Penguins vs. Flames Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Flames NHL game on January 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Penguins
4
1
Scotiabank Saddledome
Flames
Scotiabank Saddledome
TEAM123T
Penguins
1 1 2 4
Flames
0 1 0 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penguins
    100%
  • Flames
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
1 1 2 4
Flames
0 1 0 1
P3 18:11 Shot missed by Ryan Shea
P3 18:07 Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 17:57 Matt Coronato shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 17:47 Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 17:31 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 15:43 Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 13:33 Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 12:39 Joel Hanley shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P3 10:35 Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 09:09 Shot on goal by Hunter Brzustewicz saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 08:39 Ryan Shea shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:11 Martin Pospisil shot blocked by Thomas Novak
P3 02:28 Power play - Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P3 01:25 Power play - Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 17:58 Shot missed by Yegor Sharangovich
P2 17:24 Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
P2 16:18 Shot missed by Yan Kuznetsov
P2 15:41 Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P2 15:15 Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 14:57 Shot missed by Penguins
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 18:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Shea
  3. P3 18:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Dustin Wolf
  4. P3 17:59
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
  5. P3 17:57
    SHOT
    Matt Coronato shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  6. P3 17:48
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Flames in offensive zone
  7. P3 17:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Dustin Wolf
  8. P3 17:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  9. P3 15:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Dustin Wolf
  10. P3 15:28
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  11. P3 14:55
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  12. P3 14:04
    Adam Klapka credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
  13. P3 13:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Stuart Skinner
  14. P3 13:01
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Flames in defensive zone
  15. P3 12:39
    SHOT
    Joel Hanley shot blocked by Connor Clifton
  16. P3 11:13
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  17. P3 11:13
    Stoppage - Icing
  18. P3 10:47
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  19. P3 10:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Dustin Wolf
  20. P3 10:33
    Stoppage - Icing
  21. P3 09:19
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Justin Kirkland in neutral zone
  22. P3 09:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Hunter Brzustewicz saved by Stuart Skinner
  23. P3 08:39
    SHOT
    Ryan Shea shot blocked by teammate
  24. P3 06:35
    Joel Hanley credited with hit on Anthony Mantha in neutral zone
  25. P3 06:21
    Jack St. Ivany credited with hit on Adam Klapka in defensive zone
  26. P3 06:11
    SHOT
    Martin Pospisil shot blocked by Thomas Novak
  27. P3 05:32
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  28. P3 05:32
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  29. P3 04:57
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  30. P3 04:57
    Stoppage - Icing
  31. P3 02:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Bryan Rust
  32. P3 01:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Stuart Skinner
  33. P3 01:04
    Power play - Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  34. P3 00:50
    Yegor Chinakhov won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
  35. P3 00:33
    Bryan Rust credited with hit on Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  36. P3 00:13
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  37. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  38. P2 19:57
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  39. P2 19:28
    Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Zach Whitecloud in offensive zone
  40. P2 18:06
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  41. P2 18:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  42. P2 17:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Sharangovich
  43. P2 17:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
  44. P2 17:01
    Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Yegor Chinakhov in defensive zone
  45. P2 16:48
    MacKenzie Weegar credited with hit on Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  46. P2 16:43
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  47. P2 16:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yan Kuznetsov
  48. P2 15:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Coronato
  49. P2 15:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Stuart Skinner
  50. P2 14:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Penguins
  51. P2 14:06
    Anthony Mantha credited with hit on Adam Klapka in offensive zone
  52. P2 14:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Dustin Wolf
  53. P2 13:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
  54. P2 13:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Joel Hanley
  55. P2 13:22
    Penguins won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  56. P2 13:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Stuart Skinner
  57. P2 13:06
    Stoppage - Icing
  58. P2 12:43
    SHOT
    Morgan Frost shot blocked by Connor Clifton
  59. P2 12:32
    Penguins won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  60. P2 12:16
    SHOT
    Connor Dewar shot blocked by Yan Kuznetsov
  61. P2 11:48
    Adam Klapka credited with hit on Ryan Shea in offensive zone
  62. P2 11:24
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  63. P2 11:10
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  64. P2 11:03
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  65. P2 11:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  66. P2 10:50
    SHOT
    Zach Whitecloud shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  67. P2 10:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Klapka
  68. P2 10:21
    Stoppage - Icing
  69. P2 09:03
    SHOT
    Ben Kindel shot blocked by Hunter Brzustewicz
  70. P2 08:25
    SHOT
    Connor Clifton shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
  71. P2 08:19
    SHOT
    Thomas Novak shot blocked by Yan Kuznetsov
  72. P2 08:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by MacKenzie Weegar
  73. P2 07:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by MacKenzie Weegar saved by Stuart Skinner
  74. P2 07:22
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
  75. P2 07:22
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  76. P2 06:57
    Noel Acciari credited with hit on Matt Coronato in defensive zone
  77. P2 06:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by Stuart Skinner
  78. P2 05:53
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  79. P2 05:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Dustin Wolf
  80. P2 05:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Stuart Skinner
  81. P2 04:16
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  82. P2 04:13
    SHOT
    Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Kevin Bahl
  83. P2 04:07
    SHOT
    Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Morgan Frost
  84. P2 03:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  85. P2 02:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yan Kuznetsov
  86. P2 01:56
    SHOT
    Penguins shot blocked by teammate
  87. P2 01:31
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  88. P2 01:21
    SHOT
    Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Jack St. Ivany
  89. P2 00:57
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
  90. P2 00:45
    SHOT
    Mikael Backlund shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  91. P2 00:00
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  92. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  93. P1 19:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Kindel
  94. P1 19:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
  95. P1 19:06
    Stoppage - Icing
  96. P1 18:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  97. P1 18:12
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  98. P1 18:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Stuart Skinner
  99. P1 17:48
    Justin Kirkland credited with hit on Yegor Chinakhov in offensive zone
  100. P1 17:33
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  101. P1 17:06
    SHOT
    Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Noel Acciari
  102. P1 16:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Zary
  103. P1 16:40
    Noel Acciari credited with hit on Yan Kuznetsov in offensive zone
  104. P1 16:21
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  105. P1 15:52
    Giveaway by Jack St. Ivany in neutral zone
  106. P1 15:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  107. P1 15:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Sharangovich
  108. P1 14:59
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  109. P1 14:48
    SHOT
    MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Yegor Chinakhov
  110. P1 14:09
    SHOT
    Justin Kirkland shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  111. P1 13:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Lomberg
  112. P1 13:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Dustin Wolf
  113. P1 12:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Zary saved by Stuart Skinner
  114. P1 12:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kevin Bahl
  115. P1 12:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by Stuart Skinner
  116. P1 12:06
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  117. P1 11:29
    Anthony Mantha won faceoff against Martin Pospisil in neutral zone
  118. P1 11:28
    Evgeni Malkin credited with hit on Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
  119. P1 11:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  120. P1 10:01
    Blake Lizotte credited with hit on Martin Pospisil in neutral zone
  121. P1 08:47
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  122. P1 08:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Dustin Wolf
  123. P1 08:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  124. P1 08:40
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  125. P1 08:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Dustin Wolf
  126. P1 08:33
    Stoppage - Offside
  127. P1 08:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  128. P1 08:03
    SHOT
    Connor Clifton shot blocked by Martin Pospisil
  129. P1 07:49
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Evgeni Malkin assisted by Ryan Shea and Jack St. Ivany
    1-0
  130. P1 07:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
  131. P1 07:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack St. Ivany
  132. P1 07:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  133. P1 06:01
    Yan Kuznetsov credited with hit on Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  134. P1 05:00
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  135. P1 03:47
    Shorthanded - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Anthony Mantha in defensive zone
  136. P1 03:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  137. P1 03:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Ryan Shea shot blocked by Yegor Sharangovich
  138. P1 02:29
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  139. P1 02:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Penguins
  140. P1 02:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  141. P1 01:56
    SHOT
    Hunter Brzustewicz shot blocked by Ryan Graves
  142. P1 01:53
    Penguins won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  143. P1 01:35
    Martin Pospisil won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  144. P1 01:18
    SHOT
    Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Evgeni Malkin
  145. P1 00:25
    SHOT
    Bryan Rust shot blocked by Yan Kuznetsov
  146. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Flames
25Shots on Goal19
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
17Hits24
17 Shots Blocked 11
16Giveaways16
PenguinsPIT
FlamesCGY
25Shots on Goal19
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
17Hits24
17 Shots Blocked 11
16Giveaways16

Penguins vs. Flames: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Flames
  • Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Penguins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins -125, Flames +116

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 51%
  • Flames: 49%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 51%, while the Flames have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Scotiabank Saddledome on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Flames predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.