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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Timberwolves NBA game on January 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
83
108
Jan 26, 9:30 PM ET Target Center
Jan 26, 9:30 PM ET Target Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 20 | 18 | 19 | 26 | 83 |
Timberwolves | 21 | 32 | 22 | 33 | 108 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Warriors
- Timberwolves
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 20 | 18 | 19 | 26 | 83 |
Timberwolves | 21 | 32 | 22 | 33 | 108 |
Q4 00:44 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:28 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:50 Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:36 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:36 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:47 Buddy Hield blocks Rob Dillingham's two point driving layup
Q4 4:03 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:33 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:51 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:14 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors offensive rebound
Jaylen Clark defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover (Trayce Jackson-Davis steals)
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Johnny Juzang misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point jump shot
81-105
Warriors personal foul (Johnny Juzang draws the foul)
+1
Johnny Juzang makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-105
Johnny Juzang defensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
79-104
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-102
Timberwolves turnover
Rob Dillingham defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Malevy Leons defensive rebound
Buddy Hield blocks Rob Dillingham's two point driving layup
+1
Malevy Leons makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-100
+1
Malevy Leons makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-100
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Malevy Leons defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Malevy Leons defensive rebound
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
71-100
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
68-97
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Bones Hyland, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaylen Clark, Rudy Gobert)
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors turnover
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
66-94
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-91
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Buddy Hield, Malevy Leons, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer)
Donte DiVincenzo offensive rebound
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
63-89
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
63-86
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
61-85
Warriors personal foul
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves personal foul
Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 3
58-81
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 3
59-81
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
57-81
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Buddy Hield, Malevy Leons, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Rudy Gobert)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+1
Bones Hyland makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-75
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-72
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-73
Timberwolves turnover
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Joan Beringer offensive rebound
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
52-71
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Will Richard)
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Joan Beringer misses two point jump shot
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors violation
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Bones Hyland, Joan Beringer, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Buddy Hield, Pat Spencer, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Will Richard)
Warriors turnover
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Bones Hyland, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert)
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels turnover (bad pass)
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Rudy Gobert misses two point tip layup
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
47-64
Buddy Hield misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
47-62
Warriors 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Bones Hyland, Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gui Santos offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Quinten Post offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
45-59
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
42-58
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
42-56
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
40-56
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Julius Randle turnover (offensive foul)
Timberwolves turnover
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Donte DiVincenzo, Mike Conley, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert)
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Rudy Gobert)
Warriors turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
38-50
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
38-48
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
38-46
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Buddy Hield, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Warriors turnover
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-40
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-41
Donte DiVincenzo offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Timberwolves turnover
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Buddy Hield, Gary Payton II, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
34-39
Gary Payton II turnover (offensive foul)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Donte DiVincenzo, Mike Conley, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
34-37
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
34-34
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Donte DiVincenzo, Mike Conley, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert)
Will Richard defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Buddy Hield, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
28-30
Jump ball. (Rudy Gobert gains possession)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
26-25
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
23-23
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Rudy Gobert)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Bones Hyland, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark)
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Will Richard defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Bones Hyland misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bones Hyland misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
18-12
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Will Richard)
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Rudy Gobert)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Bones Hyland, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Rudy Gobert)
Warriors turnover
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
16-10
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
16-8
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Julius Randle misses two point dunk
Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Mike Conley misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert blocks Pat Spencer's three point pullup jump shot
+3
Julius Randle makes three point jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
3-8
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski shooting foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-4
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
+2
Rudy Gobert makes two point putback dunk
3-3
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
+3
Pat Spencer makes three point jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
3-1
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
0-1
Quinten Post vs. Rudy Gobert (Mike Conley gains possession)
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Warriors vs. Timberwolves: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Warriors vs. Timberwolves
- Date: Monday, January 26, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Target Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Timberwolves favored at -8
- Total (Over/Under): 226.5
- Moneyline Odds: Warriors +260, Timberwolves -295
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Warriors: 26%
- Timberwolves: 74%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 109-116 Timberwolves.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 26%, while the Timberwolves have a win probability of 74%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Timberwolves are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Target Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Warriors vs. Timberwolves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
