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Pacers vs. Celtics Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pacers vs. Celtics NBA game on January 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
104
119
Jan 22, 12:30AM TD Garden
Jan 22, 12:30AM TD Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | 20 | 26 | 36 | 22 | 104 |
Celtics | 30 | 36 | 30 | 23 | 119 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | 20 | 26 | 36 | 22 | 104 |
Celtics | 30 | 36 | 30 | 23 | 119 |
Q4 00:00 Isaiah Jackson misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:43 Celtics makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:13 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:39 Celtics makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:56 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:35 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:52 Ben Sheppard misses three point fadeaway jump shot
Q4 4:15 Derrick White makes two point driving hook shot
Q4 4:40 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Isaiah Jackson misses three point pullup jump shot
Celtics turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
104-119
Pacers defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Kam Jones offensive rebound
+1
Ben Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-119
Celtics lineup change (Hugo Gonzalez, Amari Williams, Jordan Walsh, Ron Harper Jr., Baylor Scheierman)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
104-119
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
104-119
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics lineup change (Hugo Gonzalez, Amari Williams, Jordan Walsh, Payton Pritchard, Baylor Scheierman)
Kam Jones turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Ben Sheppard misses three point fadeaway jump shot
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Derrick White makes two point driving hook shot
104-119
Celtics lineup change (Jordan Walsh, Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta, Derrick White, Baylor Scheierman)
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
104-119
Andrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Andrew Nembhard, Jarace Walker, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam)
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+1
Micah Potter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-117
+1
Micah Potter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-117
Celtics offensive rebound
Celtics turnover
Ben Sheppard misses three point jump shot
Johnny Furphy offensive rebound
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta, Derrick White, Jaylen Brown)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Johnny Furphy, Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam)
Jaylen Brown misses two point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Pascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)
99-117
Neemias Queta turnover
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
99-117
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Andrew Nembhard offensive rebound
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta, Jaylen Brown, Anfernee Simons)
Luka Garza defensive rebound
Micah Potter offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
82-96
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
82-96
Celtics turnover
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
82-96
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+1
Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-96
Celtics turnover
Luka Garza defensive rebound
Anfernee Simons turnover
End of 3rd Quarter.
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Luka Garza, Payton Pritchard, Jaylen Brown, Anfernee Simons)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics lineup change (Jordan Walsh, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Baylor Scheierman)
Jordan Walsh defensive rebound
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Andrew Nembhard, T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Aaron Nesmith)
+2
T.J. McConnell makes two point layup
72-85
Neemias Queta turnover (offensive foul)
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Anfernee Simons makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)
72-85
+3
Ben Sheppard makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)
72-85
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Micah Potter misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Anfernee Simons personal foul (Loose ball) (Micah Potter draws the foul)
+1
Micah Potter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-85
Pacers 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Neemias Queta, Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Anfernee Simons)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
72-85
+2
Jarace Walker makes two point jump shot
72-83
Celtics violation
Anfernee Simons offensive rebound
+2
Aaron Nesmith makes two point running layup (T.J. McConnell assists)
72-85
Celtics turnover (T.J. McConnell steals)
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Jordan Walsh shooting foul (Micah Potter draws the foul)
Celtics lineup change (Hugo Gonzalez, Jordan Walsh, Neemias Queta, Derrick White, Anfernee Simons)
Luka Garza misses two point putback layup
Luka Garza offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jordan Walsh defensive rebound
+2
Anfernee Simons makes two point driving finger roll layup
72-85
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
72-85
Celtics lineup change (Hugo Gonzalez, Luka Garza, Jordan Walsh, Baylor Scheierman, Anfernee Simons)
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup
56-79
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Celtics offensive rebound
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Jordan Walsh, Jaylen Brown, Baylor Scheierman, Anfernee Simons)
+2
Johnny Furphy makes two point jump shot
56-79
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point driving layup
56-79
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics defensive rebound
Andrew Nembhard turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Jordan Walsh, Payton Pritchard, Jaylen Brown, Baylor Scheierman)
Pacers personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Johnny Furphy, Ben Sheppard, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-75
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Pascal Siakam misses two point cutting layup
Payton Pritchard misses three point jump shot
Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
Aaron Nesmith personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-75
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Luka Garza, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Jaylen Brown)
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Aaron Nesmith personal foul (Neemias Queta draws the foul)
Celtics personal foul
+2
Pascal Siakam makes two point driving layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)
55-73
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)
53-73
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
51-70
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Pacers turnover
Pacers personal foul
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
48-66
Celtics personal foul
Celtics misses two point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Pacers turnover
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
46-64
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
44-64
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
42-61
Celtics 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Andrew Nembhard, Jarace Walker, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam)
Celtics turnover
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-59
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta, Derrick White, Jaylen Brown)
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
34-56
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
34-55
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
32-55
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-52
Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
Ben Sheppard misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-51
Pacers turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics lineup change (Hugo Gonzalez, Payton Pritchard, Neemias Queta, Derrick White, Jaylen Brown)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
32-47
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
32-45
Celtics lineup change (Hugo Gonzalez, Luka Garza, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Jaylen Brown)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
32-40
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-40
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-40
Celtics personal foul
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
24-40
Anfernee Simons defensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
24-38
Celtics personal foul
Pacers turnover
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Neemias Queta, Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Anfernee Simons)
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
22-35
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Anfernee Simons makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-31
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Tony Bradley offensive rebound
Pacers offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker, Tony Bradley, Pascal Siakam)
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
20-30
Baylor Scheierman defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Pacers defensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
20-26
Luka Garza offensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+1
Luka Garza makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-26
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Tony Bradley, Aaron Nesmith)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Tony Bradley, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam)
+1
Luka Garza makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-26
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
18-22
Celtics defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Celtics 60 second timeout
Pacers personal foul
+1
Luka Garza makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-19
Pacers turnover
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
18-18
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
16-17
Pacers personal foul
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Jordan Walsh, Payton Pritchard, Baylor Scheierman, Anfernee Simons)
Pacers lineup change (Isaiah Jackson, Ben Sheppard, T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Aaron Nesmith)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
16-15
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
10-12
Pacers personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Isaiah Jackson, Ben Sheppard, Andrew Nembhard, Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam)
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 1
10-13
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
10-10
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-10
Jaylen Brown turnover (lost ball)
Pacers lineup change (Johnny Furphy, Ben Sheppard, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
5-8
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
5-6
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Celtics turnover
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Johnny Furphy, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 11 | M. Potter | 9 | 2 | 1 |
| G | 7 | K. Jones | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| F | 22 | I. Jackson | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| F | 12 | J. Furphy | 10 | 8 | 2 |
| F | 5 | J. Walker | 19 | 3 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G-F | 13 | R. Harper Jr. | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 28 | H. Gonzalez | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 27 | J. Walsh | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| G | 55 | B. Scheierman | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| F-C | 77 | A. Williams | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Game Prediction Article
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Pacers vs. Celtics: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pacers vs. Celtics
- Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: TD Garden
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Celtics favored at -10.5
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pacers +360, Celtics -450
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pacers: 21%
- Celtics: 79%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pacers 108-117 Celtics.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 21%, while the Celtics have a win probability of 79%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at TD Garden on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pacers vs. Celtics predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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