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Lakers vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lakers vs. Nuggets NBA game on January 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Lakers
115
107
Jan 21, 3AM Ball Arena
Nuggets
Jan 21, 3AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Lakers
28 28 32 16 115
Nuggets
37 25 28 6 107
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
LakersLAL
Win %
85%
15%
NuggetsDEN
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Lakers
28 28 32 16 115
Nuggets
37 25 28 6 107
Q4 00:43 Aaron Gordon makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
Q4 1:05 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:48 LeBron James makes two point cutting dunk (Rui Hachimura assists)
Q4 3:02 Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:54 LeBron James misses two point cutting layup
Q4 4:13 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:48 Spencer Jones misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:22 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 8:02 Jalen Pickett misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 8:17 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:12
Lakers turnover
Q4 00:41
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 00:41
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 00:41
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
Q4 00:43
Lakers 60 second timeout
Q4 00:43
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
104-96
Q4 00:43
Lakers lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, LeBron James)
Q4 00:43
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Q4 00:45
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-96
Q4 00:45
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-96
Q4 00:51
Spencer Jones personal foul
Q4 1:05
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
104-96
Q4 1:17
Luka Doncic turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 1:33
Aaron Gordon technical foul
Q4 1:33
Lakers personal foul
Q4 1:33
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-96
Q4 1:48
+2
LeBron James makes two point cutting dunk (Rui Hachimura assists)
104-96
Q4 2:19
Luka Doncic turnover
Q4 2:58
LeBron James defensive rebound
Q4 3:02
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:14
Lakers offensive rebound
Q4 3:14
Tim Hardaway Jr. personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)
Q4 3:14
LeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 3:20
Rui Hachimura offensive rebound
Q4 3:35
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Q4 3:52
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 3:54
LeBron James misses two point cutting layup
Q4 4:06
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Jaxson Hayes, LeBron James)
Q4 4:13
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:28
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Q4 4:31
Peyton Watson offensive rebound
Q4 4:45
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Q4 4:48
Spencer Jones misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:30
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q4 5:44
Peyton Watson personal foul
Q4 5:44
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 3
104-96
Q4 5:44
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 3
104-96
Q4 6:02
Peyton Watson turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 6:14
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 6:29
Nuggets turnover
Q4 6:42
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 6:42
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray)
Q4 7:03
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray)
Q4 7:22
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
98-96
Q4 7:40
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 7:40
Lakers defensive rebound
Q4 7:40
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia)
Q4 7:47
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q4 7:59
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q4 8:02
Jalen Pickett misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 8:17
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
94-96
Q4 8:25
Jump ball. (Rui Hachimura gains possession)
Q4 8:34
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:34
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, LeBron James)
Q4 8:57
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
98-96
Q4 9:01
Lakers turnover
Q4 9:02
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:08
Lakers offensive rebound
Q4 9:08
Tim Hardaway Jr. blocks Rui Hachimura's two point putback layup
Q4 9:08
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 9:39
Lakers turnover
Q4 9:46
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Q4 9:48
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:24
Tim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)
Q4 10:24
Gabe Vincent misses regular free throw 2 of 3
Q4 10:24
+1
Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 3 of 3
90-90
Q4 10:39
LeBron James misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q4 11:04
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
90-92
Q4 11:43
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:44
Jalen Pickett offensive rebound
Q4 11:48
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Q3 00:03
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Q3 00:41
Lakers personal foul
Q3 00:41
Nuggets lineup change (Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Q3 1:03
LeBron James offensive rebound
Q3 1:03
Drew Timme misses two point tip layup
Q3 1:07
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:24
Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
Q3 1:52
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
86-88
Q3 2:00
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:35
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
86-88
Q3 2:35
Lakers 60 second timeout
Q3 2:35
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Gabe Vincent, Rui Hachimura, LeBron James, Drew Timme)
Q3 2:35
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 2:35
Lakers offensive rebound
Q3 2:39
Lakers turnover
Q3 2:43
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q3 2:56
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Q3 3:27
+2
Spencer Jones makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
81-86
Q3 3:44
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
81-86
Q3 3:52
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q3 4:10
Luka Doncic violation
Q3 4:10
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Gabe Vincent, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Jake LaRavia)
Q3 5:18
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-86
Q3 5:18
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia)
Q3 5:27
Lakers personal foul
Q3 5:51
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Q3 6:15
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
75-80
Q3 6:22
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q3 6:54
Nuggets turnover
Q3 7:06
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 7:18
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
75-80
Q3 7:33
Spencer Jones personal foul
Q3 7:33
Spencer Jones turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 7:40
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q3 7:48
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:59
LeBron James defensive rebound
Q3 9:16
Lakers turnover
Q3 10:13
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q3 10:30
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
64-77
Q3 11:07
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Q3 11:10
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:45
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Q2 00:00
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
56-62
Q2 00:00
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Q3 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Jalen Pickett, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray)
Q2 00:00
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Q2 00:07
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
56-62
Q2 00:27
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Q2 00:34
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
56-62
Q2 00:52
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
56-62
Q2 00:52
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia)
Q2 00:52
+1
Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
56-62
Q2 00:55
LeBron James defensive rebound
Q2 00:56
Jamal Murray misses two point running finger roll layup
Q2 1:00
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Q2 1:00
Deandre Ayton misses two point tip layup
Q2 1:20
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:40
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
56-62
Q2 2:06
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
56-62
Q2 2:22
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:49
+3
Rui Hachimura makes three point stepback jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
52-57
Q2 3:18
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 3:18
Instant replay
Q2 3:18
Lakers 60 second timeout
Q2 3:18
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia)
Q2 3:34
Lakers offensive rebound
Q2 3:34
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
Q2 3:34
Jaxson Hayes misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 3:34
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 3:43
Jamal Murray misses three point running pullup jump shot
Q2 3:48
Luka Doncic misses two point pullup jump shot
Q2 4:07
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
49-55
Q2 4:21
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
49-53
Q2 4:26
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:38
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
47-53
Q2 5:22
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q2 5:33
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
44-51
Q2 5:49
Aaron Gordon personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Q2 5:49
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-51
Q2 5:59
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q2 6:01
Lakers personal foul
Q2 6:01
Lakers lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Jaxson Hayes, Jake LaRavia)
Q2 6:21
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
42-49
Q2 6:25
LeBron James defensive rebound
Q2 6:40
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Q2 6:42
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 6:42
Lakers lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia)
Q2 6:42
LeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Q2 6:57
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
39-49
Q2 7:12
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Q2 7:26
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Q2 7:54
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
39-45
Q2 7:57
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:09
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:15
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Q2 8:19
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:04
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q2 9:05
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:05
Drew Timme misses two point driving layup
Q2 9:27
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
37-44
Q2 9:30
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:31
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Q2 9:36
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:53
Lakers personal foul
Q2 9:53
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 3
37-40
Q2 9:53
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
37-40
Q2 9:53
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Q2 9:53
Drew Timme personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
Q2 10:07
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
37-39
Q2 10:29
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
35-39
Q2 10:53
Drew Timme defensive rebound
Q2 10:57
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:14
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Q2 11:16
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 11:19
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Q2 11:36
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
31-37
Q1 00:00
Instant replay
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Q2 12:00
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Gabe Vincent, Deandre Ayton, LeBron James, Dalton Knecht)
Q1 00:51
Lakers personal foul
Q1 1:03
+2
Rui Hachimura makes two point jump shot
26-35
Q1 1:15
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:28
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
24-35
Q1 1:34
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:34
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 1:34
Nuggets lineup change (Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Q1 2:00
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Q1 2:03
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:20
Lakers personal foul
Q1 2:20
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q1 2:20
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Gabe Vincent, Rui Hachimura, Jaxson Hayes, LeBron James)
Q1 2:31
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 2:51
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
22-33
Q1 3:32
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 3:50
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
20-28
Q1 4:11
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Q1 4:13
+1
Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-25
Q1 4:18
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q1 4:29
Lakers personal foul
Q1 4:29
Lakers personal foul
Q1 4:29
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
19-25
Q1 4:33
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray)
Q1 5:02
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Q1 5:05
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:11
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q1 5:33
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point jump shot (Jake LaRavia assists)
16-21
Q1 5:45
Lakers lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, Jaxson Hayes, Jake LaRavia)
Q1 5:55
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot
14-21
Q1 6:05
Deandre Ayton misses two point turnaround hook shot
Q1 6:18
Peyton Watson misses two point stepback jump shot
Q1 6:54
+3
Spencer Jones makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
11-18
Q1 7:08
LeBron James defensive rebound
Q1 7:24
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving layup
11-15
Q1 7:42
Aaron Gordon misses three point stepback jump shot
Q1 7:54
LeBron James turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 8:07
Peyton Watson offensive rebound
Q1 8:09
Peyton Watson misses two point driving finger roll layup
Q1 8:19
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q1 8:27
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Q1 8:35
LeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Peyton Watson steals)
Q1 8:47
Lakers offensive rebound
Q1 8:57
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q1 8:57
Luka Doncic shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
Q1 9:15
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
9-14
Q1 9:46
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot
6-11
Q1 10:17
+2
Deandre Ayton makes two point driving layup (Luka Doncic assists)
4-8
Q1 10:42
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Q1 11:04
+3
Spencer Jones makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
2-6
Q1 11:44
+3
Jalen Pickett makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
0-3
Q1 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Jalen Pickett, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray)
Q1 12:00
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Lakers
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
F28 R. Hachimura 9 6 1
G77 L. Doncic 38 13 10
G7 G. Vincent 5 0 0
G36 M. Smart 15 2 1
F23 L. James 19 9 8
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
G-F10 T. Hardaway Jr. 10 2 2
G-F11 B. Brown 4 4 2
C32 A. Gordon 18 4 5
F8 P. Watson 18 5 3
G27 J. Murray 28 2 11

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Lakers vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lakers vs. Nuggets
  • Date: Tuesday, January 20, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lakers favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lakers -152, Nuggets +140

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lakers: 62%
  • Nuggets: 38%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Lakers 116-113 Nuggets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lakers a win probability of 62%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 38%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lakers are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lakers vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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