Pacers vs. Bucks Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Pacers vs. Bucks prediction for Monday, October 26, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, spread, and game total.
NBA
NBA sport icon
NBA
Pacers
Predicted score
122
:
118
Fiserv Forum
Bucks
Fiserv Forum
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

Bucks +4.5
Spread
  • Pacers
    47.9%
    NovigNovig
  • Bucks
    52.1%
    NovigNovig
Projected Box Score
Pacers
Player PtsRebAst
P. Siakam
T. Haliburton
A. Nembhard
O. Toppin
J. Walker
Bucks
Player PtsRebAst
T. Herro
J. Jaquez
R. Rollins
K. Kuzma
M. Turner

Pacers vs. Bucks prediction & analysis

Game overview: NBA Monday

  • Teams: Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks
  • Date: Monday, October 26, 2026
  • Tip-off: 8:00PM ET
  • Venue: Fiserv Forum

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Pacers (-3.5, -113), Bucks (+3.5, +100)
  • Moneyline: Pacers -150, Bucks +150
  • Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points (-106/+104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Pacers: 66.4%
  • Bucks: 33.6%

Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Pacers 121 and Bucks 116.

This is a margin of 5 points against a spread of 3.5, and a projected total of 237 points against a market line of 239.5.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 66.4%, while the Bucks have a win probability of 33.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pacers are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at Fiserv Forum on Monday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Pacers vs. Bucks, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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