Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Grizzlies NBA game on January 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Thunder
117
116
Jan 9, 8:00 PM ET FedExForum
Grizzlies
Jan 9, 8:00 PM ET FedExForum
TEAM12 3 4 T
Thunder
25 21 55 16 117
Grizzlies
35 30 46 5 116
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Thunder
    66%
  • Grizzlies
    34%
Win Probability
Box Score
Thunder
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Grizzlies
PosPlayerPts

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Thunder vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Grizzlies
  • Date: Friday, January 9, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: FedExForum

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -5.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder -215, Grizzlies +185

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 66%
  • Grizzlies: 34%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 116-112 Grizzlies.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 66%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 34%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at FedExForum on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.