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Jazz vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Jazz vs. Warriors NBA game on January 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
93
96
Jan 4, 3AM Chase Center
Jan 4, 3AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jazz | 29 | 56 | 8 | 0 | 93 |
Warriors | 25 | 64 | 7 | 0 | 96 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
10%
90%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jazz | 29 | 56 | 8 | 0 | 93 |
Warriors | 25 | 64 | 7 | 0 | 96 |
Q4 00:12 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:22 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:39 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Gary Payton II misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:11 Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:45 Keyonte George misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
93-96
Warriors turnover
De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
93-96
Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Jazz turnover
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
+2
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point jump shot
93-96
Gary Payton II misses two point jump shot
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Svi Mykhailiuk offensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors turnover
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Keyonte George misses three point jump shot
Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Jazz personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-96
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-96
Warriors personal foul
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-96
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-96
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III, Gary Payton II)
Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Lauri Markkanen defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Walter Clayton Jr., Brice Sensabaugh, Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George)
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Gary Payton II)
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
De'Anthony Melton misses three point jump shot
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot (Gary Payton II assists)
93-96
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
93-96
Lauri Markkanen offensive rebound
De'Anthony Melton personal foul
Keyonte George misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Lauri Markkanen offensive rebound
Keyonte George misses two point jump shot
Lauri Markkanen offensive rebound
Lauri Markkanen misses two point tip layup
Jazz offensive rebound
Lauri Markkanen offensive rebound
Keyonte George misses two point jump shot
Keyonte George misses two point jump shot
Jazz turnover
Lauri Markkanen personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Stephen Curry, Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III, Gary Payton II)
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-96
Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Walter Clayton Jr., Kyle Filipowski, Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George)
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-96
Keyonte George offensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
93-96
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
93-96
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-96
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III)
Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Walter Clayton Jr., Lauri Markkanen, Kevin Love, Keyonte George)
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-96
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Jump ball. (Moses Moody gains possession)
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Jazz personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-96
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-96
Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Lauri Markkanen, Isaiah Collier, Kevin Love, Keyonte George)
Lauri Markkanen offensive rebound
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
93-96
Isaiah Collier misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
93-96
Cody Williams offensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
Isaiah Collier misses two point jump shot
Moses Moody turnover
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Collier offensive rebound
Walter Clayton Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler III makes two point jump shot
93-96
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
93-96
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Jazz personal foul
Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-96
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
93-96
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
93-96
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
De'Anthony Melton misses three point turnaround jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Cody Williams, Lauri Markkanen, Isaiah Collier, Kevin Love)
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III)
Lauri Markkanen turnover
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III)
Isaiah Collier offensive rebound
Will Richard personal foul
Isaiah Collier misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jazz offensive rebound
Isaiah Collier misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Isaiah Collier defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Jazz violation
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III)
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
93-96
Isaiah Collier defensive rebound
Kyle Filipowski blocks Stephen Curry's three point jump shot
Will Richard defensive rebound
+1
Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-96
Stephen Curry turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Filipowski steals)
Warriors personal foul
Kyle Filipowski misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jazz lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Lauri Markkanen, Isaiah Collier)
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Lauri Markkanen offensive rebound
Lauri Markkanen misses two point layup
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
93-96
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz turnover
Brice Sensabaugh turnover (De'Anthony Melton steals)
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III)
Brice Sensabaugh personal foul (Loose ball) (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
Jazz lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh, Lauri Markkanen, Isaiah Collier)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-96
Brice Sensabaugh turnover
Jazz 60 second timeout
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-96
Brice Sensabaugh turnover (lost ball)
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot
93-96
+2
Isaiah Collier makes two point driving layup
93-96
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
93-96
+2
Kyle Filipowski makes two point jump shot
93-96
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski misses two point pullup jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Taylor Hendricks shooting foul (Trayce Jackson-Davis draws the foul)
Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jazz lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh, Isaiah Collier, Keyonte George)
Warriors offensive rebound
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
93-96
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
86-91
Jazz offensive rebound
Jazz offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Taylor Hendricks misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Taylor Hendricks misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jazz lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh, Isaiah Collier, Keyonte George)
+2
De'Anthony Melton makes two point jump shot
85-89
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Brandin Podziemski, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos)
+2
Keyonte George makes two point driving layup (Isaiah Collier assists)
85-89
Jazz lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh, Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George)
Warriors personal foul
Keyonte George misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
83-87
+2
Lauri Markkanen makes two point jump shot
83-87
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
93-96
Keyonte George turnover (Gui Santos steals)
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot
93-96
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Stephen Curry, Gui Santos)
Svi Mykhailiuk personal foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Brandin Podziemski, Stephen Curry, Gui Santos, Will Richard)
Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh, Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George)
Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh, Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George)
+2
Svi Mykhailiuk makes two point jump shot
93-96
Svi Mykhailiuk offensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot
93-96
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
93-96
+2
Gary Payton II makes two point jump shot
93-96
Keyonte George turnover
Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Lauri Markkanen, Isaiah Collier, Kevin Love, Keyonte George)
+2
Quinten Post makes two point floating jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
83-87
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
93-96
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Jazz personal foul
Keyonte George turnover
+2
Gary Payton II makes two point jump shot
93-96
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Stephen Curry personal foul (Brice Sensabaugh draws the foul)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
93-96
Warriors 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Keyonte George turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-66
Jazz personal foul
Quinten Post offensive rebound
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-96
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Moses Moody personal foul (Lauri Markkanen draws the foul)
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
93-96
+1
Lauri Markkanen makes regular free throw 1 of 1
93-96
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point stepback jump shot
74-66
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
93-96
Gary Payton II turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
93-96
+3
Lauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot
85-87
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
85-87
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Brice Sensabaugh misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Gary Payton II)
Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Brice Sensabaugh, Lauri Markkanen, Kevin Love, Keyonte George)
Jazz turnover
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
85-89
Jazz defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Brice Sensabaugh, Lauri Markkanen, Isaiah Collier, Keyonte George)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III)
Warriors challenge timeout
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Will Richard defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Brice Sensabaugh shooting foul (Jimmy Butler III draws the foul)
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-48
Jimmy Butler III misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
59-48
Isaiah Collier defensive rebound
Jazz 60 second timeout
Kyle Filipowski shooting foul (Jimmy Butler III draws the foul)
Instant replay
Instant replay
Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh, Lauri Markkanen, Isaiah Collier, Keyonte George)
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-89
Jimmy Butler III misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Warriors misses two point jump shot
De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
Will Richard misses three point jump shot
Cody Williams personal foul
+2
Kyle Filipowski makes two point cutting dunk (Brice Sensabaugh assists)
59-48
+2
Will Richard makes two point jump shot (De'Anthony Melton assists)
85-89
Jazz turnover (De'Anthony Melton steals)
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III)
+3
De'Anthony Melton makes three point jump shot
59-48
+2
Lauri Markkanen makes two point driving dunk (Kyle Filipowski assists)
58-48
Draymond Green technical foul
Draymond Green technical foul
+1
Lauri Markkanen makes technical free throw 1 of 1
59-48
+1
Lauri Markkanen makes technical free throw 2 of 2
85-89
+1
Lauri Markkanen makes technical free throw 1 of 1
85-89
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III)
Lauri Markkanen defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
+2
Keyonte George makes two point running jump shot
56-48
Jimmy Butler III turnover (bad pass) (Keyonte George steals)
Kyle Filipowski personal foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh, Cody Williams, Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George)
+2
Lauri Markkanen makes two point floating jump shot (Keyonte George assists)
54-48
Will Richard turnover (offensive goaltending)
Warriors turnover
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-48
Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III)
Brandin Podziemski shooting foul (Keyonte George draws the foul)
Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George)
Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Cody Williams, Lauri Markkanen, Kevin Love, Keyonte George)
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III, Gary Payton II)
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II)
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Brandin Podziemski, Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Gary Payton II)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Game Prediction Article
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Jazz vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Jazz vs. Warriors
- Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -12.5
- Total (Over/Under): 249.5
- Moneyline Odds: Jazz +450, Warriors -560
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Jazz: 18%
- Warriors: 82%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Jazz 117-128 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jazz a win probability of 18%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 82%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Chase Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Jazz vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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