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Pelicans vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pelicans vs. Rockets NBA game on January 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
110
119
Jan 19, 12AM Toyota Center
Jan 19, 12AM Toyota Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 30 | 24 | 26 | 30 | 110 |
Rockets | 32 | 31 | 24 | 32 | 119 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 30 | 24 | 26 | 30 | 110 |
Rockets | 32 | 31 | 24 | 32 | 119 |
Q4 00:09 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:20 Pelicans makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:36 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:44 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:21 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:50 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:23 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:42 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:51 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Josh Okogie offensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Josh Okogie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-119
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, JD Davison)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
110-118
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-118
Pelicans personal foul
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
108-116
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Micah Peavy defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
104-116
Rockets personal foul
Pelicans turnover
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Rockets defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Stoppage (Other)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
+1
Jordan Poole makes regular free throw 1 of 1
97-112
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
94-112
Rockets turnover
Rockets violation
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
90-109
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Micah Peavy, Yves Missi, Jordan Poole, Trey Murphy III)
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Rockets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
90-100
Pelicans personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
90-98
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
88-94
Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
Rockets 60 second timeout
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
86-94
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
84-91
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-89
Derik Queen turnover (lost ball)
Derik Queen defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Rockets lineup change (Steven Adams, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson)
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-86
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears, Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy III)
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jae'Sean Tate, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
80-85
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Rockets turnover
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
77-85
Rockets turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-83
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Micah Peavy, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Micah Peavy, Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III)
Pelicans turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
70-81
Pelicans turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets 60 second timeout
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
66-77
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
65-75
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
65-73
Rockets turnover
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
63-73
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
61-70
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
61-71
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Steven Adams offensive rebound
Steven Adams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
+1
Steven Adams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-64
End of 1st Half.
Rockets lineup change (Steven Adams, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
52-63
Rockets lineup change (Steven Adams, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
52-60
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-58
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
50-58
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Trey Murphy III offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
50-54
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
48-54
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
48-52
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
48-49
Rockets turnover
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jordan Poole defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
46-49
Rockets turnover
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
44-46
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Derik Queen, Micah Peavy, Jordan Poole, Trey Murphy III)
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-42
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-43
Steven Adams defensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
42-41
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
42-39
Rockets turnover
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
40-39
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
38-39
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Pelicans turnover
Rockets lineup change (Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, JD Davison)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
34-34
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
32-34
Rockets turnover
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-32
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pelicans turnover
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Jordan Hawkins offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jordan Poole, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
26-32
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
23-29
Jordan Poole offensive rebound
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
Rockets offensive rebound
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
22-26
Micah Peavy offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith turnover (offensive foul)
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Jae'Sean Tate, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Pelicans violation
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
13-22
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
10-20
Yves Missi offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
10-19
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Rockets turnover
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
6-17
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Yves Missi, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III)
Steven Adams defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
4-12
Steven Adams defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-10
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
2-9
Pelicans personal foul
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
2-7
Steven Adams offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
2-5
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
2-2
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Jeremiah Fears offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Start of 1st Quarter
Derik Queen vs. Steven Adams (Jabari Smith Jr. gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Pelicans vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pelicans vs. Rockets
- Date: Sunday, January 18, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets favored at -13.5
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pelicans +650, Rockets -850
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pelicans: 16%
- Rockets: 84%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pelicans 110-121 Rockets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pelicans a win probability of 16%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 84%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pelicans vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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