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Penguins vs. Flames Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Flames NHL game on January 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Penguins
4
1
Jan 22, 2:30AM Scotiabank Saddledome
Flames
Jan 22, 2:30AM Scotiabank Saddledome
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Penguins
1124
Flames
0101
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
PenguinsPIT
Win %
100%
0%
FlamesCGY
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
1124
Flames
0101
P3 18:11 Shot missed by Ryan Shea
P3 18:07 Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 17:57 Matt Coronato shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 17:47 Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 17:31 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 15:43 Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 13:33 Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 12:39 Joel Hanley shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P3 10:35 Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 09:09 Shot on goal by Hunter Brzustewicz saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 08:39 Ryan Shea shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:11 Martin Pospisil shot blocked by Thomas Novak
P3 02:28 Power play - Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P3 01:25 Power play - Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 17:58 Shot missed by Yegor Sharangovich
P2 17:24 Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
P2 16:18 Shot missed by Yan Kuznetsov
P2 15:41 Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P2 15:15 Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 14:57 Shot missed by Penguins
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 18:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Shea
P3 18:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 17:59
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
P3 17:57
SHOT
Matt Coronato shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 17:48
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Flames in offensive zone
P3 17:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 17:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 15:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 15:28
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P3 14:55
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
P3 14:04
Adam Klapka credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
P3 13:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 13:01
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Flames in defensive zone
P3 12:39
SHOT
Joel Hanley shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P3 11:13
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P3 11:13
Stoppage - Icing
P3 10:47
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P3 10:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 10:33
Stoppage - Icing
P3 09:19
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Justin Kirkland in neutral zone
P3 09:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hunter Brzustewicz saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 08:39
SHOT
Ryan Shea shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:35
Joel Hanley credited with hit on Anthony Mantha in neutral zone
P3 06:21
Jack St. Ivany credited with hit on Adam Klapka in defensive zone
P3 06:11
SHOT
Martin Pospisil shot blocked by Thomas Novak
P3 05:32
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P3 05:32
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 04:57
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P3 04:57
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:28
SHOT
Power play - Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P3 01:25
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 01:04
Power play - Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P3 00:50
Yegor Chinakhov won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
P3 00:33
Bryan Rust credited with hit on Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P3 00:13
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:57
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P2 19:28
Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Zach Whitecloud in offensive zone
P2 18:06
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P2 18:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 17:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Sharangovich
P2 17:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
P2 17:01
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Yegor Chinakhov in defensive zone
P2 16:48
MacKenzie Weegar credited with hit on Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P2 16:43
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 16:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Yan Kuznetsov
P2 15:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P2 15:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 14:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
P2 14:06
Anthony Mantha credited with hit on Adam Klapka in offensive zone
P2 14:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 13:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
P2 13:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Joel Hanley
P2 13:22
Penguins won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P2 13:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 13:06
Stoppage - Icing
P2 12:43
SHOT
Morgan Frost shot blocked by Connor Clifton
P2 12:32
Penguins won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
P2 12:16
SHOT
Connor Dewar shot blocked by Yan Kuznetsov
P2 11:48
Adam Klapka credited with hit on Ryan Shea in offensive zone
P2 11:24
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P2 11:10
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P2 11:03
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P2 11:03
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 10:50
SHOT
Zach Whitecloud shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P2 10:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Klapka
P2 10:21
Stoppage - Icing
P2 09:03
SHOT
Ben Kindel shot blocked by Hunter Brzustewicz
P2 08:25
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
P2 08:19
SHOT
Thomas Novak shot blocked by Yan Kuznetsov
P2 08:01
SHOT
Shot missed by MacKenzie Weegar
P2 07:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by MacKenzie Weegar saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 07:22
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
P2 07:22
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 06:57
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Matt Coronato in defensive zone
P2 06:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 05:53
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 05:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Dustin Wolf
P2 05:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 04:16
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P2 04:13
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Kevin Bahl
P2 04:07
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Morgan Frost
P2 03:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P2 02:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Yan Kuznetsov
P2 01:56
SHOT
Penguins shot blocked by teammate
P2 01:31
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
P2 01:21
SHOT
Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Jack St. Ivany
P2 00:57
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
P2 00:45
SHOT
Mikael Backlund shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P2 00:00
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P1 19:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P1 19:06
Stoppage - Icing
P1 18:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:12
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P1 18:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 17:48
Justin Kirkland credited with hit on Yegor Chinakhov in offensive zone
P1 17:33
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 17:06
SHOT
Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P1 16:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Zary
P1 16:40
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Yan Kuznetsov in offensive zone
P1 16:21
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 15:52
Giveaway by Jack St. Ivany in neutral zone
P1 15:38
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 15:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Sharangovich
P1 14:59
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
P1 14:48
SHOT
MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Yegor Chinakhov
P1 14:09
SHOT
Justin Kirkland shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P1 13:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Lomberg
P1 13:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Dustin Wolf
P1 12:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Zary saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 12:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Kevin Bahl
P1 12:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 12:06
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P1 11:29
Anthony Mantha won faceoff against Martin Pospisil in neutral zone
P1 11:28
Evgeni Malkin credited with hit on Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
P1 11:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 10:01
Blake Lizotte credited with hit on Martin Pospisil in neutral zone
P1 08:47
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P1 08:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Dustin Wolf
P1 08:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 08:40
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P1 08:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Dustin Wolf
P1 08:33
Stoppage - Offside
P1 08:19
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 08:03
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by Martin Pospisil
P1 07:49
GOAL
Goal scored by Evgeni Malkin assisted by Ryan Shea and Jack St. Ivany
1-0
P1 07:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
P1 07:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack St. Ivany
P1 07:03
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 06:01
Yan Kuznetsov credited with hit on Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
P1 05:00
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P1 03:47
Shorthanded - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Anthony Mantha in defensive zone
P1 03:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:31
SHOT
Power play - Ryan Shea shot blocked by Yegor Sharangovich
P1 02:29
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
P1 02:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
P1 02:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P1 01:56
SHOT
Hunter Brzustewicz shot blocked by Ryan Graves
P1 01:53
Penguins won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
P1 01:35
Martin Pospisil won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
P1 01:18
SHOT
Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Evgeni Malkin
P1 00:25
SHOT
Bryan Rust shot blocked by Yan Kuznetsov
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
 STATS
Flames
25Shots on Goal19
44%Faceoff Win %56%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
17Hits24
17Shots Blocked11
16Giveaways16
PenguinsPIT
FlamesCGY
25Shots on Goal19
44%Faceoff Win %56%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
17Hits24
17Shots Blocked11
16Giveaways16

Game Prediction Article

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Penguins vs. Flames: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Flames
  • Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Penguins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins -125, Flames +116

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 51%
  • Flames: 49%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 51%, while the Flames have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Scotiabank Saddledome on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Flames predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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