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Lakers vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lakers vs. Nuggets NBA game on January 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
115
107
Jan 21, 3AM Ball Arena
Jan 21, 3AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lakers | 28 | 28 | 32 | 16 | 115 |
Nuggets | 37 | 25 | 28 | 6 | 107 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
85%
15%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lakers | 28 | 28 | 32 | 16 | 115 |
Nuggets | 37 | 25 | 28 | 6 | 107 |
Q4 00:43 Aaron Gordon makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
Q4 1:05 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:48 LeBron James makes two point cutting dunk (Rui Hachimura assists)
Q4 3:02 Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:54 LeBron James misses two point cutting layup
Q4 4:13 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:48 Spencer Jones misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:22 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 8:02 Jalen Pickett misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 8:17 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Lakers turnover
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
Lakers 60 second timeout
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
104-96
Lakers lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, LeBron James)
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-96
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-96
Spencer Jones personal foul
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
104-96
Luka Doncic turnover (offensive foul)
Aaron Gordon technical foul
Lakers personal foul
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-96
+2
LeBron James makes two point cutting dunk (Rui Hachimura assists)
104-96
Luka Doncic turnover
LeBron James defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Lakers offensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)
LeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rui Hachimura offensive rebound
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
LeBron James misses two point cutting layup
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Jaxson Hayes, LeBron James)
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Peyton Watson offensive rebound
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Spencer Jones misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Peyton Watson personal foul
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 3
104-96
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 3
104-96
Peyton Watson turnover (offensive foul)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets turnover
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray)
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
98-96
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers defensive rebound
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia)
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Jalen Pickett misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
94-96
Jump ball. (Rui Hachimura gains possession)
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, LeBron James)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
98-96
Lakers turnover
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers offensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. blocks Rui Hachimura's two point putback layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers turnover
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)
Gabe Vincent misses regular free throw 2 of 3
+1
Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 3 of 3
90-90
LeBron James misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
90-92
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Jalen Pickett offensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Nuggets lineup change (Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
LeBron James offensive rebound
Drew Timme misses two point tip layup
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
86-88
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
86-88
Lakers 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Gabe Vincent, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James, Drew Timme)
Nuggets personal foul
Lakers offensive rebound
Lakers turnover
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
+2
Spencer Jones makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
81-86
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
81-86
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Luka Doncic violation
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Gabe Vincent, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Jake LaRavia)
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-86
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia)
Lakers personal foul
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
75-80
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Nuggets turnover
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
75-80
Spencer Jones personal foul
Spencer Jones turnover (offensive foul)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
LeBron James defensive rebound
Lakers turnover
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
64-77
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
56-62
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Jalen Pickett, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray)
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
56-62
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
56-62
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
56-62
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia)
+1
Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
56-62
LeBron James defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point running finger roll layup
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Deandre Ayton misses two point tip layup
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
56-62
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
56-62
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Rui Hachimura makes three point stepback jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
52-57
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Instant replay
Lakers 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia)
Lakers offensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
Jaxson Hayes misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jamal Murray misses three point running pullup jump shot
Luka Doncic misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
49-55
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
49-53
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
47-53
Nuggets defensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
44-51
Aaron Gordon personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-51
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
Lakers lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Jaxson Hayes, Jake LaRavia)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
42-49
LeBron James defensive rebound
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Lakers lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia)
LeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 3
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
39-49
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
39-45
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Nuggets defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Drew Timme misses two point driving layup
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
37-44
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 3
37-40
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
37-40
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Drew Timme personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
37-39
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
35-39
Drew Timme defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
31-37
Instant replay
End of 1st Quarter.
Nuggets lineup change (Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Gabe Vincent, Deandre Ayton, LeBron James, Dalton Knecht)
Lakers personal foul
+2
Rui Hachimura makes two point jump shot
26-35
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
24-35
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets lineup change (Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Gabe Vincent, Rui Hachimura, Jaxson Hayes, LeBron James)
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
22-33
Nuggets personal foul
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
20-28
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
+1
Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-25
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
Lakers personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
19-25
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point jump shot (Jake LaRavia assists)
16-21
Lakers lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Jaxson Hayes, Jake LaRavia)
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot
14-21
Deandre Ayton misses two point turnaround hook shot
Peyton Watson misses two point stepback jump shot
+3
Spencer Jones makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
11-18
LeBron James defensive rebound
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving layup
11-15
Aaron Gordon misses three point stepback jump shot
LeBron James turnover (offensive foul)
Peyton Watson offensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses two point driving finger roll layup
Nuggets defensive rebound
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
LeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Peyton Watson steals)
Lakers offensive rebound
Nuggets offensive rebound
Luka Doncic shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
9-14
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot
6-11
+2
Deandre Ayton makes two point driving layup (Luka Doncic assists)
4-8
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
+3
Spencer Jones makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
2-6
+3
Jalen Pickett makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
0-3
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Jalen Pickett, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray)
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 28 | R. Hachimura | 9 | 6 | 1 |
| G | 77 | L. Doncic | 38 | 13 | 10 |
| G | 7 | G. Vincent | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 36 | M. Smart | 15 | 2 | 1 |
| F | 23 | L. James | 19 | 9 | 8 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G-F | 10 | T. Hardaway Jr. | 10 | 2 | 2 |
| G-F | 11 | B. Brown | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| C | 32 | A. Gordon | 18 | 4 | 5 |
| F | 8 | P. Watson | 18 | 5 | 3 |
| G | 27 | J. Murray | 28 | 2 | 11 |
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Lakers vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lakers vs. Nuggets
- Date: Tuesday, January 20, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lakers favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lakers -152, Nuggets +140
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lakers: 62%
- Nuggets: 38%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Lakers 116-113 Nuggets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lakers a win probability of 62%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 38%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lakers are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lakers vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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