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Pistons vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Nuggets NBA game on January 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
107
109
Jan 28, 2AM Ball Arena
Jan 28, 2AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 31 | 21 | 30 | 25 | 107 |
Nuggets | 18 | 28 | 26 | 34 | 109 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
98%
2%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 31 | 21 | 30 | 25 | 107 |
Nuggets | 18 | 28 | 26 | 34 | 109 |
Q4 00:03 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:18 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:54 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:39 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:03 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 2 of 3
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 3
109-107
Nuggets offensive rebound
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji)
End of 4th Quarter.
Pistons defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Pistons personal foul
Pistons personal foul
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-106
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2
109-106
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson)
Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 3
107-105
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 3 of 3
107-106
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
107-104
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
105-104
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
105-102
Pistons 60 second timeout
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
103-102
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Javonte Green, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson)
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
103-99
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
103-97
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson)
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
101-97
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
99-97
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
99-94
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
99-95
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
99-92
Pistons 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson)
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Javonte Green, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
97-92
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Jalen Duren, Ronald Holland II, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
97-90
Javonte Green offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Javonte Green offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
95-90
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Jalen Duren, Javonte Green, Ronald Holland II, Tobias Harris)
Nuggets turnover
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Pistons turnover
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Jalen Duren, Javonte Green, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II)
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
95-88
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 1
95-86
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
95-85
Pistons personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji)
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
94-83
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+1
Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 1
95-83
Daniss Jenkins offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-83
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson)
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-83
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Daniss Jenkins violation
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
90-83
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 1
88-83
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson)
Pistons personal foul
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
88-82
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
88-80
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
88-77
+1
Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-77
+1
Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-76
Pistons personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)
+2
Tobias Harris makes two point turnaround jump shot
86-75
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
84-75
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
82-75
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
82-72
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Jaden Ivey)
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
79-71
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-72
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
79-70
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Jaden Ivey defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
79-67
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
79-65
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-65
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Ronald Holland II, Jaden Ivey)
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 1
75-64
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
72-64
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
69-64
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
69-62
Tim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-59
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji)
Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Jaden Ivey)
Pistons defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Jaden Ivey)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
67-59
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point jump shot
Pistons 60 second timeout
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
63-59
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
65-59
Ronald Holland II turnover (offensive foul)
Pistons personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Tobias Harris, Jaden Ivey)
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
63-57
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
63-54
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
63-52
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
63-50
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
61-50
Jaden Ivey offensive rebound
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-48
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Jalen Duren makes two point jump shot
59-48
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
57-48
Pistons personal foul
Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-46
Nuggets turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
56-46
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
54-46
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Jonas Valanciunas, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
52-46
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
50-46
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji)
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
48-43
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
48-41
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
40-22
Pistons personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
40-24
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Nuggets offensive rebound
Jonas Valanciunas misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
+1
Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-41
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
46-40
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
42-33
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
46-38
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
44-38
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
44-36
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett)
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson)
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Jonas Valanciunas personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
42-28
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
40-26
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Nuggets turnover
Jaden Ivey defensive rebound
Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Pistons personal foul
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
48-46
+1
Javonte Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-20
Javonte Green offensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Javonte Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-20
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
31-20
Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji)
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
(Jalen Pickett gains possession)
End of 1st Half.
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
31-18
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
2-2
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
29-18
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-17
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-18
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
4-2
Pistons turnover
Nuggets turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
6-2
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
26-16
Nuggets personal foul
Zeke Nnaji turnover (offensive foul)
Pistons personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
23-16
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Javonte Green makes regular free throw 1 of 1
24-16
Pistons 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji)
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Ronald Holland II, Jaden Ivey)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
21-16
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
21-13
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
19-13
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Jamal Murray turnover
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Duncan Robinson)
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Peyton Watson offensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses two point jump shot
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
19-11
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
17-11
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
15-11
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson)
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
15-9
Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Cade Cunningham misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
14-9
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Jump ball. (Peyton Watson gains possession)
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
12-9
Pistons turnover
Duncan Robinson offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
12-7
Nuggets turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
10-7
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
8-7
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
8-5
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Jalen Duren makes two point alley-oop layup (Cade Cunningham assists)
8-3
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F-C | 28 | I. Stewart | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| F | 9 | A. Thompson | 14 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 2 | C. Cunningham | 22 | 3 | 11 |
| F | 12 | T. Harris | 22 | 8 | 3 |
| G | 31 | J. Green | 10 | 6 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G-F | 10 | T. Hardaway Jr. | 14 | 4 | 3 |
| F | 21 | S. Jones | 12 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 27 | J. Murray | 23 | 5 | 10 |
| F | 8 | P. Watson | 13 | 3 | 3 |
| C | 17 | J. Valanciunas | 16 | 16 | 1 |
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Pistons vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pistons vs. Nuggets
- Date: Tuesday, January 27, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pistons favored at -7
- Total (Over/Under): 215.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pistons -260, Nuggets +240
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pistons: 72%
- Nuggets: 28%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 112-105 Nuggets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 72%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 28%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pistons are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pistons vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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