Pelicans vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pelicans vs. Rockets NBA game on January 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Pelicans
110
119
Toyota Center
Rockets
Toyota Center
TEAM1234T
Pelicans
30 24 26 30 110
Rockets
32 31 24 32 119
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pelicans
    <1%
  • Rockets
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pelicans
30 24 26 30 110
Rockets
32 31 24 32 119
Q4 00:09 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:20 Pelicans makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:36 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:44 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:21 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:50 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:23 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:42 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:51 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:02
    Josh Okogie offensive rebound
  2. Q4 00:07
    Pelicans personal foul
  3. Q4 00:07
    +1
    Josh Okogie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    110-119
  4. Q4 00:07
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, JD Davison)
  5. Q4 00:09
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    110-118
  6. Q4 00:15
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    108-118
  7. Q4 00:16
    Pelicans personal foul
  8. Q4 00:20
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    108-116
  9. Q4 00:21
    Yves Missi offensive rebound
  10. Q4 00:31
    Micah Peavy defensive rebound
  11. Q4 00:36
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  12. Q4 00:44
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    104-116
  13. Q4 00:44
    Rockets personal foul
  14. Q4 1:03
    Pelicans turnover
  15. Q4 1:19
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  16. Q4 1:21
    Yves Missi offensive rebound
  17. Q4 1:21
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  18. Q4 1:25
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  19. Q4 1:48
    Yves Missi offensive rebound
  20. Q4 1:50
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  21. Q4 2:23
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  22. Q4 2:34
    Zion Williamson defensive rebound
  23. Q4 3:42
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  24. Q4 3:42
    Rockets defensive rebound
  25. Q4 3:51
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  26. Q4 3:54
    Pelicans turnover
  27. Q4 4:12
    Stoppage (Other)
  28. Q4 4:27
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  29. Q4 4:44
    Rockets personal foul
  30. Q4 4:44
    Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  31. Q4 4:44
    +1
    Jordan Poole makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    97-112
  32. Q4 5:00
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    94-112
  33. Q4 5:30
    Rockets turnover
  34. Q4 5:54
    Rockets violation
  35. Q4 6:09
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    90-109
  36. Q4 6:46
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  37. Q4 6:46
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  38. Q4 6:46
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Micah Peavy, Yves Missi, Jordan Poole, Trey Murphy III)
  39. Q4 7:06
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  40. Q4 7:43
    Rockets defensive rebound
  41. Q4 7:43
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  42. Q4 7:52
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    90-100
  43. Q4 7:52
    Pelicans personal foul
  44. Q4 7:52
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
  45. Q4 8:21
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    90-98
  46. Q4 9:24
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    88-94
  47. Q4 9:31
    Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
  48. Q4 9:45
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  49. Q4 9:48
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  50. Q4 10:02
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    86-94
  51. Q4 10:29
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    84-91
  52. Q4 10:51
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  53. Q4 11:05
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  54. Q4 11:07
    Rockets personal foul
  55. Q4 11:07
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    81-89
  56. Q4 11:38
    Derik Queen turnover (lost ball)
  57. Q4 11:40
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  58. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  59. Q4 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Steven Adams, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson)
  60. Q3 00:03
    Pelicans personal foul
  61. Q3 00:03
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    80-86
  62. Q3 00:03
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears, Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy III)
  63. Q3 00:03
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jae'Sean Tate, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
  64. Q3 00:21
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  65. Q3 00:31
    Kevin Durant misses two point jump shot
  66. Q3 00:54
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    80-85
  67. Q3 1:07
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  68. Q3 1:24
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  69. Q3 1:35
    Rockets turnover
  70. Q3 1:42
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    77-85
  71. Q3 1:48
    Rockets turnover
  72. Q3 2:01
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  73. Q3 2:21
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  74. Q3 2:38
    Rockets defensive rebound
  75. Q3 2:38
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  76. Q3 2:39
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  77. Q3 2:52
    Rockets personal foul
  78. Q3 2:52
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  79. Q3 2:52
    Rockets lineup change (Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
  80. Q3 3:15
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    74-83
  81. Q3 3:48
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  82. Q3 3:50
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  83. Q3 4:07
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  84. Q3 4:21
    Rockets turnover
  85. Q3 4:21
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Micah Peavy, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III)
  86. Q3 4:51
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  87. Q3 5:00
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  88. Q3 5:02
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  89. Q3 5:16
    Pelicans personal foul
  90. Q3 5:16
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Micah Peavy, Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III)
  91. Q3 5:23
    Pelicans turnover
  92. Q3 5:37
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    70-81
  93. Q3 5:42
    Pelicans turnover
  94. Q3 5:59
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  95. Q3 6:34
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  96. Q3 6:36
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  97. Q3 6:54
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  98. Q3 6:54
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    66-77
  99. Q3 7:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  100. Q3 7:20
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  101. Q3 7:52
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  102. Q3 7:54
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  103. Q3 8:08
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    65-75
  104. Q3 8:30
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    65-73
  105. Q3 8:34
    Rockets turnover
  106. Q3 8:40
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  107. Q3 8:54
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    63-73
  108. Q3 9:29
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    61-70
  109. Q3 9:29
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    61-71
  110. Q3 9:43
    Yves Missi offensive rebound
  111. Q3 9:58
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  112. Q3 11:11
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  113. Q2 00:00
    Steven Adams offensive rebound
  114. Q2 00:00
    Steven Adams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  115. Q2 00:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  116. Q2 00:00
    +1
    Steven Adams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    54-64
  117. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  118. Q3 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Steven Adams, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  119. Q2 00:02
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  120. Q2 00:10
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  121. Q2 00:14
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  122. Q2 00:41
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    52-63
  123. Q2 00:56
    Rockets lineup change (Steven Adams, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  124. Q2 1:02
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    52-60
  125. Q2 1:06
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  126. Q2 1:18
    Rockets turnover
  127. Q2 1:22
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  128. Q2 1:40
    Rockets personal foul
  129. Q2 1:40
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    51-58
  130. Q2 1:46
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III)
  131. Q2 2:03
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    50-58
  132. Q2 2:13
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  133. Q2 2:38
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  134. Q2 2:41
    Trey Murphy III offensive rebound
  135. Q2 3:16
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    50-54
  136. Q2 3:32
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    48-54
  137. Q2 3:52
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    48-52
  138. Q2 4:16
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    48-49
  139. Q2 4:31
    Rockets turnover
  140. Q2 4:44
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  141. Q2 4:47
    Jordan Poole misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  142. Q2 4:54
    Jordan Poole defensive rebound
  143. Q2 4:57
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  144. Q2 5:12
    Pelicans personal foul
  145. Q2 5:22
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    46-49
  146. Q2 5:26
    Rockets turnover
  147. Q2 6:07
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    44-46
  148. Q2 6:25
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  149. Q2 6:25
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Derik Queen, Micah Peavy, Jordan Poole, Trey Murphy III)
  150. Q2 6:25
    Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
  151. Q2 6:35
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  152. Q2 6:45
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    42-42
  153. Q2 6:45
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    42-43
  154. Q2 7:01
    Steven Adams defensive rebound
  155. Q2 7:24
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    42-41
  156. Q2 7:45
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    42-39
  157. Q2 7:48
    Rockets turnover
  158. Q2 7:59
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    40-39
  159. Q2 8:12
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    38-39
  160. Q2 8:47
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  161. Q2 9:06
    Pelicans turnover
  162. Q2 9:06
    Rockets lineup change (Steven Adams, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, JD Davison)
  163. Q2 9:43
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  164. Q2 9:55
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  165. Q2 10:08
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    34-34
  166. Q2 10:24
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    32-34
  167. Q2 10:45
    Rockets turnover
  168. Q2 10:57
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    31-32
  169. Q2 10:59
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  170. Q2 10:59
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  171. Q2 11:14
    Pelicans turnover
  172. Q2 11:19
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  173. Q2 11:37
    Jordan Hawkins offensive rebound
  174. Q2 11:37
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  175. Q1 00:00
    Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
  176. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  177. Q2 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jordan Poole, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins)
  178. Q1 00:09
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  179. Q1 00:40
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    26-32
  180. Q1 1:01
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    23-29
  181. Q1 1:08
    Jordan Poole offensive rebound
  182. Q1 1:20
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  183. Q1 1:22
    Pelicans personal foul
  184. Q1 1:22
    Rockets offensive rebound
  185. Q1 1:37
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    22-26
  186. Q1 1:48
    Micah Peavy offensive rebound
  187. Q1 1:59
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  188. Q1 2:04
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  189. Q1 2:24
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  190. Q1 2:26
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  191. Q1 2:41
    Dorian Finney-Smith turnover (offensive foul)
  192. Q1 2:41
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  193. Q1 2:41
    Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Jae'Sean Tate, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
  194. Q1 2:50
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  195. Q1 3:01
    Rockets personal foul
  196. Q1 3:18
    Pelicans violation
  197. Q1 3:36
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  198. Q1 3:38
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  199. Q1 4:10
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  200. Q1 4:13
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  201. Q1 4:37
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    13-22
  202. Q1 4:38
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  203. Q1 5:18
    Pelicans personal foul
  204. Q1 5:18
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  205. Q1 5:18
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    10-20
  206. Q1 5:36
    Yves Missi offensive rebound
  207. Q1 5:36
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    10-19
  208. Q1 6:00
    Zion Williamson defensive rebound
  209. Q1 6:02
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  210. Q1 6:09
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  211. Q1 6:38
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  212. Q1 6:50
    Rockets turnover
  213. Q1 6:56
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  214. Q1 7:07
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  215. Q1 7:42
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    6-17
  216. Q1 7:42
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Yves Missi, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III)
  217. Q1 7:54
    Steven Adams defensive rebound
  218. Q1 8:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  219. Q1 8:46
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    4-12
  220. Q1 8:52
    Steven Adams defensive rebound
  221. Q1 8:54
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  222. Q1 9:04
    Pelicans personal foul
  223. Q1 9:04
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    4-10
  224. Q1 9:37
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    2-9
  225. Q1 9:53
    Pelicans personal foul
  226. Q1 10:08
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    2-7
  227. Q1 10:09
    Steven Adams offensive rebound
  228. Q1 10:11
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  229. Q1 10:26
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  230. Q1 10:40
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    2-5
  231. Q1 10:59
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    2-2
  232. Q1 11:22
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  233. Q1 11:31
    Jeremiah Fears offensive rebound
  234. Q1 11:41
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  235. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  236. Q1 12:00
    Derik Queen vs. Steven Adams (Jabari Smith Jr. gains possession)
Box Score
Pelicans
PosPlayerPts
Rockets
PosPlayerPts

Pelicans vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pelicans vs. Rockets
  • Date: Sunday, January 18, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rockets favored at -13.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pelicans +650, Rockets -850

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pelicans: 16%
  • Rockets: 84%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pelicans 110-121 Rockets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pelicans a win probability of 16%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 84%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pelicans vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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