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Rockets vs. Pistons Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Pistons NBA game on January 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
111
104
Jan 24, 12AM Little Caesars Arena
Jan 24, 12AM Little Caesars Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 28 | 24 | 34 | 25 | 111 |
Pistons | 20 | 32 | 22 | 30 | 104 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 28 | 24 | 34 | 25 | 111 |
Pistons | 20 | 32 | 22 | 30 | 104 |
Q4 00:21 Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:04 Reed Sheppard makes two point driving layup
Q4 2:20 Jalen Duren misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:43 Kevin Durant makes two point pullup jump shot
Q4 4:53 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:39 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 6:14 Kevin Durant makes two point pullup jump shot
Q4 6:33 Ronald Holland II misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:52 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 7:09 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart personal foul
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Daniss Jenkins)
Rockets offensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses regular free throw 3 of 3
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 3
111-104
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 3
111-104
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard)
Cade Cunningham personal foul (Jae'Sean Tate draws the foul)
+1
Jae'Sean Tate makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-104
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Kevin Durant shooting foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate)
Pistons offensive rebound
Tobias Harris misses regular free throw 1 of 3
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 3 of 3
111-104
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Javonte Green, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson)
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Javonte Green, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson)
Pistons personal foul
Instant replay (Challenge)
Pistons 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson)
Alperen Sengun turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Cade Cunningham personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
Cade Cunningham turnover
Cade Cunningham turnover
Rockets 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Daniss Jenkins)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Daniss Jenkins)
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons personal foul
Duncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Reed Sheppard makes two point driving layup
107-97
Jalen Duren misses two point jump shot
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point pullup jump shot
107-97
Jalen Duren personal foul
Instant replay
Pistons 60 second timeout
Jalen Duren turnover (offensive foul)
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-97
Rockets turnover
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Rockets turnover
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons 60 second timeout
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
101-95
Rockets turnover
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point pullup jump shot
101-95
Ronald Holland II misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
101-95
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart personal foul
Cade Cunningham blocks Amen Thompson's two point layup
Ronald Holland II misses three point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Ronald Holland II draws the foul)
Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul
Jabari Smith Jr. turnover
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
101-95
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point jump shot
Ronald Holland II turnover (lost ball)
Cade Cunningham turnover (lost ball) (Amen Thompson steals)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
87-76
Rockets personal foul
+1
Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 1
107-97
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-89
Rockets personal foul
Jae'Sean Tate turnover (offensive foul)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Clint Capela)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
86-72
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
86-72
Pistons 60 second timeout
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
86-72
+3
Daniss Jenkins makes three point jump shot
68-62
+2
Javonte Green makes two point running layup (Ronald Holland II assists)
86-72
Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
Jaden Ivey personal foul (Reed Sheppard draws the foul)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
81-70
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Pistons turnover
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Ronald Holland II, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
68-62
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Jae'Sean Tate misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons defensive rebound
Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
Tobias Harris personal foul
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-62
Ausar Thompson personal foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Kevin Durant makes three point pullup jump shot
65-60
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Rockets turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
65-62
Tobias Harris personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-62
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
59-60
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons personal foul
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Rockets 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
53-54
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Ausar Thompson personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren)
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-52
Pistons lineup change (Jaden Ivey, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren, Daniss Jenkins)
Pistons turnover
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson)
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
50-52
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-50
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
46-46
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
44-46
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
44-44
Rockets personal foul
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
41-42
Rockets offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
39-40
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons lineup change (Javonte Green, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren)
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
37-39
Rockets personal foul
+1
Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 1
37-40
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-37
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Ronald Holland II, Javonte Green, Cade Cunningham, Daniss Jenkins)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-35
Rockets 60 second timeout
Jaden Ivey defensive rebound
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
34-33
Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Javonte Green offensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard)
Javonte Green misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
33-28
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
33-26
Ronald Holland II misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jae'Sean Tate offensive rebound
Jae'Sean Tate offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
31-22
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
31-20
Pistons turnover
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Rockets offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
28-20
Jaden Ivey offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 3
24-20
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 3 of 3
25-20
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
22-20
Rockets turnover
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
20-16
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Clint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
+1
Clint Capela makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-14
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Ronald Holland II, Jaden Ivey, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
17-12
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
15-12
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson, Jalen Duren)
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-10
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-10
Pistons personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
10-10
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
10-8
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-5
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
8-4
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Rockets turnover
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
2-0
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson)
(Cade Cunningham gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 28 | A. Sengun | 19 | 1 | 5 |
| G | 15 | R. Sheppard | 18 | 0 | 1 |
| F | 7 | K. Durant | 32 | 7 | 3 |
| G | 1 | A. Thompson | 15 | 9 | 7 |
| F | 10 | J. Smith Jr. | 11 | 10 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 9 | A. Thompson | 12 | 8 | 3 |
| G | 2 | C. Cunningham | 12 | 1 | 8 |
| F | 12 | T. Harris | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| G | 31 | J. Green | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| F-C | 28 | I. Stewart | 16 | 4 | 2 |
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Rockets vs. Pistons: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Rockets vs. Pistons
- Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pistons favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 217
- Moneyline Odds: Rockets +158, Pistons -174
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Rockets: 34%
- Pistons: 66%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 106-111 Pistons.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 34%, while the Pistons have a win probability of 66%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pistons are more likely to beat the Rockets in the NBA game at Little Caesars Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Rockets vs. Pistons predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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