Chiefs vs. Raiders: NFL Week 4 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Chiefs vs. Raiders prediction for Sunday, October 4, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our NFL machine learning models.
NFL
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NFL sport icon
NFL
Chiefs
Predicted score
27
:
21
Allegiant Stadium
Raiders
Allegiant Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Chiefs -4.5
Spread
  • Chiefs
    51.6%
    NovigNovig
  • Raiders
    48.4%
    PolymarketPolymarket

Chiefs vs. Raiders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NFL Week 4

  • Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders
  • Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
  • Time: 4:25PM ET
  • Venue: Allegiant Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Chiefs (-4.5, -104), Raiders (+4.5, +100)
  • Moneyline: Chiefs -194, Raiders +190
  • Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points (+108/-127)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Chiefs: 67.7%
  • Raiders: 32.3%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each NFL matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Chiefs 26-21 Raiders.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Chiefs a win probability of 67.7%, while the Raiders have a win probability of 32.3%.

Summary

The Chiefs face off against the Raiders in the NFL at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, October 4, 2026.

Our Chiefs vs. Raiders predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions.. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.