Raptors vs. Pacers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Raptors vs. Pacers NBA game on January 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Raptors
115
101
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
TEAM1234T
Raptors
39 28 27 21 115
Pacers
18 30 30 23 101
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Raptors
    >99%
  • Pacers
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Raptors
39 28 27 21 115
Pacers
18 30 30 23 101
Q4 1:29 Johnny Furphy misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Raptors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:47 Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:01 Raptors makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:22 Raptors makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:55 Raptors makes three point jump shot
Q4 4:17 Pacers makes three point jump shot
Q4 4:54 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:14 Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:09 Raptors misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:28
    A.J. Lawson defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:43
    Pacers personal foul
  4. Q4 00:43
    Jonathan Mogbo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  5. Q4 00:43
    Jonathan Mogbo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  6. Q4 00:50
    Raptors 60 second timeout
  7. Q4 1:12
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  8. Q4 1:29
    Johnny Furphy misses three point jump shot
  9. Q4 1:40
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    115-101
  10. Q4 2:38
    Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
  11. Q4 2:42
    Johnny Furphy offensive rebound
  12. Q4 2:44
    Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
  13. Q4 2:47
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  14. Q4 3:01
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    111-99
  15. Q4 3:06
    Pacers turnover
  16. Q4 3:07
    Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
  17. Q4 3:22
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    108-99
  18. Q4 3:28
    Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
  19. Q4 3:55
    +3
    Raptors makes three point jump shot
    106-99
  20. Q4 4:17
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    103-99
  21. Q4 4:49
    Pacers offensive rebound
  22. Q4 4:54
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  23. Q4 5:14
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  24. Q4 5:34
    Raptors 60 second timeout
  25. Q4 5:52
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  26. Q4 6:02
    Johnny Furphy misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  27. Q4 6:03
    Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
  28. Q4 6:05
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  29. Q4 6:05
    Pacers offensive rebound
  30. Q4 6:05
    Raptors lineup change (Gradey Dick, A.J. Lawson, Brandon Ingram, Collin Murray-Boyles, Scottie Barnes)
  31. Q4 6:09
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  32. Q4 6:26
    Raptors personal foul
  33. Q4 6:26
    +1
    Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    100-92
  34. Q4 6:49
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    100-91
  35. Q4 7:02
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  36. Q4 7:09
    Raptors personal foul
  37. Q4 7:09
    Raptors lineup change (Jamal Shead, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Collin Murray-Boyles, Scottie Barnes)
  38. Q4 7:43
    Raptors defensive rebound
  39. Q4 7:43
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  40. Q4 7:43
    Raptors lineup change (Jamal Shead, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Ochai Agbaji, Scottie Barnes)
  41. Q4 7:53
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  42. Q4 7:55
    Raptors misses three point jump shot
  43. Q4 8:26
    Raptors turnover
  44. Q4 8:35
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  45. Q4 8:55
    Pacers personal foul
  46. Q4 8:55
    Scottie Barnes misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  47. Q4 9:07
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    98-87
  48. Q4 9:07
    Raptors 60 second timeout
  49. Q4 9:07
    Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  50. Q4 9:17
    Raptors misses three point jump shot
  51. Q4 9:45
    Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
  52. Q4 10:07
    Pacers personal foul
  53. Q4 10:07
    Ben Sheppard turnover (offensive foul)
  54. Q4 10:07
    Raptors lineup change (Jamal Shead, A.J. Lawson, Brandon Ingram, Ochai Agbaji, Collin Murray-Boyles)
  55. Q4 10:37
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    96-82
  56. Q4 11:01
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  57. Q4 11:30
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  58. Q4 11:40
    +1
    Jamal Shead makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    95-80
  59. Q4 11:40
    +1
    Jamal Shead makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    96-80
  60. Q4 11:48
    +1
    Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    94-79
  61. Q3 00:00
    Raptors misses three point jump shot
  62. Q3 00:00
    Raptors offensive rebound
  63. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  64. Q3 00:06
    Ochai Agbaji offensive rebound
  65. Q3 00:30
    Raptors personal foul
  66. Q3 00:30
    +1
    Tony Bradley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-78
  67. Q3 1:03
    +1
    Aaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-76
  68. Q3 1:11
    Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
  69. Q3 1:14
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  70. Q3 1:23
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  71. Q3 1:24
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  72. Q3 1:48
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  73. Q3 2:01
    Pacers personal foul
  74. Q3 2:13
    Gradey Dick offensive rebound
  75. Q3 2:15
    Pacers personal foul
  76. Q3 2:15
    +1
    Alijah Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    90-74
  77. Q3 2:15
    Alijah Martin misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  78. Q3 2:27
    Raptors personal foul
  79. Q3 2:27
    +1
    Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    89-73
  80. Q3 2:43
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  81. Q3 2:45
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    89-72
  82. Q3 2:45
    Scottie Barnes misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  83. Q3 2:57
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    87-72
  84. Q3 3:15
    Pacers personal foul
  85. Q3 3:15
    +1
    Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    86-70
  86. Q3 3:15
    +1
    Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    87-70
  87. Q3 3:23
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Johnny Furphy, Aaron Nesmith, Ben Sheppard)
  88. Q3 3:23
    Raptors turnover
  89. Q3 3:32
    Gradey Dick defensive rebound
  90. Q3 3:50
    Raptors lineup change (Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Ochai Agbaji, Scottie Barnes, Alijah Martin)
  91. Q3 3:50
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Johnny Furphy, Quenton Jackson, Aaron Nesmith)
  92. Q3 3:59
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    85-68
  93. Q3 4:29
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  94. Q3 4:47
    Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
  95. Q3 5:11
    Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
  96. Q3 5:28
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    83-64
  97. Q3 5:58
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Quenton Jackson, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff)
  98. Q3 6:01
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    81-64
  99. Q3 6:07
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  100. Q3 6:22
    Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
  101. Q3 6:24
    Raptors misses three point jump shot
  102. Q3 6:37
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    79-64
  103. Q3 6:43
    Jay Huff offensive rebound
  104. Q3 7:12
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    79-62
  105. Q3 7:20
    Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
  106. Q3 7:38
    Raptors personal foul
  107. Q3 7:38
    Pacers offensive rebound
  108. Q3 7:38
    +1
    Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    77-62
  109. Q3 7:44
    Raptors personal foul
  110. Q3 7:54
    Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
  111. Q3 7:56
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  112. Q3 8:12
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    76-61
  113. Q3 8:12
    Pacers personal foul
  114. Q3 8:12
    +1
    Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    77-61
  115. Q3 8:21
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  116. Q3 8:33
    Raptors misses three point jump shot
  117. Q3 8:34
    Collin Murray-Boyles misses two point putback layup
  118. Q3 8:34
    Collin Murray-Boyles offensive rebound
  119. Q3 8:37
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  120. Q3 8:54
    Raptors 60 second timeout
  121. Q3 9:01
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  122. Q3 9:03
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  123. Q3 9:15
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    74-58
  124. Q3 10:11
    Raptors offensive rebound
  125. Q3 10:11
    Pacers personal foul
  126. Q3 10:12
    Raptors misses three point jump shot
  127. Q3 10:18
    Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
  128. Q3 10:28
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  129. Q3 10:48
    Raptors personal foul
  130. Q3 10:59
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    69-51
  131. Q3 10:59
    Pacers personal foul
  132. Q3 10:59
    Brandon Ingram misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  133. Q3 11:23
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  134. Q3 11:36
    Pacers personal foul
  135. Q3 11:45
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  136. Q3 11:49
    Raptors offensive rebound
  137. Q3 11:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  138. Q2 00:00
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  139. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  140. Q3 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Johnny Furphy, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff)
  141. Q2 00:03
    Raptors personal foul
  142. Q2 00:03
    Ochai Agbaji turnover (offensive foul)
  143. Q2 00:03
    Raptors lineup change (Jamal Shead, A.J. Lawson, Brandon Ingram, Ochai Agbaji, Alijah Martin)
  144. Q2 00:22
    Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
  145. Q2 00:24
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  146. Q2 00:33
    Pacers defensive rebound
  147. Q2 00:35
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  148. Q2 00:53
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    67-48
  149. Q2 1:24
    Pascal Siakam turnover (offensive foul)
  150. Q2 1:24
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Johnny Furphy, Aaron Nesmith)
  151. Q2 1:28
    T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
  152. Q2 1:53
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    67-42
  153. Q2 2:04
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  154. Q2 2:23
    T.J. McConnell offensive rebound
  155. Q2 2:26
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  156. Q2 2:41
    Tony Bradley defensive rebound
  157. Q2 2:43
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  158. Q2 3:07
    Raptors turnover
  159. Q2 3:22
    Raptors misses three point jump shot
  160. Q2 3:36
    +1
    Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    65-40
  161. Q2 3:36
    Raptors lineup change (Jamison Battle, Gradey Dick, Brandon Ingram, Collin Murray-Boyles, Scottie Barnes)
  162. Q2 3:49
    +1
    Gradey Dick makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    65-38
  163. Q2 3:59
    Gradey Dick defensive rebound
  164. Q2 4:02
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  165. Q2 4:18
    Raptors personal foul
  166. Q2 4:25
    Pacers personal foul
  167. Q2 4:27
    Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
  168. Q2 5:08
    Ben Sheppard offensive rebound
  169. Q2 5:21
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Micah Potter, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Ben Sheppard)
  170. Q2 5:30
    Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
  171. Q2 5:33
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  172. Q2 5:52
    Pacers personal foul
  173. Q2 5:52
    Raptors lineup change (Jamison Battle, Gradey Dick, Ochai Agbaji, Collin Murray-Boyles, Scottie Barnes)
  174. Q2 5:52
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Micah Potter, Andrew Nembhard, Quenton Jackson, Aaron Nesmith)
  175. Q2 6:08
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  176. Q2 6:08
    Raptors defensive rebound
  177. Q2 6:25
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    53-36
  178. Q2 6:43
    Raptors personal foul
  179. Q2 6:46
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  180. Q2 6:56
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  181. Q2 7:10
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Johnny Furphy, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff)
  182. Q2 7:10
    +1
    Johnny Furphy makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    51-36
  183. Q2 7:17
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  184. Q2 7:19
    Raptors misses three point jump shot
  185. Q2 7:23
    Raptors misses three point jump shot
  186. Q2 7:44
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    51-35
  187. Q2 8:23
    A.J. Lawson defensive rebound
  188. Q2 8:39
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  189. Q2 9:08
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    48-30
  190. Q2 9:21
    Gradey Dick offensive rebound
  191. Q2 9:21
    Pacers personal foul
  192. Q2 9:21
    +1
    Gradey Dick makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    46-30
  193. Q2 9:21
    Gradey Dick misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  194. Q2 9:42
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    45-30
  195. Q2 10:17
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    43-28
  196. Q2 10:38
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    43-25
  197. Q2 11:05
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  198. Q2 11:08
    Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
  199. Q2 11:10
    Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
  200. Q2 11:11
    Pascal Siakam misses two point tip layup
  201. Q2 11:14
    Raptors turnover
  202. Q2 11:31
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    41-22
  203. Q2 11:46
    +1
    Ben Sheppard makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    41-19
  204. Q2 11:48
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    41-18
  205. Q1 00:00
    Gradey Dick defensive rebound
  206. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  207. Q1 00:20
    Raptors offensive rebound
  208. Q1 00:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  209. Q1 00:26
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  210. Q1 00:26
    Jarace Walker misses two point driving layup
  211. Q1 00:35
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    37-18
  212. Q1 00:55
    Pacers defensive rebound
  213. Q1 00:55
    Gradey Dick turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  214. Q1 00:59
    Raptors misses three point jump shot
  215. Q1 1:09
    Raptors personal foul
  216. Q1 1:28
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    35-16
  217. Q1 1:38
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    33-16
  218. Q1 2:02
    Pacers personal foul
  219. Q1 2:02
    Raptors offensive rebound
  220. Q1 2:02
    +1
    Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    33-14
  221. Q1 2:28
    Raptors personal foul
  222. Q1 2:37
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  223. Q1 2:38
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    32-11
  224. Q1 3:07
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    30-11
  225. Q1 3:15
    Gradey Dick defensive rebound
  226. Q1 3:44
    Ochai Agbaji defensive rebound
  227. Q1 3:48
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  228. Q1 4:31
    Raptors 60 second timeout
  229. Q1 4:31
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Tony Bradley, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith)
  230. Q1 4:44
    +3
    Raptors makes three point jump shot
    25-11
  231. Q1 4:50
    Jamison Battle defensive rebound
  232. Q1 4:54
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  233. Q1 5:32
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    20-11
  234. Q1 5:53
    +3
    Raptors makes three point jump shot
    20-9
  235. Q1 5:58
    Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
  236. Q1 6:09
    Raptors turnover
  237. Q1 6:25
    +1
    Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    16-9
  238. Q1 6:25
    +1
    Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    17-9
  239. Q1 6:39
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    15-9
  240. Q1 6:48
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  241. Q1 6:53
    Raptors offensive rebound
  242. Q1 6:54
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  243. Q1 7:17
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    15-7
  244. Q1 7:28
    Raptors turnover
  245. Q1 7:59
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  246. Q1 8:04
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter, Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard)
  247. Q1 8:19
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    15-4
  248. Q1 8:28
    Jamison Battle defensive rebound
  249. Q1 9:10
    +1
    Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    11-4
  250. Q1 9:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  251. Q1 9:19
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  252. Q1 9:36
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  253. Q1 9:51
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  254. Q1 10:16
    Pacers offensive rebound
  255. Q1 10:16
    Johnny Furphy misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  256. Q1 10:49
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    4-2
  257. Q1 11:08
    Jamison Battle defensive rebound
  258. Q1 11:22
    +2
    Raptors makes two point jump shot
    2-0
  259. Q1 11:27
    Raptors misses two point jump shot
  260. Q1 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Johnny Furphy, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff)
  261. Q1 12:00
    (Pascal Siakam gains possession)
Box Score
Raptors
PosPlayerPts
Pacers
PosPlayerPts

Raptors vs. Pacers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Raptors vs. Pacers
  • Date: Wednesday, January 14, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pacers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Raptors +100, Pacers -117

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Raptors: 43%
  • Pacers: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Raptors 109-111 Pacers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Raptors a win probability of 43%, while the Pacers have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pacers are more likely to beat the Raptors in the NBA game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Raptors vs. Pacers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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