Jaguars vs. Bengals: NFL Week 4 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Jaguars vs. Bengals prediction for Sunday, October 4, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our NFL machine learning models.
NFL
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NFL sport icon
NFL
Jaguars
Predicted score
25
:
27
Paycor Stadium
Bengals
Paycor Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Jaguars +2.5
Spread
  • Jaguars
    50.0%
    NovigNovig
  • Bengals
    50.0%
    PolymarketPolymarket

Jaguars vs. Bengals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NFL Week 4

  • Teams: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cincinnati Bengals
  • Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
  • Time: 1:00PM ET
  • Venue: Paycor Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Jaguars (+2.5, -104), Bengals (-2.5, +100)
  • Moneyline: Jaguars +120, Bengals -120
  • Total (Over/Under): 51 points (-110/-108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Jaguars: 40.3%
  • Bengals: 59.7%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each NFL matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Jaguars 24-27 Bengals.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Jaguars a win probability of 40.3%, while the Bengals have a win probability of 59.7%.

Summary

The Jaguars face off against the Bengals in the NFL at Paycor Stadium on Sunday, October 4, 2026.

Our Jaguars vs. Bengals predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions.. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.