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Heat vs. Suns Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Suns NBA game on January 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
111
102
Jan 26, 1AM Mortgage Matchup Center
Jan 26, 1AM Mortgage Matchup Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 32 | 26 | 24 | 29 | 111 |
Suns | 21 | 27 | 29 | 25 | 102 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 32 | 26 | 24 | 29 | 111 |
Suns | 21 | 27 | 29 | 25 | 102 |
Q4 00:28 Suns makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Rasheer Fleming misses two point tip layup
Q4 00:55 Suns misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Suns misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Suns misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Suns misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Suns misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:44 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:49 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:19 Heat makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Heat turnover
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
111-102
Rasheer Fleming misses two point tip layup
Heat turnover
Ryan Dunn offensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Suns misses three point jump shot
Jamaree Bouyea offensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Suns misses two point jump shot
Suns misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Khaman Maluach makes regular free throw 2 of 2
109-98
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Ryan Dunn offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dru Smith offensive rebound
Suns 60 second timeout
Suns lineup change (Nigel Hayes-Davis, Rasheer Fleming, Khaman Maluach, Jamaree Bouyea, Ryan Dunn)
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
107-91
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
105-91
Grayson Allen defensive rebound
Suns personal foul
Norman Powell defensive rebound
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
103-89
Heat turnover
Jump ball. (Heat gains possession)
Heat personal foul
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
103-87
Heat 60 second timeout
Suns misses two point jump shot
Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
Suns personal foul
Suns misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Royce O'Neale makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-85
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
101-83
Suns misses two point jump shot
Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen, Royce O'Neale, Collin Gillespie, Jordan Goodwin)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
98-83
Suns misses three point jump shot
Dru Smith defensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-83
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-83
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
91-82
+1
Mark Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
91-83
Heat personal foul
Grayson Allen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Isaiah Livers, Grayson Allen, Mark Williams, Royce O'Neale)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Suns misses two point jump shot
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Heat turnover
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
89-79
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
89-77
Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Jordan Goodwin turnover (offensive foul)
Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Isaiah Livers, Grayson Allen, Jamaree Bouyea, Collin Gillespie)
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
82-77
Instant replay
End of 3rd Quarter.
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot
82-74
Suns misses three point jump shot
Jordan Goodwin defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Jamaree Bouyea defensive rebound
Jamaree Bouyea misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Suns offensive rebound
+1
Jamaree Bouyea makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-74
Oso Ighodaro misses two point driving layup
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
79-73
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson)
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
78-73
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
75-71
Suns misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Jordan Goodwin defensive rebound
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Nikola Jovic misses two point driving layup
Norman Powell offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Oso Ighodaro offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Isaiah Livers, Grayson Allen, Jordan Goodwin)
Mark Williams defensive rebound
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
75-65
Heat misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Suns personal foul
Suns turnover
Suns misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
69-65
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
67-65
Heat misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Jordan Goodwin offensive rebound
Jump ball. (Collin Gillespie gains possession)
+1
Mark Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-63
Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen, Mark Williams, Royce O'Neale, Jordan Goodwin)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Nikola Jovic, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
67-62
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
67-58
+1
Mark Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
67-59
Suns misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
67-56
Heat misses three point jump shot
Suns misses three point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
Suns turnover
Suns turnover
Suns defensive rebound
Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Suns personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-53
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-53
Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
Norman Powell defensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen, Mark Williams, Royce O'Neale, Collin Gillespie)
Suns personal foul
Suns personal foul
Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen, Royce O'Neale, Collin Gillespie)
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-48
Suns misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Suns misses three point jump shot
Suns personal foul
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Suns misses three point jump shot
Suns misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-47
+1
Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-48
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
52-46
Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Grayson Allen, Ryan Dunn, Collin Gillespie, Jordan Goodwin)
Suns misses two point jump shot
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
47-46
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
44-46
Suns personal foul
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-44
Heat personal foul
Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Isaiah Livers, Royce O'Neale, Collin Gillespie)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Suns misses two point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Suns misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Instant replay
Norman Powell misses two point jump shot
Dillon Brooks shooting foul
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Heat turnover
Suns personal foul
Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Isaiah Livers, Mark Williams, Royce O'Neale, Collin Gillespie)
Isaiah Livers offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Suns personal foul
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Isaiah Livers, Grayson Allen, Mark Williams, Royce O'Neale)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-34
Mark Williams offensive rebound
Mark Williams offensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson)
Grayson Allen offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
36-32
Jordan Goodwin defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-29
+1
Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-30
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
32-26
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 3
32-23
End of 1st Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson)
Suns turnover
Suns offensive rebound
Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Ryan Dunn, Collin Gillespie, Jordan Goodwin)
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
30-21
Heat misses three point jump shot
Suns misses two point jump shot
Suns personal foul
Simone Fontecchio misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-19
Heat personal foul
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
29-19
Heat turnover
Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Jamaree Bouyea, Ryan Dunn, Collin Gillespie, Jordan Goodwin)
Heat turnover
Heat violation
Instant replay
Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Jamaree Bouyea, Collin Gillespie, Jordan Goodwin)
Heat challenge timeout
Heat defensive rebound
Suns offensive rebound
Suns personal foul
+1
Myron Gardner makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-17
Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Jamaree Bouyea, Ryan Dunn, Collin Gillespie, Jordan Goodwin)
Suns misses two point jump shot
Suns personal foul
Nikola Jovic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Instant replay
Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Jamaree Bouyea, Collin Gillespie, Jordan Goodwin)
Oso Ighodaro misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Oso Ighodaro misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-17
Suns personal foul
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-15
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-15
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
21-15
Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Jamaree Bouyea, Royce O'Neale, Collin Gillespie)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Suns personal foul
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-15
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-15
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
17-15
Heat misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen, Jamaree Bouyea, Mark Williams, Royce O'Neale)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Mark Williams defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
13-12
Heat misses two point jump shot
+1
Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-11
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
11-10
Suns personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
9-7
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
7-5
Mark Williams defensive rebound
Suns turnover
Suns misses two point jump shot
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-5
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
3-5
Heat misses two point jump shot
Mark Williams defensive rebound
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
3-3
Heat turnover
+1
Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 1
3-1
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Suns misses two point jump shot
Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen, Mark Williams, Royce O'Neale, Collin Gillespie)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 12 | D. Smith | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| F | 9 | P. Larsson | 10 | 7 | 2 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 22 | 7 | 1 |
| G | 11 | J. Jaquez Jr. | 20 | 5 | 6 |
| G | 24 | N. Powell | 16 | 10 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 17 | J. Bouyea | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| F | 20 | R. Fleming | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| C | 10 | K. Maluach | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 0 | R. Dunn | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| F | 21 | N. Hayes-Davis | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Game Prediction Article
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Heat vs. Suns: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Suns
- Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Suns favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +155, Suns -174
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 38%
- Suns: 62%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 111-114 Suns.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 38%, while the Suns have a win probability of 62%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Suns are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Mortgage Matchup Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Suns predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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