isaac Howard saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 08:31 Shot on goal by Spencer Stastney saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 07:00 Shot missed by Trent Frederic
P3 06:27 Bryan Rust shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P3 06:05 Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Thomas Novak
P3 05:38 Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P3 02:53 Goal scored by Yegor Chinakhov
P3 02:52 Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
P3 02:02 Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 01:50 Shot on goal by Isaac Howard saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 01:03 Shot missed by Andrew Mangiapane
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:47
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Trent Frederic in defensive zone
  3. P3 19:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  4. P3 19:27
    Trent Frederic won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  5. P3 19:27
    Stoppage - Icing
  6. P3 18:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Arturs Silovs
  7. P3 18:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Tristan Jarry
  8. P3 17:14
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  9. P3 17:01
    Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  10. P3 16:56
    SHOT
    Brett Kulak shot blocked by Jack Roslovic
  11. P3 16:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
  12. P3 15:15
    Giveaway by Spencer Stastney in defensive zone
  13. P3 15:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
  14. P3 13:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Savoie
  15. P3 13:21
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in neutral zone
  16. P3 12:47
    Giveaway by Jake Walman in defensive zone
  17. P3 12:22
    Trent Frederic credited with hit on Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  18. P3 11:54
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  19. P3 11:54
    Stoppage - Icing
  20. P3 11:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
  21. P3 11:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
  22. P3 10:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Curtis Lazar saved by Arturs Silovs
  23. P3 09:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Isaac Howard saved by Arturs Silovs
  24. P3 09:44
    Giveaway by Jack Roslovic in offensive zone
  25. P3 08:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Spencer Stastney saved by Arturs Silovs
  26. P3 08:17
    Andrew Mangiapane credited with hit on Jack St. Ivany in neutral zone
  27. P3 07:07
    Ty Emberson credited with hit on Connor Dewar in neutral zone
  28. P3 07:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Trent Frederic
  29. P3 06:27
    SHOT
    Bryan Rust shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
  30. P3 06:05
    SHOT
    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Thomas Novak
  31. P3 05:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Novak
  32. P3 04:04
    Ty Emberson credited with hit on Blake Lizotte in defensive zone
  33. P3 02:57
    Trent Frederic won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  34. P3 02:57
    Stoppage - Icing
  35. P3 02:53
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Yegor Chinakhov
    6-1
  36. P3 02:53
    Penguins won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  37. P3 02:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
  38. P3 02:14
    Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  39. P3 02:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Tristan Jarry
  40. P3 01:53
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in defensive zone
  41. P3 01:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Isaac Howard saved by Arturs Silovs
  42. P3 01:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrew Mangiapane
  43. P3 00:36
    Connor Clifton won faceoff against Oilers in defensive zone
  44. P3 00:10
    Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in neutral zone
  45. P3 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
  46. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  47. P2 19:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Tristan Jarry
  48. P2 19:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Tristan Jarry
  49. P2 18:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Arturs Silovs
  50. P2 18:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Connor Dewar
  51. P2 17:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  52. P2 17:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Arturs Silovs
  53. P2 17:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Arturs Silovs
  54. P2 16:57
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  55. P2 15:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Walman
  56. P2 15:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Arturs Silovs
  57. P2 15:02
    Blake Lizotte credited with hit on Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  58. P2 14:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
  59. P2 14:55
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  60. P2 14:55
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  61. P2 14:27
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  62. P2 14:26
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Evgeni Malkin
    5-1
  63. P2 14:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
  64. P2 13:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
  65. P2 12:29
    Penguins won faceoff against Spencer Stastney in neutral zone
  66. P2 11:37
    Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  67. P2 11:15
    Takeaway by Brett Kulak in defensive zone
  68. P2 10:40
    SHOT
    Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Ben Kindel
  69. P2 10:00
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  70. P2 09:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Arturs Silovs
  71. P2 09:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Tristan Jarry
  72. P2 09:04
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  73. P2 08:54
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  74. P2 08:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  75. P2 08:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Novak
  76. P2 08:43
    Penguins won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  77. P2 08:12
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Trent Frederic in offensive zone
  78. P2 08:12
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  79. P2 05:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Tristan Jarry
  80. P2 05:19
    Shorthanded - Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  81. P2 05:19
    GOAL
    Shorthanded - Goal scored by Jake Walman
    3-1
  82. P2 04:14
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
  83. P2 04:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Mattias Janmark
  84. P2 03:47
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in offensive zone
  85. P2 03:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  86. P2 02:32
    SHOT
    Isaac Howard shot blocked by Jack St. Ivany
  87. P2 01:39
    Darnell Nurse credited with hit on Yegor Chinakhov in offensive zone
  88. P2 01:26
    Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  89. P2 01:02
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  90. P2 01:02
    Stoppage - Offside
  91. P2 00:08
    Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  92. P2 00:00
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  93. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  94. P1 19:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Arturs Silovs
  95. P1 19:48
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Mattias Janmark in defensive zone
  96. P1 19:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  97. P1 19:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Hyman
  98. P1 18:40
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Bryan Rust
  99. P1 18:32
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  100. P1 17:39
    Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  101. P1 17:27
    Giveaway by Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  102. P1 17:06
    Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Connor Clifton in offensive zone
  103. P1 16:58
    Penguins won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  104. P1 16:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Arturs Silovs
  105. P1 15:51
    Takeaway by Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  106. P1 15:08
    SHOT
    Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Jake Walman
  107. P1 14:51
    Andrew Mangiapane credited with hit on Ryan Shea in neutral zone
  108. P1 13:40
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Trent Frederic in neutral zone
  109. P1 13:40
    Stoppage - Offside
  110. P1 13:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Jack St. Ivany
  111. P1 12:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack St. Ivany
  112. P1 11:57
    Takeaway by Ryan Shea in defensive zone
  113. P1 11:25
    Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  114. P1 11:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Tristan Jarry
  115. P1 11:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Tristan Jarry
  116. P1 10:54
    Penalty to Spencer Stastney 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Ben Kindel)
  117. P1 10:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack St. Ivany saved by Tristan Jarry
  118. P1 10:24
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in offensive zone
  119. P1 10:24
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  120. P1 09:48
    Jack St. Ivany credited with hit on Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  121. P1 08:51
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  122. P1 08:39
    Giveaway by Evan Bouchard in neutral zone
  123. P1 08:15
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  124. P1 07:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Arturs Silovs
  125. P1 07:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Arturs Silovs
  126. P1 05:59
    Giveaway by Darnell Nurse in offensive zone
  127. P1 05:51
    Takeaway by Ty Emberson in defensive zone
  128. P1 05:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
  129. P1 05:22
    Stoppage - Offside
  130. P1 04:50
    SHOT
    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by teammate
  131. P1 04:45
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Trent Frederic in defensive zone
  132. P1 04:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  133. P1 03:43
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  134. P1 03:43
    Stoppage - Icing
  135. P1 03:06
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  136. P1 03:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  137. P1 02:57
    Penguins won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  138. P1 02:42
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  139. P1 00:59
    Blake Lizotte credited with hit on Trent Frederic in offensive zone
  140. P1 00:54
    SHOT
    Connor Dewar shot blocked by Spencer Stastney
  141. P1 00:31
    Trent Frederic won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  142. P1 00:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  143. P1 00:00
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  144. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Oilers
22Shots on Goal32
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
13Hits20
9 Shots Blocked 9
17Giveaways17
PenguinsPIT
OilersEDM
22Shots on Goal32
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
13Hits20
9 Shots Blocked 9
17Giveaways17

Penguins vs. Oilers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Oilers
  • Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Place

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Oilers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): Not Available
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +158, Oilers -188

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 41%
  • Oilers: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 41%, while the Oilers have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Rogers Place on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Oilers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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