Timberwolves vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Timberwolves vs. Heat NBA game on January 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Timberwolves
125
115
Kaseya Center
Heat
Kaseya Center
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 29 | 27 | 34 | 35 | 125 |
Heat | 29 | 21 | 36 | 29 | 115 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Timberwolves
- Heat
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 29 | 27 | 34 | 35 | 125 |
Heat | 29 | 21 | 36 | 29 | 115 |
Q4 00:21 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:49 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:05 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:32 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:42 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:57 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:12 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:25 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:43 Heat makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
- End of 4th Quarter.
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot125-115
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot125-112
- Heat personal foul
- +1Mike Conley makes regular free throw 1 of 2124-110
- +1Mike Conley makes regular free throw 2 of 2125-110
- Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- +1Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2122-110
- +1Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2123-110
- Timberwolves defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Jump ball. (Anthony Edwards gains possession)
- Simone Fontecchio turnover (lost ball)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
- Timberwolves lineup change (Mike Conley, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo)
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Timberwolves offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Timberwolves lineup change (Mike Conley, Bones Hyland, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle)
- Timberwolves 60 second timeout
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Simone Fontecchio misses technical free throw 1 of 1
- Timberwolves defensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot121-110
- Heat offensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot118-108
- Myron Gardner offensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot120-108
- +1Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 1121-108
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Timberwolves turnover
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot118-106
- Heat turnover
- Timberwolves turnover
- Timberwolves 60 second timeout
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot118-103
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot118-100
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot116-100
- Heat personal foul
- Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Timberwolves offensive rebound
- +1Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2116-97
- Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Bones Hyland, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle)
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Timberwolves turnover
- Heat turnover
- Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Myron Gardner, Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Davion Mitchell)
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot115-97
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Julius Randle defensive rebound
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot115-97
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot115-94
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot113-94
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot113-92
- Heat turnover
- Heat personal foul
- +1Naz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 2110-92
- Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
- +1Naz Reid makes regular free throw 2 of 2111-92
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +1Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2109-91
- +1Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2109-92
- Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Bones Hyland, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo)
- Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Simone Fontecchio, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
- Heat personal foul
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Timberwolves turnover
- Stoppage (Blood rule)
- Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
- Heat 60 second timeout
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot109-90
- Timberwolves defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot105-90
- Heat personal foul
- +1Naz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 1106-90
- Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Bones Hyland, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo)
- Heat turnover
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot103-90
- Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Simone Fontecchio, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
- Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot101-90
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot99-90
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot99-88
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot97-88
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot97-86
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
- Heat turnover
- Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot94-86
- Heat personal foul
- +1Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 195-86
- Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Simone Fontecchio, Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell)
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Naz Reid defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Timberwolves defensive rebound
- Heat turnover
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot92-86
- Timberwolves turnover
- Instant replay
- Timberwolves 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
- Instant replay
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo)
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Naz Reid makes two point jump shot90-84
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot88-84
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Simone Fontecchio, Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith)
- Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot88-82
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot85-81
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +1Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 185-82
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot85-79
- Heat personal foul
- Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
- Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Simone Fontecchio, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith)
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot83-79
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot81-79
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot80-76
- Heat personal foul
- Heat 60 second timeout
- +1Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 181-76
- Mike Conley defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- +1Naz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 277-76
- +1Naz Reid makes regular free throw 2 of 278-76
- Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith)
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +1Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 276-75
- Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Simone Fontecchio, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith)
- Timberwolves lineup change (Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
- +1Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 276-76
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot76-74
- Naz Reid defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot73-74
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot71-74
- Naz Reid offensive rebound
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot71-72
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +1Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 269-71
- +1Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 269-72
- Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell)
- Julius Randle offensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot69-70
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot69-68
- Timberwolves 60 second timeout
- Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot66-68
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Timberwolves turnover
- Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot66-64
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 166-65
- Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot66-62
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot63-62
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Timberwolves turnover
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot63-59
- Timberwolves turnover
- Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot63-57
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Davion Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot62-55
- Heat personal foul
- +1Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 163-55
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot60-55
- Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot60-52
- Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot58-52
- Julius Randle defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Timberwolves turnover
- Heat turnover
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat turnover
- Norman Powell defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot56-52
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Timberwolves turnover
- Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot90-84
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Timberwolves offensive rebound
- End of 1st Half.
- Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot56-50
- Heat personal foul
- +1Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 255-48
- +1Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 256-48
- Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith)
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +1Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 254-47
- +1Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 254-48
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot54-46
- Julius Randle defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot52-46
- Heat turnover
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Donte DiVincenzo offensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Julius Randle defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Timberwolves violation
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot50-46
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +1Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 348-44
- +1Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 348-45
- +1Norman Powell makes regular free throw 3 of 348-46
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot48-43
- Timberwolves turnover
- Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot48-41
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot48-38
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell)
- Timberwolves turnover
- Heat turnover
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot46-38
- Heat turnover
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot44-38
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot45-38
- Heat personal foul
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Heat personal foul
- Heat personal foul
- Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)
- Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot42-38
- Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo)
- Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell)
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Julius Randle defensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot40-38
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
- Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot40-36
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot37-36
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot37-33
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot34-33
- Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat 60 second timeout
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot34-31
- Julius Randle offensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Julius Randle defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Simone Fontecchio, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith)
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot32-31
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot32-29
- Heat personal foul
- Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland, Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo)
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot29-29
- Timberwolves violation
- Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Bones Hyland, Julius Randle)
- Jump ball. (Heat gains possession)
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Jaylen Clark defensive rebound
- Jaylen Clark turnover (jump ball violation)
- Jump ball. (Bam Adebayo gains possession)
- Jaylen Clark jump ball violation
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot29-27
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot27-27
- Timberwolves turnover
- End of 1st Quarter.
- Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo)
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Timberwolves turnover
- Julius Randle offensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- +1Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 227-25
- Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Timberwolves lineup change (Mike Conley, Jaylen Clark, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +1Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 226-24
- +1Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 226-25
- Timberwolves lineup change (Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot26-23
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot26-21
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot26-19
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot24-19
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Naz Reid defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Timberwolves 60 second timeout
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +1Dru Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 224-16
- +1Dru Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 224-17
- Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot24-15
- Heat personal foul
- Timberwolves lineup change (Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert)
- Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
- Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot21-15
- Heat turnover
- Timberwolves turnover
- Heat turnover
- Timberwolves turnover
- Nikola Jovic turnover
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- Heat personal foul
- +1Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 220-12
- Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert)
- +1Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 221-12
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot19-12
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot19-9
- Timberwolves personal foul
- +1Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 216-8
- +1Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 216-9
- Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Timberwolves personal foul
- Rudy Gobert turnover (offensive foul)
- Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
- Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
- +3Timberwolves makes three point jump shot16-7
- Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot13-7
- Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Timberwolves offensive rebound
- +1Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 211-7
- Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot10-7
- Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot8-7
- Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- +1Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 25-7
- +1Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 26-7
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Other)
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot4-7
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot4-5
- Donte DiVincenzo offensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot2-5
- Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot4-2
- Rudy Gobert misses two point jump shot
- Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Julius Randle defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Timberwolves turnover
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot2-2
- Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Timberwolves makes two point jump shot2-0
- Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
- Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
- Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo)
- Start of 1st Quarter
- Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
- (Anthony Edwards gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Timberwolves vs. Heat
- Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Timberwolves favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 235.5
- Moneyline Odds: Timberwolves -137, Heat +120
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Timberwolves: 60%
- Heat: 40%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Timberwolves 119-116 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Timberwolves a win probability of 60%, while the Heat have a win probability of 40%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Timberwolves are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Timberwolves vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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