Heat vs. Suns Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Suns NBA game on January 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Heat
111
102
Mortgage Matchup Center
Suns
Mortgage Matchup Center
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 32 | 26 | 24 | 29 | 111 |
Suns | 21 | 27 | 29 | 25 | 102 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Heat
- Suns
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 32 | 26 | 24 | 29 | 111 |
Suns | 21 | 27 | 29 | 25 | 102 |
Q4 00:28 Suns makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Rasheer Fleming misses two point tip layup
Q4 00:55 Suns misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Suns misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Suns misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Suns misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Suns misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:44 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:49 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:19 Heat makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
- Heat turnover
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot111-102
- Rasheer Fleming misses two point tip layup
- Heat turnover
- Ryan Dunn offensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Jamaree Bouyea offensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- +1Khaman Maluach makes regular free throw 2 of 2109-98
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Ryan Dunn offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Dru Smith offensive rebound
- Suns 60 second timeout
- Suns lineup change (Nigel Hayes-Davis, Rasheer Fleming, Khaman Maluach, Jamaree Bouyea, Ryan Dunn)
- Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot107-91
- Heat 60 second timeout
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot105-91
- Grayson Allen defensive rebound
- Suns personal foul
- Norman Powell defensive rebound
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot103-89
- Heat turnover
- Jump ball. (Heat gains possession)
- Heat personal foul
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot103-87
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
- Suns personal foul
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- +1Royce O'Neale makes regular free throw 2 of 2101-85
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot101-83
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen, Royce O'Neale, Collin Gillespie, Jordan Goodwin)
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot98-83
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Dru Smith defensive rebound
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 292-83
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 293-83
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot91-82
- +1Mark Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 191-83
- Heat personal foul
- Grayson Allen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Isaiah Livers, Grayson Allen, Mark Williams, Royce O'Neale)
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
- Heat turnover
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot89-79
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot89-77
- Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
- Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
- Jordan Goodwin turnover (offensive foul)
- Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Isaiah Livers, Grayson Allen, Jamaree Bouyea, Collin Gillespie)
- +3Suns makes three point jump shot82-77
- Instant replay
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- +2Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot82-74
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Jordan Goodwin defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
- Jamaree Bouyea defensive rebound
- Jamaree Bouyea misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Suns offensive rebound
- +1Jamaree Bouyea makes regular free throw 2 of 280-74
- Oso Ighodaro misses two point driving layup
- +1Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 279-73
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson)
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson)
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot78-73
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot75-71
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
- Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
- Jordan Goodwin defensive rebound
- Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
- Nikola Jovic misses two point driving layup
- Norman Powell offensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Oso Ighodaro offensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Isaiah Livers, Grayson Allen, Jordan Goodwin)
- Mark Williams defensive rebound
- Norman Powell defensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot75-65
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
- Suns personal foul
- Suns turnover
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot69-65
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot67-65
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
- Jordan Goodwin offensive rebound
- Jump ball. (Collin Gillespie gains possession)
- +1Mark Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 267-63
- Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen, Mark Williams, Royce O'Neale, Jordan Goodwin)
- Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Nikola Jovic, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +3Suns makes three point jump shot67-62
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot67-58
- +1Mark Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 167-59
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot67-56
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Norman Powell defensive rebound
- Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
- Suns turnover
- Suns turnover
- Suns defensive rebound
- Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Suns personal foul
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 259-53
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 260-53
- Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
- Norman Powell defensive rebound
- End of 1st Half.
- Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen, Mark Williams, Royce O'Neale, Collin Gillespie)
- Suns personal foul
- Suns personal foul
- Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen, Royce O'Neale, Collin Gillespie)
- +1Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 258-48
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Suns personal foul
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
- Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
- Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- +1Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 252-47
- +1Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 252-48
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot52-46
- Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Grayson Allen, Ryan Dunn, Collin Gillespie, Jordan Goodwin)
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot47-46
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot44-46
- Suns personal foul
- +1Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 243-44
- Heat personal foul
- Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Isaiah Livers, Royce O'Neale, Collin Gillespie)
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Instant replay
- Norman Powell misses two point jump shot
- Dillon Brooks shooting foul
- Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis)
- Norman Powell defensive rebound
- Heat turnover
- Suns personal foul
- Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Isaiah Livers, Mark Williams, Royce O'Neale, Collin Gillespie)
- Isaiah Livers offensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Suns personal foul
- Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
- Heat personal foul
- Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Isaiah Livers, Grayson Allen, Mark Williams, Royce O'Neale)
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot40-34
- Mark Williams offensive rebound
- Mark Williams offensive rebound
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson)
- Grayson Allen offensive rebound
- Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot36-32
- Jordan Goodwin defensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- +1Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 236-29
- +1Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 236-30
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot32-26
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- +1Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 332-23
- End of 1st Quarter.
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson)
- Suns turnover
- Suns offensive rebound
- Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Ryan Dunn, Collin Gillespie, Jordan Goodwin)
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot30-21
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Suns personal foul
- Simone Fontecchio misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- +1Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 230-19
- Heat personal foul
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot29-19
- Heat turnover
- Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Jamaree Bouyea, Ryan Dunn, Collin Gillespie, Jordan Goodwin)
- Heat turnover
- Heat violation
- Instant replay
- Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Jamaree Bouyea, Collin Gillespie, Jordan Goodwin)
- Heat challenge timeout
- Heat defensive rebound
- Suns offensive rebound
- Suns personal foul
- +1Myron Gardner makes regular free throw 1 of 228-17
- Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Jamaree Bouyea, Ryan Dunn, Collin Gillespie, Jordan Goodwin)
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Suns personal foul
- Nikola Jovic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- Instant replay
- Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Jamaree Bouyea, Collin Gillespie, Jordan Goodwin)
- Oso Ighodaro misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Oso Ighodaro misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot26-17
- Suns personal foul
- +1Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 222-15
- +1Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 222-15
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot21-15
- Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Dillon Brooks, Jamaree Bouyea, Royce O'Neale, Collin Gillespie)
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Suns personal foul
- +1Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 218-15
- +1Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 219-15
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot17-15
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
- Suns misses three point jump shot
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen, Jamaree Bouyea, Mark Williams, Royce O'Neale)
- Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis)
- Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
- Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
- Mark Williams defensive rebound
- Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot13-12
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +1Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 211-11
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot11-10
- Suns personal foul
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 29-7
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot7-5
- Mark Williams defensive rebound
- Suns turnover
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 24-5
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot3-5
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Mark Williams defensive rebound
- +2Suns makes two point jump shot3-3
- Heat turnover
- +1Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 13-1
- Heat defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Suns lineup change (Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen, Mark Williams, Royce O'Neale, Collin Gillespie)
- Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Heat vs. Suns: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Suns
- Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Suns favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +155, Suns -174
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 38%
- Suns: 62%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 111-114 Suns.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 38%, while the Suns have a win probability of 62%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Suns are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Mortgage Matchup Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Suns predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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