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Raptors vs. Pacers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Raptors vs. Pacers NBA game on January 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
115
101
Jan 15, 12AM Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Jan 15, 12AM Gainbridge Fieldhouse
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Raptors | 39 | 28 | 27 | 21 | 115 |
Pacers | 18 | 30 | 30 | 23 | 101 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Raptors | 39 | 28 | 27 | 21 | 115 |
Pacers | 18 | 30 | 30 | 23 | 101 |
Q4 1:29 Johnny Furphy misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Raptors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:47 Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:01 Raptors makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:22 Raptors makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:55 Raptors makes three point jump shot
Q4 4:17 Pacers makes three point jump shot
Q4 4:54 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:14 Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:09 Raptors misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
A.J. Lawson defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
Jonathan Mogbo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jonathan Mogbo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Raptors 60 second timeout
Pacers 60 second timeout
Johnny Furphy misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
115-101
Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
Johnny Furphy offensive rebound
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
111-99
Pacers turnover
Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
108-99
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
106-99
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
103-99
Pacers offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors 60 second timeout
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Johnny Furphy misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Pacers offensive rebound
Raptors lineup change (Gradey Dick, A.J. Lawson, Brandon Ingram, Collin Murray-Boyles, Scottie Barnes)
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-92
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
100-91
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
Raptors lineup change (Jamal Shead, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Collin Murray-Boyles, Scottie Barnes)
Raptors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors lineup change (Jamal Shead, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Ochai Agbaji, Scottie Barnes)
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Raptors turnover
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Scottie Barnes misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
98-87
Raptors 60 second timeout
Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
Ben Sheppard turnover (offensive foul)
Raptors lineup change (Jamal Shead, A.J. Lawson, Brandon Ingram, Ochai Agbaji, Collin Murray-Boyles)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
96-82
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+1
Jamal Shead makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-80
+1
Jamal Shead makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-80
+1
Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-79
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Raptors offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Ochai Agbaji offensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
+1
Tony Bradley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-78
+1
Aaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-76
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Gradey Dick offensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+1
Alijah Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-74
Alijah Martin misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Raptors personal foul
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-73
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
89-72
Scottie Barnes misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
87-72
Pacers personal foul
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-70
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-70
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Johnny Furphy, Aaron Nesmith, Ben Sheppard)
Raptors turnover
Gradey Dick defensive rebound
Raptors lineup change (Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Ochai Agbaji, Scottie Barnes, Alijah Martin)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Johnny Furphy, Quenton Jackson, Aaron Nesmith)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
85-68
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
83-64
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Quenton Jackson, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
81-64
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
79-64
Jay Huff offensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
79-62
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
Pacers offensive rebound
+1
Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-62
Raptors personal foul
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
76-61
Pacers personal foul
+1
Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 1
77-61
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Collin Murray-Boyles misses two point putback layup
Collin Murray-Boyles offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors 60 second timeout
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
74-58
Raptors offensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
69-51
Pacers personal foul
Brandon Ingram misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Raptors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Johnny Furphy, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff)
Raptors personal foul
Ochai Agbaji turnover (offensive foul)
Raptors lineup change (Jamal Shead, A.J. Lawson, Brandon Ingram, Ochai Agbaji, Alijah Martin)
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
67-48
Pascal Siakam turnover (offensive foul)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Johnny Furphy, Aaron Nesmith)
T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
67-42
Raptors misses two point jump shot
T.J. McConnell offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Tony Bradley defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors turnover
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-40
Raptors lineup change (Jamison Battle, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Collin Murray-Boyles, Scottie Barnes)
+1
Gradey Dick makes regular free throw 1 of 1
65-38
Gradey Dick defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
Pacers personal foul
Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
Ben Sheppard offensive rebound
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Micah Potter, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Ben Sheppard)
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Raptors lineup change (Jamison Battle, Gradey Dick, Ochai Agbaji, Collin Murray-Boyles, Scottie Barnes)
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Micah Potter, Andrew Nembhard, Quenton Jackson, Aaron Nesmith)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Raptors defensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
53-36
Raptors personal foul
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Johnny Furphy, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff)
+1
Johnny Furphy makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-36
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
51-35
A.J. Lawson defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
48-30
Gradey Dick offensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+1
Gradey Dick makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-30
Gradey Dick misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
45-30
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
43-28
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
43-25
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
Pascal Siakam misses two point tip layup
Raptors turnover
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
41-22
+1
Ben Sheppard makes technical free throw 1 of 1
41-19
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
41-18
Gradey Dick defensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Raptors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Jarace Walker misses two point driving layup
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
37-18
Pacers defensive rebound
Gradey Dick turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
35-16
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
33-16
Pacers personal foul
Raptors offensive rebound
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-14
Raptors personal foul
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
32-11
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
30-11
Gradey Dick defensive rebound
Ochai Agbaji defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Raptors 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Tony Bradley, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith)
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
25-11
Jamison Battle defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
20-11
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
20-9
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
Raptors turnover
+1
Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-9
+1
Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-9
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
15-9
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
15-7
Raptors turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter, Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
15-4
Jamison Battle defensive rebound
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-4
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
Johnny Furphy misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
4-2
Jamison Battle defensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
2-0
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Johnny Furphy, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff)
(Pascal Siakam gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Raptors vs. Pacers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Raptors vs. Pacers
- Date: Wednesday, January 14, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pacers favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 220.5
- Moneyline Odds: Raptors +100, Pacers -117
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Raptors: 43%
- Pacers: 57%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Raptors 109-111 Pacers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Raptors a win probability of 43%, while the Pacers have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pacers are more likely to beat the Raptors in the NBA game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Raptors vs. Pacers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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