Magic vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Magic vs. Grizzlies NBA game on January 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Magic
109
126
The O2 Arena
Grizzlies
The O2 Arena
TEAM1234T
Magic
23 30 28 28 109
Grizzlies
40 32 28 26 126
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Magic
    <1%
  • Grizzlies
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Magic
23 30 28 28 109
Grizzlies
40 32 28 26 126
Q4 00:10 Magic misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:44 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:33 Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:52 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:25 Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:59 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:27 Magic misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:09 Magic misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:10
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  3. Q4 00:18
    Jase Richardson defensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:44
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    107-126
  5. Q4 00:55
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  6. Q4 1:08
    Goga Bitadze defensive rebound
  7. Q4 1:11
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  8. Q4 1:26
    Grizzlies personal foul
  9. Q4 1:30
    Grizzlies turnover
  10. Q4 1:51
    Jaylen Wells misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  11. Q4 1:51
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  12. Q4 1:57
    Jaylen Wells offensive rebound
  13. Q4 2:00
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  14. Q4 2:33
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  15. Q4 2:42
    Grizzlies lineup change (John Konchar, Vince Williams Jr., Cam Spencer, Jaylen Wells, GG Jackson)
  16. Q4 2:52
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    100-123
  17. Q4 3:08
    Magic turnover
  18. Q4 3:23
    Magic 60 second timeout
  19. Q4 3:25
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    100-121
  20. Q4 3:58
    Wendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound
  21. Q4 3:59
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  22. Q4 4:27
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  23. Q4 4:40
    +1
    Jock Landale makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    98-118
  24. Q4 4:51
    Grizzlies personal foul
  25. Q4 4:51
    Grizzlies lineup change (John Konchar, Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells)
  26. Q4 4:51
    +1
    Anthony Black makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    98-116
  27. Q4 4:55
    Tristan da Silva defensive rebound
  28. Q4 5:09
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  29. Q4 5:26
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot (Vince Williams Jr. assists)
    97-116
  30. Q4 6:05
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  31. Q4 6:27
    Jock Landale offensive rebound
  32. Q4 6:27
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    94-114
  33. Q4 6:27
    Magic lineup change (Paolo Banchero, Tristan da Silva, Anthony Black, Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane)
  34. Q4 6:40
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  35. Q4 6:45
    Grizzlies turnover
  36. Q4 7:23
    Jock Landale offensive rebound
  37. Q4 7:26
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  38. Q4 7:33
    Jock Landale offensive rebound
  39. Q4 7:38
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  40. Q4 7:47
    Magic turnover
  41. Q4 7:51
    Grizzlies turnover
  42. Q4 8:48
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  43. Q4 8:48
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Jock Landale, Ja Morant, GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
  44. Q4 9:07
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  45. Q4 9:10
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  46. Q4 9:31
    Magic personal foul
  47. Q4 9:35
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  48. Q4 9:44
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  49. Q4 9:56
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  50. Q4 10:20
    +1
    Franz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    84-106
  51. Q4 10:20
    +1
    Franz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    85-106
  52. Q4 10:29
    Magic personal foul
  53. Q4 10:29
    Magic lineup change (Franz Wagner, Paolo Banchero, Anthony Black, Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane)
  54. Q4 11:11
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    81-103
  55. Q4 11:22
    Ja Morant defensive rebound
  56. Q4 11:35
    Magic offensive rebound
  57. Q4 11:37
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  58. Q4 11:49
    Magic personal foul
  59. Q4 11:49
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    81-101
  60. Q3 00:00
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  61. Q3 00:00
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  62. Q3 00:08
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  63. Q3 00:27
    Grizzlies turnover
  64. Q3 00:57
    +1
    Wendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    78-98
  65. Q3 00:57
    +1
    Wendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    79-98
  66. Q3 1:08
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    77-98
  67. Q3 1:22
    Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
  68. Q3 1:46
    Magic personal foul
  69. Q3 1:58
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    77-95
  70. Q3 2:03
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  71. Q3 2:03
    Magic offensive rebound
  72. Q3 2:42
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    75-95
  73. Q3 2:52
    Grizzlies lineup change (Vince Williams Jr., Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr., Jock Landale, GG Jackson)
  74. Q3 2:58
    Magic turnover
  75. Q3 2:59
    Goga Bitadze offensive rebound
  76. Q3 3:39
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    73-91
  77. Q3 3:49
    Goga Bitadze defensive rebound
  78. Q3 4:05
    Jase Richardson defensive rebound
  79. Q3 4:11
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  80. Q3 4:26
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    70-91
  81. Q3 4:46
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    68-91
  82. Q3 4:56
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  83. Q3 5:11
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  84. Q3 5:11
    Grizzlies lineup change (John Konchar, Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, Jaylen Wells, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
  85. Q3 5:28
    +1
    Desmond Bane makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    67-88
  86. Q3 5:28
    +1
    Desmond Bane makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    68-88
  87. Q3 5:33
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  88. Q3 5:49
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    66-88
  89. Q3 6:38
    Grizzlies lineup change (John Konchar, Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, Jaylen Wells, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
  90. Q3 6:38
    Magic lineup change (Paolo Banchero, Goga Bitadze, Anthony Black, Desmond Bane, Jase Richardson)
  91. Q3 6:38
    Magic lineup change (Paolo Banchero, Goga Bitadze, Anthony Black, Desmond Bane, Jase Richardson)
  92. Q3 6:40
    Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
  93. Q3 6:43
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  94. Q3 6:55
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  95. Q3 7:09
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    62-86
  96. Q3 7:22
    Magic personal foul
  97. Q3 7:25
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  98. Q3 7:34
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  99. Q3 7:46
    Franz Wagner defensive rebound
  100. Q3 8:15
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    62-84
  101. Q3 8:19
    Cedric Coward offensive rebound
  102. Q3 8:53
    Grizzlies turnover
  103. Q3 8:53
    Grizzlies personal foul
  104. Q3 8:58
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    60-84
  105. Q3 9:13
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    60-82
  106. Q3 9:54
    Wendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound
  107. Q3 9:58
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  108. Q3 10:14
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  109. Q3 10:31
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  110. Q3 10:55
    Cedric Coward defensive rebound
  111. Q3 10:58
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  112. Q3 11:28
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  113. Q3 11:39
    +1
    Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    56-74
  114. Q3 11:49
    +3
    Anthony Black makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)
    56-72
  115. Q2 00:00
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  116. Q3 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells)
  117. Q2 00:03
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  118. Q2 00:03
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  119. Q2 00:26
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    53-72
  120. Q2 00:33
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  121. Q2 00:33
    Magic lineup change (Franz Wagner, Paolo Banchero, Anthony Black, Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane)
  122. Q2 00:33
    Magic personal foul
  123. Q2 00:33
    +1
    Ja Morant makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    51-72
  124. Q2 00:48
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    51-70
  125. Q2 00:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  126. Q2 1:07
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    49-70
  127. Q2 1:30
    +3
    Magic makes three point jump shot
    49-67
  128. Q2 2:06
    +3
    Magic makes three point jump shot
    46-67
  129. Q2 2:14
    Anthony Black defensive rebound
  130. Q2 2:28
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  131. Q2 2:32
    Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
  132. Q2 2:57
    Desmond Bane offensive rebound
  133. Q2 3:00
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  134. Q2 3:15
    Magic personal foul
  135. Q2 3:15
    +1
    Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    40-66
  136. Q2 4:04
    Grizzlies personal foul
  137. Q2 4:04
    +1
    Anthony Black makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    37-63
  138. Q2 4:04
    +1
    Anthony Black makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    38-63
  139. Q2 4:10
    Jock Landale turnover (offensive foul)
  140. Q2 4:24
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    36-63
  141. Q2 4:29
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  142. Q2 4:52
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    34-63
  143. Q2 5:09
    Grizzlies turnover
  144. Q2 5:43
    Jase Richardson defensive rebound
  145. Q2 5:45
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  146. Q2 6:11
    Magic lineup change (Paolo Banchero, Goga Bitadze, Tristan da Silva, Anthony Black, Jase Richardson)
  147. Q2 6:11
    John Konchar misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  148. Q2 6:17
    Magic turnover
  149. Q2 6:22
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    30-62
  150. Q2 6:31
    Grizzlies turnover
  151. Q2 6:42
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  152. Q2 6:42
    Grizzlies lineup change (John Konchar, Vince Williams Jr., Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
  153. Q2 6:44
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  154. Q2 7:07
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    30-60
  155. Q2 7:23
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    30-57
  156. Q2 7:25
    Magic offensive rebound
  157. Q2 7:26
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  158. Q2 7:52
    Wendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound
  159. Q2 7:56
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  160. Q2 8:20
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  161. Q2 8:20
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  162. Q2 8:32
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  163. Q2 8:52
    +3
    Magic makes three point jump shot
    26-55
  164. Q2 8:58
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  165. Q2 8:59
    Magic offensive rebound
  166. Q2 9:20
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  167. Q2 9:28
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    23-53
  168. Q2 9:37
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  169. Q2 9:51
    Magic 60 second timeout
  170. Q2 10:01
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  171. Q2 10:06
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    23-49
  172. Q2 10:30
    Magic personal foul
  173. Q2 10:30
    +1
    Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    23-47
  174. Q2 10:38
    Magic misses three point jump shot
  175. Q2 10:52
    Noah Penda defensive rebound
  176. Q2 10:55
    Magic personal foul
  177. Q2 10:55
    +1
    Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    23-44
  178. Q2 11:22
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    23-43
  179. Q2 11:42
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  180. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  181. Q1 00:00
    Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
  182. Q1 00:05
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  183. Q1 00:05
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  184. Q1 00:05
    Santi Aldama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  185. Q1 00:08
    Magic misses two point jump shot
  186. Q1 00:33
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    21-40
  187. Q1 00:42
    +1
    Franz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    21-38
  188. Q1 00:54
    Tyus Jones defensive rebound
  189. Q1 00:56
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  190. Q1 1:35
    Magic personal foul
  191. Q1 1:35
    Santi Aldama misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  192. Q1 1:35
    Magic lineup change (Franz Wagner, Tyus Jones, Noah Penda, Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane)
  193. Q1 1:35
    +1
    Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    19-38
  194. Q1 2:03
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  195. Q1 2:03
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  196. Q1 2:03
    Magic lineup change (Tyus Jones, Noah Penda, Goga Bitadze, Desmond Bane, Jase Richardson)
  197. Q1 2:03
    Magic personal foul
  198. Q1 2:23
    Tristan da Silva defensive rebound
  199. Q1 2:28
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  200. Q1 2:58
    Goga Bitadze defensive rebound
  201. Q1 3:01
    John Konchar misses two point jump shot
  202. Q1 3:14
    Paolo Banchero defensive rebound
  203. Q1 3:17
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  204. Q1 3:23
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  205. Q1 3:35
    Grizzlies lineup change (John Konchar, Vince Williams Jr., Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr., Jock Landale)
  206. Q1 4:02
    Magic 60 second timeout
  207. Q1 4:03
    +3
    Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot
    19-34
  208. Q1 4:11
    Jock Landale offensive rebound
  209. Q1 4:15
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  210. Q1 4:37
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    19-31
  211. Q1 4:55
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    18-29
  212. Q1 4:55
    Magic lineup change (Paolo Banchero, Goga Bitadze, Tristan da Silva, Anthony Black, Jase Richardson)
  213. Q1 5:05
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    16-29
  214. Q1 5:36
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    16-26
  215. Q1 5:54
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    16-24
  216. Q1 6:02
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  217. Q1 6:02
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  218. Q1 6:19
    Jock Landale offensive rebound
  219. Q1 6:19
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    14-24
  220. Q1 6:47
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    12-22
  221. Q1 7:06
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    12-20
  222. Q1 7:45
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    8-17
  223. Q1 7:49
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  224. Q1 7:49
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  225. Q1 7:49
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jock Landale, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
  226. Q1 8:04
    Franz Wagner defensive rebound
  227. Q1 8:06
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  228. Q1 8:26
    Magic offensive rebound
  229. Q1 8:26
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  230. Q1 8:44
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    6-12
  231. Q1 8:46
    Desmond Bane offensive rebound
  232. Q1 9:04
    Magic personal foul
  233. Q1 9:04
    +1
    Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    4-11
  234. Q1 9:38
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    4-10
  235. Q1 9:47
    Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
  236. Q1 10:03
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  237. Q1 10:10
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  238. Q1 10:48
    +2
    Magic makes two point jump shot
    4-6
  239. Q1 11:06
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    2-6
  240. Q1 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells)
  241. Q1 12:00
    Magic lineup change (Franz Wagner, Paolo Banchero, Anthony Black, Wendell Carter Jr., Desmond Bane)
Box Score
Magic
PosPlayerPts
Grizzlies
PosPlayerPts

Magic vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Magic vs. Grizzlies
  • Date: Sunday, January 18, 2026
  • Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • Venue: The O2 Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Magic favored at -3
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Magic -142, Grizzlies +138

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Magic: 62%
  • Grizzlies: 38%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Magic 115-112 Grizzlies.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Magic a win probability of 62%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 38%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Magic are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at The O2 Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Magic vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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