Lakers vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lakers vs. Nuggets NBA game on January 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Hoops season sale: $30 off Dimers Pro passes. Limited time only.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Lakers
115
107
Ball Arena
Nuggets
Ball Arena
TEAM1234T
Lakers
28 28 32 16 115
Nuggets
37 25 28 6 107
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Lakers
    85%
  • Nuggets
    15%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Lakers
28 28 32 16 115
Nuggets
37 25 28 6 107
Q4 00:43 Aaron Gordon makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
Q4 1:05 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:48 LeBron James makes two point cutting dunk (Rui Hachimura assists)
Q4 3:02 Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:54 LeBron James misses two point cutting layup
Q4 4:13 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:48 Spencer Jones misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:22 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 8:02 Jalen Pickett misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 8:17 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:12
    Lakers turnover
  3. Q4 00:41
    Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  4. Q4 00:41
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  5. Q4 00:41
    Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
  6. Q4 00:43
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  7. Q4 00:43
    +2
    Aaron Gordon makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
    104-96
  8. Q4 00:43
    Lakers lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, LeBron James)
  9. Q4 00:43
    Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
  10. Q4 00:45
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    104-96
  11. Q4 00:45
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    104-96
  12. Q4 00:51
    Spencer Jones personal foul
  13. Q4 1:05
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    104-96
  14. Q4 1:17
    Luka Doncic turnover (offensive foul)
  15. Q4 1:33
    Aaron Gordon technical foul
  16. Q4 1:33
    Lakers personal foul
  17. Q4 1:33
    +1
    Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    104-96
  18. Q4 1:48
    +2
    LeBron James makes two point cutting dunk (Rui Hachimura assists)
    104-96
  19. Q4 2:19
    Luka Doncic turnover
  20. Q4 2:58
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  21. Q4 3:02
    Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
  22. Q4 3:14
    Lakers offensive rebound
  23. Q4 3:14
    Tim Hardaway Jr. personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)
  24. Q4 3:14
    LeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  25. Q4 3:20
    Rui Hachimura offensive rebound
  26. Q4 3:35
    Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
  27. Q4 3:52
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  28. Q4 3:54
    LeBron James misses two point cutting layup
  29. Q4 4:06
    Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Jaxson Hayes, LeBron James)
  30. Q4 4:13
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  31. Q4 4:28
    Marcus Smart defensive rebound
  32. Q4 4:31
    Peyton Watson offensive rebound
  33. Q4 4:45
    Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
  34. Q4 4:48
    Spencer Jones misses three point jump shot
  35. Q4 5:30
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  36. Q4 5:44
    Peyton Watson personal foul
  37. Q4 5:44
    +1
    Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    104-96
  38. Q4 5:44
    +1
    Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    104-96
  39. Q4 6:02
    Peyton Watson turnover (offensive foul)
  40. Q4 6:14
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  41. Q4 6:29
    Nuggets turnover
  42. Q4 6:42
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  43. Q4 6:42
    Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray)
  44. Q4 7:03
    Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray)
  45. Q4 7:22
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    98-96
  46. Q4 7:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  47. Q4 7:40
    Lakers defensive rebound
  48. Q4 7:40
    Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia)
  49. Q4 7:47
    Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
  50. Q4 7:59
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  51. Q4 8:02
    Jalen Pickett misses three point stepback jump shot
  52. Q4 8:17
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    94-96
  53. Q4 8:25
    Jump ball. (Rui Hachimura gains possession)
  54. Q4 8:34
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  55. Q4 8:34
    Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, LeBron James)
  56. Q4 8:57
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    98-96
  57. Q4 9:01
    Lakers turnover
  58. Q4 9:02
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  59. Q4 9:08
    Lakers offensive rebound
  60. Q4 9:08
    Tim Hardaway Jr. blocks Rui Hachimura's two point putback layup
  61. Q4 9:08
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  62. Q4 9:39
    Lakers turnover
  63. Q4 9:46
    Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
  64. Q4 9:48
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  65. Q4 10:24
    Tim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)
  66. Q4 10:24
    Gabe Vincent misses regular free throw 2 of 3
  67. Q4 10:24
    +1
    Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    90-90
  68. Q4 10:39
    LeBron James misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  69. Q4 11:04
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    90-92
  70. Q4 11:43
    Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
  71. Q4 11:44
    Jalen Pickett offensive rebound
  72. Q4 11:48
    Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
  73. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  74. Q4 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
  75. Q3 00:03
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  76. Q3 00:41
    Lakers personal foul
  77. Q3 00:41
    Nuggets lineup change (Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
  78. Q3 1:03
    LeBron James offensive rebound
  79. Q3 1:03
    Drew Timme misses two point tip layup
  80. Q3 1:07
    Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
  81. Q3 1:24
    Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
  82. Q3 1:52
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    86-88
  83. Q3 2:00
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  84. Q3 2:35
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    86-88
  85. Q3 2:35
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  86. Q3 2:35
    Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Gabe Vincent, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James, Drew Timme)
  87. Q3 2:35
    Nuggets personal foul
  88. Q3 2:35
    Lakers offensive rebound
  89. Q3 2:39
    Lakers turnover
  90. Q3 2:43
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  91. Q3 2:56
    Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
  92. Q3 3:27
    +2
    Spencer Jones makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
    81-86
  93. Q3 3:44
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    81-86
  94. Q3 3:52
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  95. Q3 4:10
    Luka Doncic violation
  96. Q3 4:10
    Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Gabe Vincent, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Jake LaRavia)
  97. Q3 5:18
    +1
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    81-86
  98. Q3 5:18
    Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia)
  99. Q3 5:27
    Lakers personal foul
  100. Q3 5:51
    Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
  101. Q3 6:15
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    75-80
  102. Q3 6:22
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  103. Q3 6:54
    Nuggets turnover
  104. Q3 7:06
    Nuggets personal foul
  105. Q3 7:18
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    75-80
  106. Q3 7:33
    Spencer Jones personal foul
  107. Q3 7:33
    Spencer Jones turnover (offensive foul)
  108. Q3 7:40
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  109. Q3 7:48
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  110. Q3 8:59
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  111. Q3 9:16
    Lakers turnover
  112. Q3 10:13
    Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
  113. Q3 10:30
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    64-77
  114. Q3 11:07
    Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
  115. Q3 11:10
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  116. Q3 11:45
    Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
  117. Q2 00:00
    +3
    Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
    56-62
  118. Q2 00:00
    Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
  119. Q3 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Jalen Pickett, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray)
  120. Q2 00:00
    Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
  121. Q2 00:07
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    56-62
  122. Q2 00:27
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  123. Q2 00:34
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    56-62
  124. Q2 00:52
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    56-62
  125. Q2 00:52
    Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia)
  126. Q2 00:52
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    56-62
  127. Q2 00:55
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  128. Q2 00:56
    Jamal Murray misses two point running finger roll layup
  129. Q2 1:00
    Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
  130. Q2 1:00
    Deandre Ayton misses two point tip layup
  131. Q2 1:20
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  132. Q2 1:40
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    56-62
  133. Q2 2:06
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    56-62
  134. Q2 2:22
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  135. Q2 2:49
    +3
    Rui Hachimura makes three point stepback jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
    52-57
  136. Q2 3:18
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  137. Q2 3:18
    Instant replay
  138. Q2 3:18
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  139. Q2 3:18
    Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia)
  140. Q2 3:34
    Lakers offensive rebound
  141. Q2 3:34
    Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
  142. Q2 3:34
    Jaxson Hayes misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  143. Q2 3:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  144. Q2 3:43
    Jamal Murray misses three point running pullup jump shot
  145. Q2 3:48
    Luka Doncic misses two point pullup jump shot
  146. Q2 4:07
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    49-55
  147. Q2 4:21
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    49-53
  148. Q2 4:26
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  149. Q2 4:38
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    47-53
  150. Q2 5:22
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  151. Q2 5:33
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    44-51
  152. Q2 5:49
    Aaron Gordon personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
  153. Q2 5:49
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    47-51
  154. Q2 5:59
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  155. Q2 6:01
    Lakers personal foul
  156. Q2 6:01
    Lakers lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Jaxson Hayes, Jake LaRavia)
  157. Q2 6:21
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    42-49
  158. Q2 6:25
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  159. Q2 6:40
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  160. Q2 6:42
    Nuggets personal foul
  161. Q2 6:42
    Lakers lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia)
  162. Q2 6:42
    LeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  163. Q2 6:57
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    39-49
  164. Q2 7:12
    Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
  165. Q2 7:26
    Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
  166. Q2 7:54
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    39-45
  167. Q2 7:57
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  168. Q2 8:09
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  169. Q2 8:15
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  170. Q2 8:19
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  171. Q2 9:04
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  172. Q2 9:05
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  173. Q2 9:05
    Drew Timme misses two point driving layup
  174. Q2 9:27
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    37-44
  175. Q2 9:30
    Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
  176. Q2 9:31
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  177. Q2 9:36
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  178. Q2 9:53
    Lakers personal foul
  179. Q2 9:53
    +1
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    37-40
  180. Q2 9:53
    +1
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    37-40
  181. Q2 9:53
    Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
  182. Q2 9:53
    Drew Timme personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
  183. Q2 10:07
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    37-39
  184. Q2 10:29
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    35-39
  185. Q2 10:53
    Drew Timme defensive rebound
  186. Q2 10:57
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  187. Q2 11:14
    Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
  188. Q2 11:16
    Nuggets personal foul
  189. Q2 11:19
    Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
  190. Q2 11:36
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    31-37
  191. Q1 00:00
    Instant replay
  192. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  193. Q2 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
  194. Q2 12:00
    Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Gabe Vincent, Deandre Ayton, LeBron James, Dalton Knecht)
  195. Q1 00:51
    Lakers personal foul
  196. Q1 1:03
    +2
    Rui Hachimura makes two point jump shot
    26-35
  197. Q1 1:15
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  198. Q1 1:28
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    24-35
  199. Q1 1:34
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  200. Q1 1:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  201. Q1 1:34
    Nuggets lineup change (Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
  202. Q1 2:00
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  203. Q1 2:03
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  204. Q1 2:20
    Lakers personal foul
  205. Q1 2:20
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  206. Q1 2:20
    Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Gabe Vincent, Rui Hachimura, Jaxson Hayes, LeBron James)
  207. Q1 2:31
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  208. Q1 2:51
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    22-33
  209. Q1 3:32
    Nuggets personal foul
  210. Q1 3:50
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    20-28
  211. Q1 4:11
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  212. Q1 4:13
    +1
    Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    20-25
  213. Q1 4:18
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  214. Q1 4:29
    Lakers personal foul
  215. Q1 4:29
    Lakers personal foul
  216. Q1 4:29
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    19-25
  217. Q1 4:33
    Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
  218. Q1 5:02
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  219. Q1 5:05
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  220. Q1 5:11
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  221. Q1 5:33
    +2
    Luka Doncic makes two point jump shot (Jake LaRavia assists)
    16-21
  222. Q1 5:45
    Lakers lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Jaxson Hayes, Jake LaRavia)
  223. Q1 5:55
    +3
    Jamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot
    14-21
  224. Q1 6:05
    Deandre Ayton misses two point turnaround hook shot
  225. Q1 6:18
    Peyton Watson misses two point stepback jump shot
  226. Q1 6:54
    +3
    Spencer Jones makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
    11-18
  227. Q1 7:08
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  228. Q1 7:24
    +2
    Luka Doncic makes two point driving layup
    11-15
  229. Q1 7:42
    Aaron Gordon misses three point stepback jump shot
  230. Q1 7:54
    LeBron James turnover (offensive foul)
  231. Q1 8:07
    Peyton Watson offensive rebound
  232. Q1 8:09
    Peyton Watson misses two point driving finger roll layup
  233. Q1 8:19
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  234. Q1 8:27
    Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
  235. Q1 8:35
    LeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Peyton Watson steals)
  236. Q1 8:47
    Lakers offensive rebound
  237. Q1 8:57
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  238. Q1 8:57
    Luka Doncic shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
  239. Q1 9:15
    +3
    Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
    9-14
  240. Q1 9:46
    +2
    Luka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot
    6-11
  241. Q1 10:17
    +2
    Deandre Ayton makes two point driving layup (Luka Doncic assists)
    4-8
  242. Q1 10:42
    Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
  243. Q1 11:04
    +3
    Spencer Jones makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
    2-6
  244. Q1 11:44
    +3
    Jalen Pickett makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
    0-3
  245. Q1 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Jalen Pickett, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray)
  246. Q1 12:00
    Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia)
Box Score
Lakers
PosPlayerPts
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts

Lakers vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lakers vs. Nuggets
  • Date: Tuesday, January 20, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lakers favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lakers -152, Nuggets +140

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lakers: 62%
  • Nuggets: 38%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Lakers 116-113 Nuggets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lakers a win probability of 62%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 38%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lakers are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lakers vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.