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Pelicans vs. Pacers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pelicans vs. Pacers NBA game on January 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
119
127
Jan 17, 12AM Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Jan 17, 12AM Gainbridge Fieldhouse
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 33 | 33 | 27 | 25 | 119 |
Pacers | 31 | 42 | 29 | 25 | 127 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 33 | 33 | 27 | 25 | 119 |
Pacers | 31 | 42 | 29 | 25 | 127 |
Q4 00:45 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:51 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:27 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:37 Trey Murphy III misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:08 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:01 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:03 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:35 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-127
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-127
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
115-127
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
115-125
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
113-125
Tony Bradley offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-123
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-123
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
109-122
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
109-123
Pelicans personal foul
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Trey Murphy III offensive rebound
Trey Murphy III misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Poole, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
107-118
Pascal Siakam turnover (offensive foul)
Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Jordan Poole, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Derik Queen)
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Johnny Furphy)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
105-116
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Quenton Jackson offensive rebound
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Jordan Poole, Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Karlo Matkovic)
Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Johnny Furphy, Quenton Jackson)
Pelicans personal foul
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
105-112
Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Jordan Poole, Trey Murphy III, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic)
Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
102-107
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
100-107
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
Pacers turnover
Saddiq Bey misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
93-105
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
93-102
Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-100
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-100
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard, T.J. McConnell)
Tony Bradley offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
91-98
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
91-96
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
88-96
Trey Murphy III misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
87-94
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
87-92
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-89
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-87
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Tony Bradley, Aaron Nesmith, Ben Sheppard, T.J. McConnell)
Pacers turnover
Pelicans turnover
Pacers turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
78-87
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
78-85
Pacers personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Tony Bradley, Aaron Nesmith, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, T.J. McConnell)
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Tony Bradley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Ben Sheppard offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
75-82
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 1
76-82
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Derik Queen offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
73-82
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
71-82
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Jay Huff offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
68-78
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
66-78
Jay Huff defensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
66-75
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
65-71
Pacers personal foul
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
63-66
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
58-66
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
56-66
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
53-66
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
50-66
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
48-63
Jay Huff offensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff, Aaron Nesmith, Johnny Furphy, T.J. McConnell)
Derik Queen defensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
46-55
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Saddiq Bey misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen, Karlo Matkovic)
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-45
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
43-45
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
43-43
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
40-43
Pacers personal foul
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-41
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Poole, Jordan Hawkins, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
38-41
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
36-39
Quenton Jackson offensive rebound
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Pelicans turnover
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Andrew Nembhard turnover (offensive foul)
Pelicans offensive rebound
Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Jordan Poole, Jordan Hawkins, Zion Williamson, Yves Missi)
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard, Quenton Jackson)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Jordan Poole defensive rebound
Pacers offensive rebound
Jump ball. (T.J. McConnell gains possession)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
31-28
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
29-25
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Tony Bradley defensive rebound
Pelicans defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
25-25
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
25-22
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
22-22
Pelicans personal foul
Ben Sheppard misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers offensive rebound
Pacers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic)
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Tony Bradley, Aaron Nesmith, Johnny Furphy, T.J. McConnell)
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
20-19
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
17-19
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
14-15
Pacers personal foul
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
15-15
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
12-12
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
10-12
Pelicans turnover
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
10-10
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
7-7
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
4-4
Jay Huff offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Pelicans vs. Pacers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pelicans vs. Pacers
- Date: Friday, January 16, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pacers favored at -5
- Total (Over/Under): 241.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pelicans +162, Pacers -184
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pelicans: 34%
- Pacers: 66%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pelicans 116-121 Pacers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pelicans a win probability of 34%, while the Pacers have a win probability of 66%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pacers are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pelicans vs. Pacers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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